helping professionals to assess aspects of risk other than
likelihood (i.e., nature, severity, imminence, frequency)
as well as to develop risk management strategies.
Interrater Reliability.Research indicates that judg-
ments regarding the lifetime presence of risk factors
and overall risk can be made with good interrater reli-
ability. The interrater reliability of judgments regard-
ing recent change has not been evaluated.
Predictive Validity.Research has provided good sup-
port for the use of the SVR–20 in sexual violence risk
assessment. Individual studies and meta-analyses have
demonstrated that the SVR–20 predicts sexually vio-
lent recidivism about as well as, and in some cases bet-
ter than, commonly used actuarial tests. In studies that
compared evaluators’ overall judgments of risk with
simple linear combinations of risk factors, typically,
overall judgments have better predictive validity.
Recommendations
In the authors’ experience, most assessors find that the
inclusion of a locally normed actuarial risk assessment
test alongside the SVR–20 allows for a more compre-
hensive appraisal of risk, and we support this practice.
There is no convergence of opinion as to what is the
best practice in this area; however, it is clear to most
clinicians that the use of a single instrument is not nec-
essarily the best manner in which to protect the public
from future offending and that a more comprehensive
and conservative approach is warranted.
Douglas P. Boer and Stephen D. Hart
See alsoForensic Assessment; Hare Psychopathy
Checklist–Revised (2nd edition) (PCL–R); Rapid Risk
Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism (RRASOR); Risk
Assessment Approaches; Sex Offender Needs Assessment
Rating (SONAR); Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide
(SORAG); STATIC–99 and STATIC–2002 Instruments
Further Readings
Boer, D. P. (2006). Sexual offender risk assessment
strategies: Is there a convergence of opinion yet? Sexual
Offender Treatment, 1,1–4.
Boer, D. P., Hart, S. D., Kropp, P. R., & Webster, C. D.
(1997). Manual for the Sexual Violence Risk–20:
Professional guidelines for assessing risk of sexual
violence.Vancouver, Canada: The Mental Health, Law,
and Policy Institute, Simon Fraser University.
SHORT-TERMASSESSMENT OF
RISK ANDTREATABILITY (START)
The Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability
(START) is a concise clinical guide for the dynamic
assessment of short-term (i.e., weeks to months) risk
for violence (to self and others) and treatability. START
guides the assessor toward an integrated, balanced
opinion to evaluate the client’s risk across seven
domains: violence to others, suicide, self-harm, self-
neglect, unauthorized absence, substance use, and risk
of being victimized. This structured professional guide
is intended to inform clinical interventions and index
therapeutic improvements or relapses.
START represents a refinement in the risk assess-
ment field, in that it comprises dynamic variables that
are responsive to treatment and management efforts and
because each of the 20 items is scored both as a vulner-
ability and as a strength, from 0 (no evident risk or
strength) to 2 (high risk or strength). It also allows for
the recording of historical and case-specific factors.
Once the 20 items are coded, the assessor completes a
summary judgment of risk (low, moderate, or high) on
the seven domains (i.e., violence to others, suicide, etc.);
other client-specific risks may also be added. A poten-
tially useful aspect of START is that it facilitates the
identification, recording, and communication of individ-
ually determined “critical” vulnerability items, “key”
strengths, and “signature risks” (i.e., early but reliable,
unique, and invariant signals of impending relapse and
elevation in risk) deemed to be especially relevant to the
particular client’s functioning, responsivity to treatment,
and the likelihood of adverse outcomes.
START is devoted to the systematic assessment of
the strengths and vulnerabilities of the individual client
with the ultimate goal of enhancing mental health func-
tioning and preventing adverse events. It is intended to
assist in day-to-day monitoring, treatment planning,
and risk communication. Repeated administrations are
a convenient method of tracking changes in mental
health status, vulnerabilities, strengths, and violence
potential (against self/others). START is anticipated to
be an effective means of reducing the cycling of men-
tally disordered persons through the civil psychiatric
and criminal justice systems. It was developed for use
with adults with mental, personality, and substance-
related disorders, with relevance to correctional, civil,
and forensic clients in the community and institutional
settings. This new scheme is particularly applicable to
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