210 / BECOMING MORE EFFECTIVE
Finding alternatives
Decisions are usually choices between
alternatives; so successful decision-
making depends on identifying the best
possible set of alternatives to evaluate.
Search widely, but remember you can’t
evaluate everything. You may need to be
creative and on occasions “to think the
unthinkable,” but don’t forget the obvious.
One alternative you should consider
is doing nothing. This is not always easy,
but may be a real alternative. At the very
least it gives you a benchmark against
which to compare the other possibilities.
In some circumstances you may find it is
possible to do two of the alternatives at
the same time. This will require greater
levels of evaluation than discussed here,
but asking the question can sometimes
overcome major dilemmas.
House
purchase
decision
BUY HOUSE A:
BORROW $300,000
Likely
interest
rate
Annual
mortgage
cost
Chance of
interest
rate
Proportion
of cost
10% $30,000 20% $6,000
6% $18,000 50% $9,000
4% $12,000 30% $3,600
$18,600
House A total expected annual
mortgage cost:
Decision chart for choosing between two houses
of employees in one survey
valued analysis more than
judgment in decision-making
43 %
US_210-211_Making_decisions.indd 210 30/05/16 3:03 pm