The Scientist November 2019

(Romina) #1

tain microbial populations take a long
time to establish after permafrost thaw,”
he explains. “Methane producers, for
instance, seem to be very sensitive to freez-
ing.” Based on his team’s lab results, Gra-
ham and colleagues predicted that a long
stretch of warmer temperatures would
allow a large population of methane-
producing microbes to grow—just as
Schuur, Johnston, and their colleagues
found. “It’s neat to see these kinds of
[microbial] behaviors happening in the
lab and all the way to the field.”
Although the current study identified
the genes present in the microbial com-
munity, it couldn’t detect which of those
genes were producing proteins. “One of
the critical [next] steps is understand-
ing which genes are actually expressed:
Which organisms are working hard,
and what are they doing?” Graham says.
“Another critical question is: What are
they actually consuming?” The research-
ers note in the paper that the plant com-


munity in the experimental plots is
becoming more abundant as a result of
the insulation experiment. Plants can
contribute fresh carbon to the soil for
microbes to decompose, in addition to
the older carbon already stored in the
permafrost. Distinguishing between the
two carbon sources is important, John-
ston says, because if all of the carbon
being metabolized by microbes is from
fresh plant material, the resulting fluc-
tuations in atmospheric carbon dioxide
levels will be relatively minimal. On the
other hand, “if old carbon that has been
locked up for hundreds or thousands of
years is being respired, this will cause a
long-term increase in the concentration
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.”
Schuur is starting to tackle these
questions. In another paper published in
July, he and his colleagues reported that,
when analyzed together, the insulated
and the uninsulated plots of soil lost an
average of 5 percent of their stored car-

bon per year over five years, suggesting
old carbon is indeed being used by res-
ident microbial communities. Based on
atmospheric warming predictions, that
translates to permafrost losing up to 78
percent of carbon in its top 55 centime-
ters by the end of the century ( Nat Geosci,
12:627–31, 2019).
The researchers note in their paper
that they still need to see if the results hold
true in other plots of permafrost around
the Arctic, but the findings suggest per-
mafrost warming will lead to significant
greenhouse gas emissions, they conclude.
“There is increasing recognition that the
processes of soil microorganisms, and
their responses to rising temperatures,
need to be better incorporated into cli-
mate models in order to improve the accu-
racy of climate predictions,” Johnston says.
“Research like this provides information
for other researchers tasked with improv-
ing these models.”
—Ashley Yeager

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