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MEXICO CITY – While successfully
campaigning across the country last
year, Mexican President Andrés Manuel
López Obrador coined catchy slogans
for solving the country’s security situa-
tions. “Hugs, not bullets,” he repeated
often. “You can’t fight fire with fire!” he
would say. “Scholarship students, not
sicarios!”
The slogans spoke to López Obra-
dor’s call for moral renewal and combat-
ing what he considers the root cause of
crime and violence: corruption and pov-
erty. Eleven months into his administra-
tion, however, Mexico’s homicide rate
has continued racing to record levels.
The ambush of three carloads of women
and children in northern Sonora state
marked the most recent spasm of vio-
lence.
In the wake of the Sonora slayings –
which claimed the lives of three women
and six children– López Obrador has
doubled down on his discourse of
changing security strategies, while pin-
ning Mexico’s problems with violence
on his unpopular predecessors.
“These are issues that come from a
long way back,” he said at a news con-
ference Wednesday, “which were wors-
ened by a strategy of wanting to resolve
things only with the use of force.”
An austere figure with a slow-speak-
ing style who works 16-hour days and
tours the country tirelessly – taking
commercial flights – the man commonly
called “AMLO” has proved popular. His
approval rating hovers around 65%. He
speaks of inheriting “a country in
flames” and often reminds Mexicans of
his unpopular predecessors, casually
comparing them to organized crime –
“the Mafia in power,” he previously
called them – and speaking of his politi-
cal opponents as doing more damage to
Mexico than drug cartels.
His message found a receptive audi-
ence in Mexico, where inequality is rife
and fatigue with corruption and the
elite’s excesses fueled López Obrador’s
electoral success. In interviews in the
western state of Jalisco, organized
crime expert Edgardo Buscaglia says he
has found people in crime-ridden areas
who essentially confess, “We know the
Jalisco cartel does damage, but it
doesn’t do worse damage than corrupt
politicians and businessmen who are
with the government.”
Vast stretches of the country seem-
ingly exist on the periphery of Mexican
society and see a scant state presence –
including the fundamentalist commu-
nities in the foothills of the Sierra Madre
mountains near the U.S. border with Ar-
izona and New Mexico that were found-
ed by offshoots of the Church of Jesus
Christ of Latter-day Saints.
Residents of the fundamentalist
community of Colonia LeBarón donated
a building and land for a Federal Police
base – and help pay the officers’ salaries
- after an anti-crime activist, Benjamín
LeBarón, was murdered in 2009, said
Brent LeBarón, a relative of the victim.
They also learned to live alongside
warring drug cartels: identifying them-
selves to gunmen at checkpoints, stay-
ing off lonely roads at night and steering
clear of shootouts.
“Obviously, they’re fighting over turf
and access to roads and getting their
drugs to the border,” LeBarón told USA
TODAY.
But LeBarón cited another factor
driving the violence: a strategy of killing
or capturing cartel kingpins.
“When a head man gets caught or
killed or someone else replaces him,” he
said, “that’s when they see a weak point
and try to take over turf.”
Such internal squabbling erupted in
western Sinaloa state after the 2016 ar-
rest of Sinaloa Cartel boss Joaquín “El
Chapo” Guzmán, who now sits in a U.S.
prison cell.
But Mexico’s weakness and the ap-
parent lack of a security strategy was
shown last month.
Soldiers nabbed El Chapo’s son, Ovi-
dio Guzmán Lopez, but were forced to
release him after sicarios blocked roads
in the city of Culiacán with burning ve-
hicles and unleashed chaos. Critics ac-
cused López Obrador of allowing crimi-
nals to cow the state, but he insisted he
avoided a bloodbath.
“There’s no longer a war against nar-
cotics traffickers,” he told reporters Oct.
- “We’re not going to expose the lives
of civilians, using the euphemism of
collateral damage. That’s over.”
Mexico’s runaway violence has in-
creasingly captured U.S. scrutiny. And
López Obrador’s discourse of “hugs, not
bullets” has come under criticism, too,
as U.S. politicians muse openly about
military intervention.
“Hugs, not bullets. That may work in
a children’s fairy tale,” Sen. Tom Cotton,
R-Ark., told Fox News this week. “But in
the real world ... the only thing that can
counteract bullets is more and bigger
bullets. If the Mexican government can-
not protect American citizens in Mexi-
co, then the United States may have to
take matters into our own hands.”
President Donald Trump – who has
lauded López Obrador as “the great new
President of Mexico” – also weighed in,
tweeting, “This is the time for Mexico,
with the help of the United States, to
wage WAR on the drug cartels and wipe
them off the face of the earth.”
Further U.S. intervention is a non-
starter for many in Mexico. López Obra-
dor also dismissed the notion on Thurs-
day, saying Mexico would act on its own.
Analysts say the U.S. government
has been working in Mexico for the bet-
ter part of a decade, but the crime and
killings continue as security strategies
fall short and Mexico fails to strengthen
its institutions or enforce the rule of law.
“Those notions of stepping up mili-
tary presence in Mexico or betting on
military solutions stems from a com-
plete misreading of recent history in the
sense of it has increased violence, it has
made things worse rather than better,”
said Falko Ernst, senior Mexico analyst
for the International Crisis Group.
The United States has been involved
“both in designing and carrying out
Mexican security strategy over the past
administrations,” along with “capture
and kill operations, extraditions – in-
cluding ‘El Chapo’ ” – and collaborations
between the Drug Enforcement Admini-
stration and Mexican Navy, Ernst said.
But they’ve “failed to build institu-
tions in the aftermath of weakening
criminal organizations and haven’t ad-
dressed the most fundamental ques-
tion, which is corruption and collusion.”
For all of this talk of changing course
on security and moral renewal – López
Obrador often invokes Christianity and
cites Scripture, practices previously
scorned in Mexican politics – the presi-
dent has often turned to the military.
He created a new militarized police
known as the National Guard, which
was mostly staffed by soldiers and sup-
plants the Federal Police. The guard’s
first deployment, however, has been to
stop Central American migrants trying
to transit the country. Barely 4,
guard members are assigned to Sonora
and Chihuahua – where the fundamen-
talists came under attack Monday –
compared to more than 6,800 members
stationed in southern Oaxaca and Chi-
apas states, which are transited by mi-
grants.
The current approach doesn’t ade-
quately dismantle criminal structures
or address issues such as the cartels
infiltrating politics, analysts say.
“The militarization of Mexico has
been a causal factor (of the violence)
and has only tossed gasoline on the
fire,” said Buscaglia, senior research
scholar in Law and Economics at Co-
lumbia Law School and an adviser to
governments on combating organized
crime.
“Mexico has never had an anti-Ma-
fia strategy. Mexico always continued
speaking of a public security strategy,
which it also doesn’t have.”
Mexican security strategy
scrutinized after massacre
President blames rise in
violence on predecessors
David Agren
Special to USA TODAY
Members of the LeBaron family mourn Tuesday while they look at the burned
car where some of their family members were killed during an ambush by
gunmen in Bavispe, Sonora mountains, Mexico.STR AND AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
“These are issues that come
from a long way back.”
Andrés Manuel López Obrador
Mexican president
PHOENIX – Ten more bodies were
discovered buried in Rocky Point, the
Attorney General’s Office in the Mex-
ican state of Sonora announced Satur-
day. The discovery brings the total
number of human remains recently
uncovered in the area to 58.
Forty-two bodies were initially dis-
covered in a mass grave near the beach
resort town approximately 200 miles
from Phoenix. Last weekend, the
group Searching Mothers of Sonora
said it discovered six additional bodies
and that armed men forced them to
abandon their search.
On Saturday, experts from the at-
torney general’s Scientific Forensic In-
telligence Lab, accompanied by staff
from the Mexican Association for Clin-
ical Research, completed the excava-
tions in five graves. The 10 newly dis-
covered sets of human remains appear
to be complete bodies.
Nine of the 18 autopsies that have
been conducted so far have been proc-
essed by an anthropologist working
with the National Commission for the
Search of Missing Persons. One body
has been returned to family members,
according to the state.
Lupita Orduño, spokeswoman for
the Sonora Attorney General’s Office,
has previously said it was too early to
come up with theories on why the bod-
ies were buried in a mass grave be-
cause they first had to determine how
they died or were killed.
The Sonora state attorney general is
able to continue its work thanks to the
support of high-profile medical and
criminal experts, as well as groups like
the Searching Mothers of Sonora,
“women who have turned their pain
into strength to recover their ‘trea-
sures,’ ” the office wrote in a statement.
10 bodies found
at mass grave
near border of
US and Mexico
Molly Duerig
Arizona Republic
USA TODAY NETWORK