Barron\'s - 21.10.2019

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October 21, 2019 BARRON’S 13


PULLING TEETH


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Canadians go to the polls to elect members to


Parliament. The Liberal Party, headed by Prime


Minister Justin Trudeau, seeks to retain the majority it won four years ago.


Monday


Monday 10/


Cadence Design Systems, Halli-


burton, TD Ameritrade Holding,


and Zions Bancorp report quarterly


results.


Tuesday 10/


Biogen, Chipotle Mexican Grill,


Hasbro, Lockheed Martin,


McDonald’s, Novartis, Procter &


Gamble, Texas Instruments,


United Parcel Service, and United


Technologies report earnings.


The National Association of Real-


tors reports existing-home sales for


September. Economists forecast a


seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.


million, even with August’s data.


Wednesday 10/


Ameriprise Financial, Anthem,


Boeing, Caterpillar, eBay, Eli


Lilly, Ford Motor, Microsoft,


Norfolk Southern, PayPal Hold-


ings, Tesla, and Thermo Fisher


Scientific report quarterly results.


Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg


testifies before the House Financial


Services Committee. The hearing is


titled, “An Examination of Facebook


and Its Impact on the Financial Ser-


vices and Housing Sectors.”


Hewlett Packard webcasts its 2019


securities analyst meeting. CEO An-


tonio Neri and Chief Financial Offi-


cer Tarek Robbiati will discuss the


firm’s strategic and financial outlook.


Thursday 10/


3M, Amazon.com, American Air-


lines Group, Comcast, Danaher,


Gilead Sciences, Hershey, Intel,


Northrop Grumman, Twitter, and


Visa report earnings.


The European Central Bank an-


nounces its monetary-policy deci-


sion. The central bank is expected to


leave it key short-term interest rate


unchanged at negative 0.5%. This


will be the last interest-rate meeting


headed by ECB President Mario


Draghi. His eight-year term expires


at the end of October. He will be suc-


ceeded by Christine Lagarde, former


head of the International Monetary


Fund.


The Census Bureau releases its


Durable Goods report for September.


New orders for manufactured dura-


ble goods are expected to fall 0.5%


after a 0.2% gain in August.


IHS Markit releases its Manufac-


turing PMI for October. Consensus


estimates are for a 50.3 reading,


down from September’s 51.1.


The Census Bureau reports new-


home sales for September. Econo-


mists forecast a seasonally adjusted


annual rate of 692,000, down 3%


from August’s 713,000 figure.


Friday 10/


Anheuser-Busch InBev, Cabot Oil


& Gas, Charter Communications,


Franklin Resources, Phillips 66,


and Verizon Communications hold


conference calls to discuss quarterly


results.


Disrupters vs.


Dentists


Just last month, teeth-fixer SmileDirectClub priced


its initial public offering at $23 per share. Shares closed


the past week at $9.46, down nearly 60%. That’s not the


kind of realignment that SmileDirect had in mind when


it decided to go public.


The company was built on a disruptive brand of orth-


odontia that’s closer to shopping for sunglasses than


visiting a dentist. Customers go to a SmileDirect store or


take an at-home mold of their teeth. From there, the


company creates a plastic aligner that customers can


wear to bed. The treatment usually takes six months,


with a one-time payment of $1,900. (A 24-month pay-


ment option comes to $2,290.)


Not surprisingly, dentists and orthodontists aren’t


thrilled. The American Dental Association has asked the


Federal Trade Commission to “investigate false and mis-


leading claims” from SmileDirect, arguing that a pre-


scription should be necessary for moving teeth.


Investors are caught in the middle. SmileDirectClub


shares fell 15% this past week after the California legisla-


ture passed a bill requiring an orthodontics provider to


review recent patient X-rays. In a statement following the


bill’s passage, SmileDirect said, “Simply put, this bill rep-


resents the dental lobby’s thinly veiled attempt to protect


traditional dentistry at the expense of Californians.”


SmileDirect will probably have more to say when the


company reports earnings next month. For now, Wall


Street isn’t worried about the fight with dentists. All


seven analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate SmileDirect


stock at Buy or its equivalent.—Evie Liu


AGrowingBite


SmileDirectClubgrewsales190%


last year, but rival Align Technology


maintains a significant lead.


But Not Much to Smile About


SmileDirectClub stock has slumped


since its IPO in September.


Sept. 16


2017 2018


Sept. 30 Oct. 14


$20.






1,


1,


$2,000 million


500














0






Source: Company filings


Source: FactSet


SmileDirectClub Align Technology


Illustration by Elias Stein

PREVIEW


Coming Earnings


Day Consensus Estimate Year Ago

M

Halliburton (3Q) $.34.

T

Procter & Gamble (1Q) 1.24 1.

McDonald’s (3Q) 2.21 2.

Texas Instruments (3Q) 1.42 1.

Nextera Energy (3Q) 2.28 2.

Biogen (3Q) 8.27 7.

More Earnings on Page M

Consensus Estimate


Day Consensus Est Last Period

Th Sept. Durable Goods Orders -0.3% 0.2%

Sept. New Home Sales 699,000 713,

F Oct. Consumer Sentiment - f 96.0 96.

Unless otherwise indicated, a-Advanced; f-Final; p-Preliminary;
r-Revised

Source: FactSet

For more information about coming economic reports - and what
they mean - go to Barron's free Economic Calendar at
http://www.Barrons.com
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