Barron\'s - 21.10.2019

(Barry) #1

October 21, 2019 BARRON’S 35


Income Approach


To the Editor:


Finding income ideas in this low-rate


environment is no easy feat (“How to


Play Upside-Down Interest Rates,”


Cover Story, Oct. 11).


However, before purchasing lower-


quality investments or extending bond


maturity beyond what is appropriate,


prudent investors should be reminded of


the potential consequences. These strate-


gies can cause stock-like volatility in the


fixed-income portion of one’s portfolio,


which is generally viewed as more con-


servative.


The last thing any investor wants is to


experience a drop in his or her invest-


ments that is significantly more than they


expected.


One solution for yield-starved inves-


tors is a total-return approach. Instead of


just collecting income from stock divi-


dends and bond interest, they should also


sell some appreciated securities to sup-


plement the income stream with capital


gains. Doing so will allow investors to


maintain their desired level of cash flow


Mailbag


Mailbag


“Ipaytoinsuremyhouse,car,andlife.Whyshouldn’tIpay


toguaranteemypurchasingpower?Negativerealyields


onsafeassetsarenormal.” PAULO’BRIEN, On Barrons.com


SEND LETTERS TO:


[email protected]. To be considered for


publication, correspondence must bear the


writer’s name, address, and phone number.


Letters are subject to editing.


without taking on unnecessary risk.


JONATHANI.SHENKMAN


West Hempstead, N.Y.


To the Editor:


Andrew Bary mentions the Vanguard Hi-


Yield Corporate mutual fund. It is a “defen-


sive” approach to high-yield investing, cur-


rently paying 4.7%, and I am long in it. As


with most Vanguard offerings, it’s conserva-


tive, and fees are very low. This fund has


obviously attracted a lot of attention lately,


evidenced by the fact that the net asset


value has risen to record levels since 2009.


RONRAMSAY


Palmetto, Fla.


Under the Mattress


To the Editor:


Matthew C. Klein posits that “to an in-


vestor, there is no difference between a


bond yielding minus 1% in a world of 1%


inflation and a bond yielding 5% in a


world of 7% inflation” (“The Price of


Earnings Glut—Negative Rates,” The


Economy, Oct. 11). That’s hardly true for


this investor. I would prefer the former,


since I can keep my money under the


proverbial mattress and lose only 1% in


real terms, versus 2% with the latter.


HARRYKIRSCH


Principal Marble Capital


San Francisco


To the Editor:


Historically, government bonds have not


been the safe asset. Gold was. And gold


has always had a small negative real yield


once storage and protection costs are con-


sidered. Why should a safe asset deliver a


positive real return? I pay to insure my


house, car, and life. Why shouldn’t I pay to


guarantee my purchasing power? Nega-


tive real yields on safe assets are normal.


The high real yields of the past three


decades were the anomaly.


PAULO’BRIEN


On Barrons.com


Given Enough Time


To the Editor:


Randall W. Forsyth distorts Murphy’s cele-


brated law when he writes, “Whatever can


go wrong, will” (”Sometimes Things Can Go


Right—and a Lot Did for the Stock Market


Last Week,” Up & Down Wall Street, Oct.


11). The full, correct, and much subtler


statement of Murphy’s Law is, “Whatever


can go wrong, will go wrong, givenenough


time. ” It is with enough time that struc-


tural flaws in a system will necessarily


emerge, and that financial vulnerabilities


will burst from potential dangers to an ac-


tual bust. As properly stated, Murphy’s


Law will doubtless prevail once again in


finance, as in other domains.


ALEXJ.POLLOCK


R Street Institute


Washington, D.C.


Regional Banks


To the Editor:


I agree that lower interest rates may put


pressure on financials’ net interest mar-


gins, but would argue that many regional


banks have hedged interest-rate risk and


are benefiting from a strong consumer


sector, modest increases in commercial


and industrial lending, and pristine loan


portfolios (“5 Dividend Stocks With Safe


and Growing Payouts When Bonds Can’t


Do the Trick,” Income Investing, Oct. 11).


Just as important when considering


the safety of the dividend is that the


dividend-to-earnings payout ratio is in


the range of only 35%. Citizens Financial


Group, PNC Financial Services Group,


BB&T, and a host of others have dividend


yields of 3.25% to 4.25%.


JOHNKENNEDY


On Barrons.com


GE: A Speculative Stock


To the Editor:


I agree that [General Electric’s pension


decision] puts points on the board for


CEO Larry Culp’s turnaround (“Pensions


Really Matter for Stocks. Here’s What


Investors Need to Know After GE’s


Freeze,” The Trader, Oct. 11). However,


if it leads to discontent and cynicism in


the workforce, that could cut against


goals. I continue to think that GE is a


speculative stock, though this is probably


the strongest indication yet that the bal-


ance sheet may be righted.


CHRISTOPHERPHELPS


On Barrons.com


Stories Behind the Stories


The Readback podcast takes you


insidethe Barron’s newsroomand


our stories. In the latest episode,


Matthew C. Klein joins host Alex


Eule to explain Europe’s negative


interest rates.


Signuptodaywhereveryoulisten


to your podcasts or head to


Barrons.com/podcastsfor more


information.


Corrections&Amplifications


“GE and 4 More Favorite Stocks From a


Fan of Disruption” (Interview, Oct. 11) con-


tained a number of errors.David Giroux,


manager of the T. Rowe Price Capital Appre-


ciation fund, met with people who had worked


with Sen. Elizabeth Warren in the past, not


those currently working with her. Giroux said


that Amazon.com and Netflix have changed


cable networks’ businesses, not that stream-


ing in general had. Utilities are a large over-


weight, relative to the benchmark for the fund,


not its largest absolute position.


General Electric’s power business,


Giroux believes, is best described as 15%


to 20% of the company’s enterprise value,


rather than 10% to 15% of its portfolio.


Giroux expects high-single digit cash-flow


growth from GE’s aerospace business, not


mid-single digit growth. Fortive has bought


businesses with $1.7 billion in revenue, not


assets. And Giroux’s fund reduced its


fixed-income exposure from 30% last year,


not 35% to 36%.The exposure is now 25%,


not 24%.


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