The Economist

(Steven Felgate) #1
The EconomistAugust 4th 2018 49

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ENSETIME the world’s most valuable
artificial-intelligence startup was not
one to “bow and scrape for five pecks of
rice” said Tang Xiaoou one of its co-foun-
ders last September. Yet within two
months the proud firm which is worth
$4.5bn had buckled and taken investment
from Alibaba a Chinese e-commerce titan.
For ambitious entrepreneurs it was all of a
piece with a bleak scene that Mr Tang had
described: “Google and Facebook ahead of
you; behind you a gaggle of small compa-
nies thinking of copying you. And above
you three big mountains.”
Those three Chinese mountains are
Baidu an online-search giant Alibaba and
Tencent a social-media and gaming titan
collectively known asBAT. Ever fewer pro-
mising young Chinese companies seem
able to escape the reach of theirinsatiable
investment teams. The tech triumvirate
has already invested directly or indirectly
in half of the 124 startups counted as “uni-
corns” (those worth $1bn or more) byIT
Juzi a database of startups in Beijing. By
the time firms hit the $5bn mark over 80%
have taken a form ofBATinvestment. Their
reach is a growing concern among entre-
preneurs though few openly admit it.
Of the triumvirate two are colossi.
Even after declines in their share prices
Alibaba and Tencent are still worth close to
half a trillion dollars. In recent years both
have moved out of their core businesses
into areas as varied as bike-sharing ride-

azon Facebook and Google also mainly in
consumer-internet products. But for sheer
breadth and firepower look to China. Ac-
cording to McKinsey a consultant Ameri-
ca’s giants make just 5% of all domesticVC
investments whereas between them the
BATs account for close to half of those in
China (though Baidu’s are relatively mea-
gre). Tencent has a portfolio of 600 stake-
holdings acquired over the past six years
(see chart) many unannounced. There is
barely a trace of bombast when Jack Ma
Alibaba’s founder says that he eventually
hopes to see former Alibaba employees
running 200 of the top 500 Chinese firms.
Wen Feixiang IT Juzi’s founder says
that it is becoming received wisdom that to
grow into a unicorn a young firm has no
choice but to join one of the two camps.
Alibaba and Tencent are offering more
than just large cheques. Their platforms
have become irresistible. WeChat Ten-
cent’s instant-messaging service counts
over 1bn users. Alibaba’s emporia are
home to 1m merchants. Between them
they account for 94% of mobile transac-
tions through WeChat Pay and Alipay
their rival payment systems.
In America venture capitalists shy
away from backing startups whose busi-
ness centres on the consumer internet be-
cause the likes of Google and Facebook are
so dominant there. In China that is not yet
the case and early-round financing re-
mains plentiful. ManyVCs try to sniff out
the sparkiest startups anticipating a gener-
ous exit later when the giants buy in. Then
dozens of young firms race each other to
secure funding from Alibaba or Tencent.
That race helps propel entrepreneur-
ship argues Gan Jie a professor and board
member ofDJI a whizzydrone firm that
despite its valuation of $15bn has not taken
investment from either Alibaba or Tencent
(it along with other Chinese hardware

hailing and food delivery clashing fre-
quently along the way. Mature and power-
ful they are ruthlessly blocking and tack-
ling not only each other but any firm that
sides with the enemy.
More startups are thus becoming
locked into a proxy war over the consumer
internet in turn shaping how young busi-
nesses strategise and grow. The risk is that
China develops a sort of mandated form of
entrepreneurship driven by the strategies
of a near-duopoly. That would be a disap-
pointing turn of events for a calibre of in-
novators unseen in the country for years.
To venture-capital (VC) firms in Ameri-
ca the story may well sound familiar.
There the talk is of a “kill-zone” around ac-
quisitive technology giants including Am-

China’s venture titans

Feeding frenzy


HANGZHOU
Alibaba and Tencent have become China’s most formidable investors. Their
gorging is shaping the next shoal of startups

Business


Also in this section
50 Bartleby: Mission implausible
51 Tech giants’ earnings
52 Milk wars
52 Selling to Japan’s elderly
53 Commercialising autonomous cars
54 The blockchain and energy

A net cast wide

Source: Crunchbase *Includes subsidiaries

Number of venture-capital investment rounds*

0

20

40

60

80

2008 10 12 14 16 17

Alibaba
Tencent

Schumpeter is away
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