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(Kiana) #1

Stephen Kotkin


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Trump’s sensitivity to any mention o• Russian interference and his bi-
zarre public statements accepting Putin’s denials, the report refers to
Trump’s insecurities over how his election could be seen as illegitimate,
as well as to his wish to build a windfall Trump Tower in Moscow. The
report contains no section analyzing Trump’s long-standing envy o”
strongman rulers. Nor does the report address the mutual failures o” the
U.S.-Russian relationship. The three presidents who preceded Trump, all
o” whom served two terms, could not Ãgure out how to manage U.S.-
Russian relations over the long run. Each tried engagement, or a “reset,”
followed by some version o” attempted isolation, culminating in sanctions
and no visible way forward. In important ways, Russian interference in
U.S. domestic politics stemmed directly from those failures; so, in part,
have Trump’s conciliatory gestures. But Trump did not even get his reset:
despite his over-the-top expressions o” admiration for Putin, his admin-
istration went straight to the phase o” sanctions and recriminations.
In this light, the Russian attack on American democracy cannot be
viewed as even a tactical success. Instead o” getting his dismemberment
o” Ukraine legally recognized or sanctions lifted, Putin got slapped with
additional sanctions. The cyber-intrusions and special operations to
disseminate stolen e-mails were a technical success, but their contribu-
tion to Trump’s victory was at most marginal. The Kremlin did get
Washington to obsess about Russia in unhealthy ways, and Moscow’s
actions did play a part in launching a fury-raising investigation o” a U.S.
president. But the United States has resilient institutions (as opposed
to Russia’s corrupt ones), a gigantic economy (as opposed to Russia’s
medium-sized one), and a powerfully self-organized civil society (as
opposed to Russia’s persecuted one). That is why highly educated, en-
trepreneurial Russians continue to immigrate to the United States.
This is also why, notwithstanding the unmet, unrealistic expectations
o” the Mueller report, the Trumpian moment is an opportunity. The
best o” the United States is there to be rediscovered, reinvented, and
repositioned for the challenges the country faces: the dilemmas posed
by bioengineering, rising seas and extreme weather, the overconcentra-
tion o” economic power, and the geopolitical rivalry with China. Above
all, what the country needs is massive domestic investment in human
capital, infrastructure, and good governance. Trump’s instinctive exploi-
tation oÊ Washington’s recent failures oers an emphatic reminder that
the country must attend to those elements o” American greatness. At a
high cost, Trump could nonetheless be a gift, i” properly understood.∂
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