The Economist

(Steven Felgate) #1

10 Leaders The EconomistJuly 21 st 2018


1

D

ONALD TRUMP likes to
boast that he does things
differently from his predeces-
sors. That was certainly true of
his trip to Europe. In Brussels he
chided Germany for a gas deal
that left it “totally controlled by
Russia”. In England he humiliat-
ed his host Theresa May blasting her Brexit plan before hold-
ingherhand and hailing“the highest level ofspecial” relation-
ship. From his Scottish golf resort he called the European
Union a “foe” on trade. And in Helsinki asked whether Russia
had attacked America’s democracy he treated President Vladi-
mir Putin assomeone he trusts more than hisown intelligence
agencies. It was a rotten result for America and the world.
Americans were more than usually outraged. At the post-
summitpress conference in Helsinki with the world watching
and the American flag behind him their head of state had ap-
peared weak (see Europe section). He was unwilling to stand
up for America in the face of an assault that had been graphi-
cally described three days earlier by Robert Mueller the spe-
cial counsel probing election meddling in his indictment of 12
Russian military-intelligence officers (see Lexington). Republi-
cans were among Mr Trump’s fiercest critics. “No prior presi-
dent has ever abased himself more abjectly before a tyrant”
wrote Senator John McCain. Even Newt Gingrich normally a
staunch defender decried “the most serious mistake of his
presidency”. The reaction forced Mr Trump into a convoluted
series ofclimbdowns which did little to repair the damage.
Yet for all his hostility towards allies and cosiness with Mr
Putin the trip could have been an even bigger disaster. Fears
that Mr Trump might torpedo the NATO summit as he had the
G 7 one proved overblown. He put his name to a communiqué
reaffirming the allies’ commitment to mutual defence and

their tough stance against Russia. Worries that with Mr Putin
he might promise to roll back sanctions or recognise Russia’s
annexation of Crimea proved groundless—as far as we can tell
(the presidents met with only their interpreters present).
Mr Trump even did some useful things. He was right to
press NATO allies to spend more on defence even if his claim
to have raised “vast amounts of money” is an exaggeration.
Andtalkingtohis Russian counterpartmakessense. To be sure
Mr Trump’s hopes for a tremendous relationship with Mr Pu-
tin may end in a familiar disappointment: George W. Bush
looked into Mr Putin’s eyes and detected a soul and Russia in-
vaded Georgia; Barack Obama pressed a “reset” button and
Russia invaded Ukraine. But America and Russia have a lot to
discuss not least on nuclear-arms control.

America worst
However these gains come at too high a price. Mr Trump’s be-
haviour a quixotic mix of poison and flattery has further un-
dermined Europeans’ trust in America. When asked about the
Mueller probe and the decline in relations with Russia Mr
Trump said feebly that he holds “both countries responsible”.
Perhaps his vanity does not allow him to treat seriously a Rus-
sian attack that he fears could tarnish his own election tri-
umph. Perhaps as some suspect Mr Putin really does have
material compromisingMr Trump. Either way where America
once aspiredto bea beacon relativism rules. Thatleaves all de-
mocracies more vulnerable.
Mr Putin fresh from a successful World Cup thus emerges
as the winner in Helsinki. True he may have scored an own
goalinadmittingthatyes he had wanted MrTrump to win the
election. But a self-doubting West damaged democracy and
the spectacle of America’s president deferring to him on the
world stage count as a hat-trickat the otherend. In Helsinki Mr
Putin looked smug. Mr Trump looked at best a mug. 7

Donald Trump’s European tour

Humiliation in Helsinki


How to interpret a shameful press conference with VladimirPutin


T

HE new Brexit plan has
crumpled on its first contact
with reality. Faster than even we
expected Parliament has been
seized by the idea that Theresa
May might not be able to win a
majority for a Brexit ofany sort.
Ifnothingchanges the prime
minister could breakthe jam in three ways: use crashing out of
the European Union without a deal as a threat to get MPs to
compromise; ask voters to elect a new Parliament that is up to
the task; or asthe authorRobertHarrissays hand “the scream-
ing defecating vomiting baby back to its parents—the elector-

ate” for a second referendum. All three have problems but if
Brexit must be unblocked a referendum would be least bad.
Mrs May’s plan imposed on her cabinet this month at Che-
quers her official country house set Britain on the path to a
“soft” Brexit. Ifthe EUagrees to it the country would in effect
stay in the single market for goods though not services. It
would pay heed to EU standards and court rulings. Until the
government could devise a way of collecting tariffs without
border checks Britain would remain in a customs union.
This plan was supposed to rally Conservatives. Instead the
partyis atwarwith itself. This weekhard-Brexiteers claimed to
have wrecked the Chequers plan by getting Mrs May to accept
amendments that contradict it. Whether they are right or not

Britain and the EU

The case for a second referendum


IfParliament cannotagree on a Brexit deal the decision must go backto the people

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