The Economist

(Steven Felgate) #1

38 Europe The EconomistJuly 21 st 2018


2 are the two great nuclear powers” with
“special responsibility for maintaining in-
ternational security”.
Mr Trump for his part owes his elector-
al victory to attacking the establishment
and provoking its outrage. If this was his
aim in Helsinki he certainly succeeded.
Democratsberatedthepresident andJohn
Brennan the CIA director under Mr
Obama called Mr Trump’s performance
“treasonous”—a line which was immedi-
ately seized upon by the Russian media as
anotherproofofAmerica’s innatehostility

towards Russia.
Yet if anything the summit showed
that America’s problems are no more root-
ed in Russia than Russia’s problems are in
America. Thebiggest threat toRussia stems
not from America but its own president
who has undermined the rule of law and
the safety of his people. Somethingsimilar
may now be true of America. As Richard
Haass president of the Council on Foreign
Relations a think-tank said in a tweet in
Helsinki“AmericaFirstresemblednothing
so much as Russia First.” 7

Source:Eurobarometer *Those respondingfairly/very negative

Negative sentiment* about non-EU immigration
Percentage-pointchangeNov 2014 toMar 2018
20 10 – 0 + 10 20

Ireland

Britain

Spain
Italy
Germany
EU average
France
Netherlands
Greece
Austria
Czech Rep.
Finland
Denmark
Slovakia
Sweden
Hungary
Poland
Romania

BECOMING
LESS
NEGATIVE

BECOMING
MORE
NEGATIVE

You might assume that the huge inflow of
asylum-seekers since 2015 has made
Europe more xenophobic. Opinion polls
tell a more nuanced story. In November
2014 Eurobarometer began asking citi-
zens ofEUcountries about their sen-
timents towards immigrants. Since then
the overall share of people who have
negative feelings about arrivals from
outside the bloc has fallen from 57 % to
52 %. Different regions however have
been pulling in opposite directions.
Western and southern European coun-
tries have generally become friendlier to
foreigners while northern and eastern
countries have grown more hostile.
Crucially though there seems to be no
correlation between how many migrants
and refugees a country admitted and its
changing opinions of non-Europeans.

Xenophobia’s ups and downs

F


OR Romania’s corrupt politicians Lau-
ra Kovesi has been a nightmare. Ap-
pointed chief of the National Anticorrup-
tion Directorate ( DNA) in 2013 the
implacable prosecutor has overseen the
convictions of more than 1 000 officials
businesspeople and politicians including
nine former ministers. In June the DNA
won a felony conviction against Liviu
Dragnea who as head of the ruling Social
Democrats ( PSD) is Romania’s most pow-
erful politician. He could face three-and-a-
half years in prison for putting two PSD
functionaries on the payroll of the state
child-protection agency.
Yet Mr Dragnea’s allies have fought
back implausibly accusing Ms Kovesi of
incompetence and of targeting only politi-
cians she dislikes. In February the justice

minister ordered her to be fired but Presi-
dent KlausIohannis refused to sign her dis-
missal. The constitutional court sided with
the government and on July 9 th MrIohan-
nis reluctantlysacked her.
Ms Kovesi and the DNA have been a
beacon of hope for reformers in central
and eastern Europe. Herdismissal ispart of
a dismal trend. Across the region upstart
clean-hands parties and protest move-
ments face an unfairfight against networks
of self-dealing politicians and relentless
populardisenchantment.
In Ukraine where politicsisdominated
by powerful oligarchs reformers won a
long-sought victory in June when parlia-
ment created an independent anti-corrup-
tion court. But critics say the new court
lacks sufficient powers. Anti-corruption

campaigners face relentless harassment.
On July 1 7th Vitaly Shabunin one of the
country’s top activists was attacked by
thugs and sprayed with green dye as police
stood bypassively.
Bulgaria the worst offenderin the Euro-
pean Union hurriedly passed a new anti-
corruption law in January aftertaking over
the EU’s rotating presidency. But the new
law violates an EU directive by failing to
protect whistle-blowers who would have
to identify themselves to submit evidence.
In the Czech Republic the prime minister
Andrej Babis formed his second minority
government in June despite facing charges
offraud.
Slovakia had an inspirational period
this spring after the murders in February
of a young investigative journalist and his
girlfriend sparked huge protests that forced
Robert Fico the prime minister to resign.
“People couldn’t believe they lived in the
sort of country where journalists get mur-
dered” says Karolina Farska a 19 - year-old
student and one ofthe central figures in the
Initiative for a Decent Slovakia which
helped organise the protests. Her group
plans to back independent candidates in
the country’s municipal elections later this
year. But the amateur movement has lost
steam and few people think its transition
to electoral politics will be successful.
Good-government parties depend on
the diffuse hopes of citizens for a better
country. Corrupt parties have more con-
crete motivations: money power and the
need to protect themselves from the law.
Since the PSD took power in Romania in
December 2016 “the entire energy of the
government has been focused on keeping
Mr Dragnea out of jail” says Dan Barna
leader of the Union to Save Romania
(USR) an opposition anti-corruption party.
The USR helped organise protests in
early 2017 that stopped the government
from passing an ordinance to cripple the
DNAand exonerate Mr Dragnea. But a new
law before parliament would have much
the same effect giving the justice minister
more power over the judiciary. The Coun-
cil of Venice a European legal advisory
body says the measure could damage the
rule of law. The European Commission
says it will “take action where necessary”
to ensure compatibility with EU law—a
veiled threat of infringement proceedings
ifthe new measure goes too far.
The risk is what political scientists call
“state capture”: the monopolisation ofgov-
ernment by corrupt actors. Exposing scan-
dals without fixing them does little good
says Miroslav Beblavy a Slovakian MP
who in January co-founded Together a
good-government party. This may drive
voters to populist parties who promise re-
venge on elites: “If you see someone piss-
ingin yourface everydayand there’s noth-
ing you can do about it that makes you
about as angryas you can get.” 7

Corruption in eastern Europe

Miss justice


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