The Week UK 11.08.2019

(Brent) #1
Shares CITY 51

10 August 2019 THE WEEK

AG Barr
Shares
The Irn-Bru maker has blamed
its “punishing” profit warning
on astrategy shift and some
disappointing weather. But
it is dependable, defensive
and growing, withastrong
balance sheet andagood track
record. Buy. 685p.


Centamin
Shares
The recovering gold miner has
$300m in cash and business
has been boosted by an
improving gold price. All eyes
are now on the potential of the
Egyptian Sukari mine after a
better than expected interim
dividend. Buy. 129.6p.


Games Workshop Group
Investors Chronicle
The group’s ever-popular
miniature fantasy figures have
securedathird year of record
results. The dearth of sizeable
competitors–and a“laser”
focus on audience engagement
and ever-improving returns
–are reassuring. Buy. £45.36.

Fuller Smith&Turner
Investors Chronicle
After selling its brewery
business, Fuller’s £205m cash
infusion is going towards
upgrading and expanding
the pub and hotel business.
Revenues are up 4.9% and
it’s set for cash returns.
Buy. £10.75.

Johnson Service Group
Investors Chronicle
Johnson provides workwear
and linen to hotels, restaurants
and caterers. Resilient and
cash-generative, with
impressive organic growth
and upcoming consolidation
opportunities. Buy. 169.6p.

Softcat
Shares
Softcat is increasing market
share asa“value-added
reseller” majoring on third-
party software and cyber-
security products. It has a
good track record and growth
potential, and profits are
beating expectations. Yields
3.8%. Buy. 959.5p.

Who’s tipping what

The week’s best shares

...and some to hold, avoid or sell

Berkeley Energia
The Sunday Times
The uranium explorer’s hopes
of mining in Spain have been
dashed thanks to anti-nuclear
politics. Prices are weak and, as
yet, there’s still no decision on
whether the necessary licences
will be granted. Sell. 15.75p.


Centrica
The Mail on Sunday
The British Gas-owner has
suffered sliding sales, tumbling
profits andadividend slashed
to 5p–amajor decline for one
of the FTSE 100 stalwarts.
Shares are at their lowest point
since 1997, CEO Iain Conn is
leaving and prospects are
unclear. Sell. 73.38p.


Lookers
Investors Chronicle
The struggling car retailer
has been hit by low consumer
confidence, cost inflation and
the threat of new emission
laws. An FCA probe doesn’t
help, andano-deal Brexit
would exacerbate its problems.
Sell. 45.35p.

Next
The Daily Telegraph
The retailer has revised profit
forecasts upwards as sales in
own-brand merchandise rise.
Stock management is
improving, and online growth
of 12% has offset the 4.2%
decline in sales from shops.
Hold. £60.54.

Sage Group
The Times
The accountancy and payroll
software group is focusing on
migrating its customers to the
cloud and moving toamore
lucrative subscription model.
Shares have fallen, but the
strategy is “clearly working”.
Hold. 736.5p.

Sports Direct International
The Daily Telegraph
The sportswear retailer is
“in chaos”:aseries of
acquisitions have costafortune
and proved a“damaging
distraction”. House of Fraser
has “terminal” problems, and
the core business has “lost its
way”. Sell. 214.4p.

Directors’ dealings

Berkeley Group

Chairman Tony Pidgley has
soldafifth of his shares in the
London-focused house builder
he co-founded, pocketing
£37m. This is one of several
major disposals, resulting in a
halving of his stake. Pidgley
retainsa£139m tranche.

Form guide

Shares tipped 12 weeks ago
Best tip
Zscaler
The Daily Telegraph
up 22.16% to $79.94

Worst tip
Ibstock
The Times
down 15.47% to 216.4p

Market view

“It looks like a
tsunami is coming.”
Hao Zhou of Commerzbank
on the market
implications of China’s
currency devaluation.
Quoted in the FT

SOURCE: INVESTORS CHRONICLE

Market summary

6-month movement in the FTSE 100 index

6Aug 2019 Week before Change (%)
FTSE 100 7171.69 7646.77 –6.21%
FTSE All-share UK 3920.70 4164.69 –5.86%
Dow Jones 25829.08 27152.19 –4.87%
NASDAQ 7776.83 8261.50 –5.87%
Nikkei 225 20585.31 21709.31 –5.18%
Hang Seng 25976.24 28146.50 –7.71%
Gold 1465.25 1419.05 3.26%
Brent Crude Oil 59.61 64.10 –7.00%
DIVIDEND YIELD(FTSE 100) 4.50% 4.22%
UK 10-year gilts yield 0.51 0.63
US 10-year Treasuries 1.74 2.07
UK ECONOMIC DATA
Latest CPI (yoy) 2.0% (Jun) 2.0% (May)
3.0% (May
+5.7% (Jun)

Latest RPI (yoy) 2.9% (Jun)
Halifax house price (yoy) +4.1% (Jul)
£1 STERLING $1.216 E1.086 ¥129.160

Key numbers for investors Best and worst performing shares Following the Footsie

WEEK’S CHANGE, FTSE 100 STOCKS
RISES Price %change
Intl. Cons. Airl. Gp. 446.20 +7.57
Rentokil Initial 434.90 +5.51
Next 5858.00 +4.31
London Stock Ex. Gp. 6598.00 +1.45
Brit.American Tobacco 2980.00 +0.07
FALLS
Taylor Wimpey 146.50 –17.02
Glencore 231.35 –15.26
Rolls-Royce Holdings 759.00 –14.83
Mondi 1553.50 –14.67
Anglo American 1808.40 –13.47
BEST AND WORST UK STOCKS OVERALL
Adept4 1.25 +257.14
Verseon Corporation 13.75 –66.87
Source: Datastream (not adjusted for dividends). Prices on6Aug (pm)

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug


7,100


7,300


7,500


7,700


4,000


3,400


Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug


3,700


3,500


3,600


3,800


3,900


Chairman
sells 1m
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