Barron\'s - 16.09.2019

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18 BARRON’S September 16, 2019


Founder Kate Spade (who died last year)


soldamajoritystakeinhercompanyin


andlatersteppedawayfromitsdesignstu-


dio,butthebrandhascontinuedtoresonate


underotherdesigners.StuartWeitzman,the


smallest of the three brands, gave Coach


footwearexpertisethatithadbeenlacking,


says Gabriella Santaniello, a retail analyst


and consultant with ALine Partners.


But in the company’s most recent quar-


ter, it became clear that the holding-com-


panystrategyhaslimitations—particularlyif


one of the brands isn’t selling well. In this


case, the problem child has been Kate


Spade. Same-store sales fell 6% because of


weakness in North America, and the com-


pany expects a decline in the high teens in


thecurrentquarter.“KateSpadeisamajor


problem,” Jefferies analyst Randal Konik


wrote recently.


InSantaniello’sview,oneproblemisthat


Tapestry appears to be “Coach-ifying” the


brand—raising the level of craftsmanship


butremovingthefun.“They’retakingaway


from the DNA of Kate Spade, which was


verycolorfulandwhimsicalandengaging,”


she said.


Zeitlin has heardthecriticism.“IfIcould


get paid a dollar for every time somebody


tells me that the Kate Spade brand is bro-


ken, our stock would be $50,” he says.


The comeback plan involves bringing


back some of that whimsy. “In our initial


moves, we had frankly put less emphasis


on that,” he acknowledges. Tapestry will


also continue its aggressive overseas ex-


pansion, bringing new Kate Spade and


Stuart Weitzman stores to China and other


Asian countries, in particular. Kate Spade


added 52 international stores last year, a


56% increase to itssquare footage outside


the U.S. Coach’s success in China gives


Kate Spade a head start.


Several analysts have backed away


from Tapestry amid Kate Spade’s stum-


bles. “Should we throw in the towel and


downgrade the stock?” asked Bernstein


analyst Jamie Merriman in a client note,


before deciding against it. Coach itself is


definitely not broken, she wrote, and ap-


pears to be taking market share.


Merriman thinks the stock can get to


$31, implying a 25% return. A bet now on


Tapestry’s turnaround could turn out to be


a bargain.


“They’retakingawayfrom


theDNAofKateSpade,


whichwasverycolorfuland


whimsicalandengaging.”


Retailanalyst


GabriellaSantaniello


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