William_T._Bianco,_David_T._Canon]_American_Polit

(nextflipdebug2) #1

who attend national


nominating conventions.


Delegates from all states attend the
national convention, where they
vote for the party’s presidential and
vice-presidential nominees based
on the primary and caucus results.
Superdelegates—important party
leaders—also vote at the convention.

are used to select


delegates...


Democratic Party
The state’s delegates are divided
proportionally.

Republican Party
States can award all delegates to the
winning candidate

or award delegates proportionally.


Closed Primaries
Only voters registered with
party vote

Open Primaries
Open to voters from any political
party and Independents

Caucus or
Local Convention
Party members meet in groups
to select delegates

Primaries and caucuses...


How it works: in theory


Nominating Presidential Candidates


How it works: in practice


The Nomination


of Donald Trump


for President,


2016


While Donald Trump was the clear winner in the 2016 Republican
presidential nomination contest, his campaign benefited from the
rules used in some of the early contests, particularly the use of primary
elections rather than caucuses and the use of winner-take-all rules for
delegate allocation.

Note: Colorado has been omitted because its caucus did not allocate delegates.
Source: Data compiled by the authors.

Winner-take-all delegate allocation
Proportional delegate allocation
% Percentage of popular vote won
Delegates allocated

Tr u m p Rubio Cruz Kasich

Caucus/
Primary

Winner
Ta ke A l l?
Feb. 1 Iowa 24%
23%
28%
2% Caucus NO

Feb. 9 New Hampshire 35%
12% 11% 16% Primary NO

Feb. 20 South Carolina 33%
23% 23% 8% Primary YES

Feb. 23 Nevada 46%
24%
21%
4% Caucus NO

Mar. 1 Alabama 43%
19% 21%
4% Primary NO

Alaska 34%
15%
36%
4% Caucus NO

Arkansas 33%
25%
31%
4% Primary NO

Georgia 39%
24%
24%
6% Primary NO

Massachusetts 49%
18%
10% 18%
Primary NO

Minnesota 21%
37%
29%
6% Caucus NO

Oklahoma 28%^
26%
34%
4% Primary NO

Tennessee 39%
21%
24%
5% Primary NO

Te x a s 27%
19% 44%
4% Primary NO

Vermont 33%
19% 10% 30%
Primary NO

Virginia 35%
32%
17%
9% Primary NO

Total delegates 340 116 230 27



  1. Which states used winner-
    take-all rules in 2016? How
    much did Trump benefit from
    this rule in the early primaries? If
    there were more winner-take-all
    states, which candidate(s) would
    have done better? Which would
    have done worse?

  2. One argument about caucuses
    is that they allow lesser-known
    candidates (such as John Kasich)
    to build support. Did this rule
    hold for Kasich in 2016?


Critical Thinking


ww04_5_7_8_13_041316_ck.indd 5-6 17/07/18 2:13 PM


Full_09_APT_64431_ch08_262-295.indd 283 19/11/18 2:44 PM
Free download pdf