LATIMES.COM S WST SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2019A
WASHINGTON — For-
mer top officials of the Na-
tional Oceanic and Atmos-
pheric Administration are
assailing the agency for
undermining its weather
forecasters as it defends
President Trump’s state-
ment from days ago that
Hurricane Dorian threat-
ened Alabama.
They say NOAA’s action
risks the credibility of the
nation’s weather and scien-
ce agency and may even risk
lives. The critics served both
Republican and Democratic
presidents. Among them are
former NOAA officials and a
former disaster response
chief.
“This rewriting history to
satisfy an ego diminishes
NOAA,” Elbert “Joe” Friday,
former Republican-ap-
pointed director of the Na-
tional Weather Service, said
on Facebook.
He told the Associated
Press on Saturday: “We
don’t want to get to the point
where science is determined
by politics rather than scien-
ce and facts. And I’m afraid
this is an example where this
is beginning to occur.”
The previous evening, a
statement issued by NOAA
without attribution to any
specific individuals lent sup-
port to Trump’s warning
days earlier that Alabama
faced danger from Dorian,
even though the state had
never been included in offi-
cial hurricane advisories
and his information was
outdated.
The statement under-
mined a Twitter message by
the weather service’s office
in Birmingham, Ala., that
had said Alabama would see
no impact from Dorian. The
weather service’s tweet was
“inconsistent” with forecast
probabilities at the time,
NOAA’s statement said.
Former officials saw a po-
litical hand at work. The
White House did not im-
mediately respond to a re-
quest for comment Sat-
urday as to whether it had
communicated with NOAA
before the agency released
its statement Friday. NOAA
officials also didn’t respond
to requests for comment.
“This falls into such un-
charted territory,” said
Craig Fugate, who was Flor-
ida emergency management
chief under Republican Gov.
Jeb Bush and director of the
Federal Emergency Man-
agement Agency under
Democratic President
Obama. “You have science
organizations putting out
statements against their
own offices. For the life of
me, I don’t think I would
have ever faced this under
President Obama or Gov.
Bush.”
Fugate said the contra-
dictory statements damage
the National Weather Serv-
ice and could not predict
how much it might hurt hur-
ricane preparedness and re-
sponse.
Jane Lubchenco, NOAA
administrator during the
Obama administration,
said: “It is truly sad to see po-
litical appointees undermin-
ing the superb, lifesaving
work of NOAA’s talented
and dedicated career serv-
ants. Scientific integrity at a
science agency matters.”
Retired Adm. David Tit-
ley, former NOAA opera-
tions chief and a former me-
teorology professor at Penn
State University, said that
NOAA’s leadership is show-
ing “moral cowardice” and
that officials should have re-
signed instead of issuing the
statement chastising the
Birmingham office. Friday
said he would have quit had
he been in the same situa-
tion.
Titley said Saturday that
mistrust of NOAA forecasts
could affect people facing
life-or-death decisions on
whether to evacuate.
“For people who look for
excuses not to take action
when their lives or property
are threatened ... I think this
can potentially feed that,”
Titley said.
Former National Hurri-
cane Center director Bill
Read on Friday also excori-
ated NOAA on Facebook,
saying he was speaking be-
cause government employ-
ees were too afraid for their
jobs to speak.
Last Sunday, Trump
tweeted: “In addition to
Florida — South Carolina,
North Carolina, Georgia,
and Alabama, will most
likely be hit (much) harder
than anticipated. Looking
like one of the largest hurri-
canes ever. Already category
5.”
The weather service in
Birmingham quickly fol-
lowed with a tweet, which
one meteorologist there said
was prompted by residents’
concerns about what to do.
It said: “Alabama will NOT
see any impacts from #Dori-
an. We repeat, no impacts
from Hurricane #Dorian will
be felt across Alabama. The
system will remain too far
east.”
NOAA spokesman Chris-
topher Vaccaro verified that
day, “The current forecast
path of Dorian does not in-
clude Alabama.”
The agency changed
course in its latest state-
ment, saying under no one’s
name that the Birmingham
tweet from its forecasters
“spoke in absolute terms
that were inconsistent with
probabilities from the best
forecast products available
at the time.”
But contrary to Trump’s
tweet, it was never “most
likely” that Alabama would
be hit hard. The highest per-
centage that tropical-force
storm winds — not stronger
hurricane-force winds —
would hit Alabama was 11%,
according to hurricane cen-
ter charts and, for a brief
time, between 20% and 30%,
according to a graphic that
was not part of a forecast.
NOAA criticized for defending Trump
A WALKWAYfloods in Jensen Beach, Fla., as Hurricane Dorian approached the region last week.
Adam DelGiudiceAFP/Getty Images
Ex-officials say agency
tweet undermines its
weather forecasters.
associated press
Paul R. Minshull #16591. BP 12-25%; see HA.com 55776
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