3.4. The Normal Distribution 193Theorem 3.4.2.LetX 1 ,...,Xnbe independent random variables such that, for
i=1,...,n,Xihas aN(μi,σi^2 )distribution. LetY=∑n
i=1aiXi,wherea^1 ,...,an
are constants. Then the distribution ofYisN(∑n
i=1aiμi,∑n
i=1a2
iσ2
i).Proof:By Theorem 2.6.1, fort∈R,themgfofYis
MY(t)=∏ni=1exp{
taiμi+(1/2)t^2 a^2 iσ^2 i}=exp{
t∑ni=1aiμi+(1/2)t^2∑ni=1a^2 iσ^2 i}
,which is the mgf of aN(∑n
i=1aiμi,∑n
i=1a2
iσ
2
i) distribution.A simple corollary to this result gives the distribution of the sample meanX=
n−^1
∑n
i=1XiwhenX^1 ,X^2 ,...Xnrepresents a random sample from aN(μ, σ(^2) ).
Corollary 3.4.1.LetX 1 ,...,Xnbe iid random variables with a commonN(μ, σ^2 )
distribution. LetX=n−^1
∑n
i=1Xi.ThenXhas aN(μ, σ
(^2) /n)distribution.
To prove this corollary, simply takeai=(1/n),μi=μ,andσi^2 =σ^2 ,for
i=1, 2 ,...,n, in Theorem 3.4.2.
3.4.1 ∗ContaminatedNormals.....................
We next discuss a random variable whose distribution is a mixture of normals. As
with the normal, we begin with a standardized random variable.
Suppose we are observing a random variable that most of the time follows a
standard normal distribution but occasionally follows a normal distribution with
a larger variance. In applications, we might say that most of the data are “good”
but that there are occasional outliers. To make this precise letZhave aN(0,1)
distribution; letI 1 − be a discrete random variable defined by
I 1 − ={
1 with probability 1−
0 with probability,and assume thatZandI 1 − are independent. LetW=ZI 1 − +σcZ(1−I 1 − ).
ThenWis the random variable of interest.
The independence ofZandI 1 − imply that the cdf ofWis
FW(w)=P[W≤w]=P[W≤w, I 1 − =1]+P[W≤w, I 1 − =0]
= P[W≤w|I 1 − =1]P[I 1 − =1]
+P[W≤w|I 1 − =0]P[I 1 − =0]
= P[Z≤w](1− )+P[Z≤w/σc].
=Φ(w)(1− )+Φ(w/σc) (3.4.15)Therefore, we have shown that the distribution ofW is a mixture of normals.
Further, becauseW=ZI 1 − +σcZ(1−I 1 − ), we have
E(W)=0andVar(W)=1+ (σ^2 c−1); (3.4.16)