Robert_V._Hogg,_Joseph_W._McKean,_Allen_T._Craig

(Jacob Rumans) #1
222 Some Special Distributions

Example 3.7.4.In this example, we develop by compounding a heavy-tailed
skewed distribution. AssumeXhas a conditional gamma pdf with parameters
kandθ−^1. The weighting function forθis a gamma pdf with parametersαandβ.
Thus the unconditional (marginal or compounded) pdf ofXis


h(x)=

∫∞

0

[
θα−^1 e−θ/β
βαΓ(α)

][
θkxk−^1 e−θx
Γ(k)

]

=

∫∞

0

xk−^1 θα+k−^1
βαΓ(α)Γ(k)
e−θ(1+βx)/βdθ.

Comparing this integrand to the gamma pdf with parametersα+kandβ/(1 +βx),
we see that


h(x)=
Γ(α+k)βkxk−^1
Γ(α)Γ(k)(1 +βx)α+k

, 0 <x<∞,

which is the pdf of thegeneralized Pareto distribution(and a generalization of
theFdistribution). Of course, whenk=1(sothatXhas a conditional exponential
distribution), the pdf is


h(x)=αβ(1 +βx)−(α+1), 0 <x<∞,

which is thePareto pdf. Both of these compound pdfs have thicker tails than the
original (conditional) gamma distribution.
While the cdf of the generalized Pareto distribution cannot be expressed in a
simple closed form, that of the Pareto distribution is

H(x)=

∫x

0

αβ(1 +βt)−(α+1)dt=1−(1 +βx)−α, 0 ≤x<∞.

From this, we can create another useful long-tailed distribution by lettingX=Yτ,
0 <τ.ThusYhas the cdf


G(y)=P(Y≤y)=P[X^1 /τ≤y]=P[X≤yτ].

Hence, this probability is equal to


G(y)=H(yτ)=1−(1 +βyτ)−α, 0 <y<∞,

with corresponding pdf

G′(y)=g(y)=

αβτ yτ−^1
(1 +βyτ)α+1

, 0 <y<∞.

We call the associated distribution thetransformed Pareto distributionor the
Burr distribution(Burr, 1942), and it has proved to be a useful one in modeling
thicker-tailed distributions.
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