The New York Times - 12.09.2019

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A20 0 N THE NEW YORK TIMES NATIONALTHURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 12, 2019


and on Wednesday, a Democrat-
controlled House science commit-
tee kicked off its own inquiry.
As a result, the furor over Mr.
Trump’s storm prediction has
evolved from a momentary em-
barrassment into a sustained po-
litical liability for the administra-
tion — no longer just a question of
a president unwilling to admit a
mistake but now a White House
seemingly willing to pressure sci-
entists to validate it.
The New York Times reported
this week that Mr. Ross warned
NOAA’s acting administrator that
top employees at the agency could
be fired if the situation were not
addressed. Mr. Ross’s spokesman
has denied that he threatened to
fire anyone. A senior official on
Wednesday said that if Mr. Ross
did make such threats, it was not


at the direction of Mr. Mulvaney.
After The Times disclosed Mr.
Mulvaney’s role on Wednesday,
The Washington Post reported
that he was acting at Mr. Trump’s
direction, which the senior official
confirmed to The Times. But when
Mr. Trump was asked by a report-
er if he told his chief of staff to in-
struct NOAA to “disavow those
forecasters,” he denied it.
“No, I never did that,” Mr.
Trump said. “I never did that.
That’s a whole hoax by the fake
news media. When they talk about
the hurricane and when they talk
about Florida and they talk about
Alabama, that’s just fake news. It
was — right from the beginning, it
was a fake story.”
The White House had no com-
ment beyond the president’s re-
marks. The senior official made a
distinction between telling NOAA
to “disavow” the forecast and to
“clarify” it. The White House argu-
ment was that the forecasters had
gone too far and that the president
was right to suggest there had
been models showing a possible
impact on Alabama.
The release of the NOAA state-
ment provoked complaints that


the Trump administration was im-
properly intruding in the profes-
sional weather forecasting system
to rationalize an inaccurate presi-
dential assertion. In opening its in-
vestigation, the Commerce De-
partment’s inspector general said
the events could call into question
scientific independence.
The House Committee on Sci-
ence, Space and Technology ex-
pressed similar concerns as it an-
nounced its own investigation into
Mr. Ross’s actions on Wednesday.
“We are deeply disturbed by the
politicization of NOAA’s weather
forecast activities for the purpose
of supporting incorrect state-
ments by the president,” wrote
Representative Eddie Bernice
Johnson, the chairwoman of the
committee, along with Represent-
ative Mikie Sherrill, the chairman
of its oversight panel.
The latest challenge to Mr.
Trump’s credibility has its origins
in one of the more prosaic duties a
president has: warning the nation
when natural disasters like Hurri-
cane Dorian threaten communi-
ties.
On Sept. 1, as Dorian gathered
strength over the Atlantic and
headed toward the East Coast, the
president wrote on Twitter that
Alabama, among other states,
“will most likely be hit (much)
harder than anticipated.” Earlier
forecast maps had suggested that
Alabama might see some effects
from the edge of the storm, but by
the time of the president’s tweet,
the predictions had already
changed.
A few minutes after Mr. Trump’s
tweet, the National Weather Serv-
ice in Birmingham posted its own
message on Twitter flatly declar-
ing that “Alabama will NOT see
any impacts from #Dorian. We re-
peat, no impacts from Hurricane
#Dorian will be felt across Ala-
bama.” The forecasters were cor-
rect; Alabama was not struck by
the hurricane.
Nonetheless, Mr. Trump was fu-
rious at being challenged and kept
insisting for days that he had been
right. He displayed or posted out-
dated maps, including one that
had been apparently altered with
a Sharpie pen to make it look like
Alabama might still be in the path
of the storm. He had his homeland
security adviser release a state-
ment backing him up.
After Mr. Trump told his staff on
Sept. 5 to address the matter, Mr.
Mulvaney called Mr. Ross, who

was in Greece traveling for meet-
ings. Mr. Ross then called Neil Ja-
cobs, the acting administrator of
NOAA, at home around 3 a.m. Fri-
day, Washington time, and in-
structed him to clear up the agen-
cy’s contradiction of the presi-
dent, according to three people in-
formed about the discussions.
Dr. Jacobs objected to the de-
mand and was told that the politi-
cal appointees at NOAA would be
fired if the situation were not
fixed, according to the three indi-
viduals, who requested ano-

nymity because they were not au-
thorized to discuss the episode.
The political staff at an agency
typically includes a handful of top
officials, such as Dr. Jacobs, and
their aides. They are appointed by
the administration currently in
power, as opposed to career gov-
ernment employees, who remain
as administrations come and go.
The statement NOAA ulti-
mately issued later on Friday
faulted the Birmingham office for
a tweet that “spoke in absolute
terms that were inconsistent with

probabilities from the best fore-
cast products available at the
time.”
Dr. Jacobs has since sought to
reassure his work force and the
broader scientific community con-
cerned about political interfer-
ence.
“This administration is commit-
ted to the important mission of
weather forecasting,” Dr. Jacobs
said at a weather conference on
Tuesday in Huntsville, Ala. “There
is no pressure to change the way
you communicate or forecast risk
in the future.”
In the speech, Dr. Jacobs
praised Mr. Trump, calling him
“genuinely interested in improv-
ing weather forecasts,” and ech-
oed the president’s position that
Dorian initially threatened Ala-
bama. “At one point, Alabama was
in the mix, as was the rest of the
Southeast.”
He also said he still had faith in
the Birmingham office. “The pur-
pose of the NOAA statement was
to clarify the technical aspects of
the potential impacts of Dorian,”
Dr. Jacobs said. “What it did not
say, however, is that we under-

stand and fully support the good
intent of the Birmingham weather
forecast office, which was to calm
fears in support of public safety.”
Unassuaged, the House science
panel has demanded documents
and information related to the
NOAA statement and its origins.
In addition to emails, memos,
texts and records of telephone
calls, the committee asked Mr.
Ross to answer a number of ques-
tions, including whether any rep-
resentative of the Executive Office
of the President directed NOAA to
issue Friday’s statement or speci-
fy the language in it.
Committee members also re-
minded Mr. Ross of statements
that he made under oath in his con-
firmation hearing that he would
not interfere with science, particu-
larly at NOAA, which in addition to
weather forecasting is the agency
responsible for understanding and
predicting changes in the earth’s
climate.
“Science should be done by sci-
entists,” Mr. Ross testified in that
January 2017 hearing. “I support
the release of factual scientific
data.”

WIN MCNAMEE/GETTY IMAGES

Mick Mulvaney, above, the acting White House chief of staff, told


the commerce secretary, Wilbur Ross, left, to have the National


Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration disavow forecasters’


view that Alabama was not at risk from Hurricane Dorian.


ERIN SCHAFF/THE NEW YORK TIMES

President Intervened


To ‘Clarify’ Forecasts


Concern scientific


independence could


be jeopardized.


From Page A

uty assistant for emerging tech-
nologies.
His signature effort was a plan
to establish a panel to question the
scientific consensus that climate
change is caused by humans and
is a growing threat to national se-
curity. The effort was blocked by
other senior White House and ad-
ministration officials, including
members of the military and intel-
ligence communities.
Dr. Happer also tried to edit sci-
entific facts about climate change
in testimony to Congress from a
State Department intelligence an-
alyst. His suggestions, first re-
ported by The New York Times,
included objecting to the phrase

“tipping point” to describe when
the planet reaches a threshold of
irreversible climate change.
“ ‘Tipping points’ is a propagan-
da slogan for the scientifically illit-
erate,” Dr. Happer wrote in a mar-
gin comment captured by track
changes in working documents.
“They were a favorite of Al Gore’s
science adviser, James Hansen.”
The White House and a spokes-
man for the National Security
Council did not respond to a re-
quest for comment, and Dr. Hap-
per did not respond to an email
seeking comment on Wednesday.
His departure was first reported
by E&E News, an energy policy
news site.

The three people familiar with
Dr. Happer’s plans noted the for-
mer Princeton University profes-
sor just turned 80 and had always
intended to stay at the White
House for one year.
“There’s this big hole now,” said
Steven J. Milloy, a member of
President Trump’s transition
team for the Environmental Pro-
tection Agency who runs the web-
site junkscience.com, which is
aimed at casting doubt on the es-
tablished science of human-
caused climate change.
“There’s nobody in the White
House to pick up where Will left
off, except the president.”
Environmental activists

cheered Dr. Happer’s departure
but said they are still bracing for
continued attacks on climate sci-
ence from the White House.
“Someone who denies the exist-
ence of nuclear weapons or terror-
ism would never be given a senior
position at the National Security
Council, and that should have
been true on climate change,
which is recognized across parties
as a security threat to the United
States,” said Francesco Femia, a
co-founder of the Center for Cli-
mate and Security, a nonpartisan
think tank. “So while this is good
news, he never should have been
there in the first place.”
Rob Vessels, a campaign man-

ager with the Sierra Club, an envi-
ronmental group, said it was “an
indictment of the Trump Adminis-
tration’s dangerous denial of the
climate crisis that countless de-
niers like Happer continue to be
welcomed with open arms.”
Dr. Happer’s exit is the latest
White House shake-up in an ad-
ministration that has seen near-
constant turnover and comes on
the heels of President Trump’s
ouster of John R. Bolton, his third
national security adviser. Mr.
Bolton was a supporter of Dr. Hap-
per’s positions on climate change
in the White House, according to
several people with knowledge of
their relationship.

WASHINGTON — William
Happer, the White House archi-
tect of a stalled plan to attack the
established science of climate
change, is leaving the Trump ad-
ministration on Friday, according
to three people familiar with his
plans.
Dr. Happer, a physicist who
gained notoriety by claiming that
the greenhouse gases contribut-
ing to warming the planet are ben-
eficial to humanity, and for lik-
ening attacks on fossil fuels to “the
demonization of the poor Jews un-
der Hitler” in a 2014 interview,
serves on the National Security
Council as President Trump’s dep-


Adviser, Who Rejected Climate Science, Is Said to Leave Post on Security Council


By LISA FRIEDMAN

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