The Guardian - 07.09.2019

Section:GDN 1N PaGe:63 Edition Date:190907 Edition:01 Zone:S Sent at 6/9/2019 16:07 cYanmaGentaYellowb

Saturday 7 September 2019 The Guardian •

63

Weather

Saturday 7 September 2019

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19

13

17

22

Slight

Moderate

Moderate

18

17

16

15

19

18

19

16

16

16

14 13

11

Shetland

The Channel Islands

Birmingham

Liverpool

Cardiff

Plymouth

Dover

London

Nottingham

Norwich

Newcastle

York

Dublin

Belfast

Glasgow

Edinburgh

Inverness

ming

Ca

rpoo

LondonL

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ca

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Nott

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1024

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GABRIELLE

DORIAN

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UK and Ireland Noon today Forecast A round the U K

Atlantic front Weatherwatch Around the world

The US National Weather Service

forecast ten to 17 named storms with

wind speeds of over 74mph this

hurricane season (June to November),

compared to 15 last year. There have

only been four so far but they come

in clusters; in 2008 four hurricanes

formed in the week of 25 August and

none in the three following weeks.

One reason for clustering is the

Madden-Julian Oscillation or MJO,

a pattern of rising and sinking air

which circles the globe eastward in

equatorial regions at about 11mph.

This produces weather in cycles of

45 to 60 days. The MJO’s two-week

enhanced phase increases rainfall

and decreases vertical wind shear.

Both these factors help in hurricane

formation, and the combination

means that major hurricanes are fi ve

times as likely to form during the

enhanced phase of the MJO. In the

suppressed phase , sinking air reduces

the likelihood of thunderstorms

forming or growing, as these feed on

moisture rising from the sea.

The MJO is only one factor in

hurricane formation. Sea temperature,

moisture levels and existing winds

also play a part. Hurricanes are

inherently unpredictable, but

understanding eff ects like the

MJO may help us anticipate their

formation and respond in good time.

David Hambling

Sunny intervals

Overcast/dull

Mostly cloudy

Sunny and heavy showers

Sunny showers

Thundery rain

Thundery showers

owers

Temperature,
ºC

X

Wind speed,
mph

Snow showers

Rain Sleet Light
snow

Heavy snow

Light sh

SunnySunny Mist Fog

Ice

Windy

Hazy

35C

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

-5

-10

-15

-20

Cold front

Warm front

Occluded front

Trough

Low High

Low High

Tomorrow

Monday

7

10

16

15

Algiers 29

Ams’dam 17

Athens 30

Auckland 15

B Aires 18

Bangkok 33

Barcelona 24

Basra 45

Beijing 35

Berlin 20

Bermuda 30

Brussels 17

Budapest 22

C’hagen 18

Cairo 35

Cape Town 33

Chicago 24

Corfu 31

Dakar 30

Dhaka 32

Dublin 16

Florence 27

Gibraltar 25

H Kong 32

Harare 20

Helsinki 17

Istanbul 27

Jo’burg 18

K Lumpur 32

K’mandu 28

Kabul 32

Kingston 32

Kolkata 31

L Angeles 29

Lagos 27

Lima 18

Lisbon 30

Madrid 28

Malaga 27

Melb’rne 11

Mexico C 23

Miami 33

Milan 25

Mombasa 29

Moscow 21

Mumbai 30

N Orleans 37

Nairobi 23

New Delhi 32

New York 25

Oslo 12

Paris 20

Perth 20

Prague 15

Reykjavik 13

Rio de J 27

Rome 25

Shanghai 30

Singapore 32

Stockh’m 15

Strasb’g 18

Sydney 18

Tel Aviv 30

Tenerife 26

Tokyo 30

Toronto 22

Vancouv’r 22

Vienna 17

Warsaw 23

Wash’ton 28

Well’ton 10

Zurich 17

Lows and highs Precipitation Air pollution

Sun &

Moon

High tides Lighting

up

Forecasts and

graphics provided by

AccuWeather ©2019

Belfast 2003 to 0644

Birm’ham 1942 to 0629

Brighton 1933 to 0625

Bristol 1944 to 0634

Carlisle 1949 to 0630

Cork 2008 to 0657

Dublin 2001 to 0646

Glasgow 1957 to 0635

Harlech 1952 to 0638

Inverness 1958 to 0631

London 1933 to 0623

M’chester 1945 to 0630

Newcastle 1945 to 0625

Norwich 1930 to 0617

Penzance 1954 to 0647

Source: © Crown Copyright. All rights reserved. Times are BST

Aberdeen 0834 3.6m 2107 3.5m
Avonmouth 0115 10.5m 1349 10.0m
Barrow 0615 7.5m 1847 7.3m
Belfast 0555 3.2m 1835 3.0m
Cobh -- -- 1219 3.3m
Cromer 0106 4.2m 1351 4.1m
Dover 0544 5.6m 1813 5.6m
Dublin 0649 3.5m 1917 3.5m
Galway -- -- 1221 4.0m
Greenock 0632 3.1m 1917 2.9m
Harwich 0617 3.4m 1849 3.4m
Holyhead 0518 4.6m 1756 4.5m
Hull 0041 6.2m 1316 6.1m
Leith 0951 4.7m 2216 4.5m
Liverpool 0549 7.7m 1826 7.5m

London Bridge 0826 6.1m 2054 6.2m

Lossiemouth 0641 3.4m 1911 3.3m

Milford Haven 0035 5.6m 1312 5.4m

Newquay -- -- 1210 5.5m

North Shields 1038 4.2m 2311 4.1m

Oban -- -- 1318 2.9m

Penzance -- -- 1139 4.4m

Plymouth -- -- 1228 4.4m

Portsmouth 0627 4.0m 1853 4.0m

Southport 0455 7.4m 1727 7.2m

Stornoway 0220 3.7m 1455 3.8m

Weymouth 0037 1.5m 1309 1.4m

Whitby 1107 4.7m 2341 4.5m

Wick 0617 2.9m 1845 2.8m

Workington 0613 6.8m 1853 6.6m

Sun rises 0621

Sun sets 1933

Moon rises 1609

Moon sets none

Full Moon 14 Sept

Carbon

count

Daily atmospheric CO 2

readings from Mauna Loa,

Hawaii (ppm):

Latest

05 Sep 2019 408.54

Weekly average

25 Aug 2019 409.45

06 Sep 2018 406.48

06 Sep 2009 385.78

Pre-industrial base 280

Safe level 350

Source: NOAA-ESRL

London

819

Manchester

717

Edinburgh

615

Belfast

816

Birmingham

817

Brighton

818

Bristol

617

Cardiff

918

Newcastle

514

Penzance

11 16

5%

10%

5%

5%

25%

25%

25%

25%

5%

5%

Low

Low

Low

Low

Low

Low

Low

Low

Low

Low

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