The Week UK 17.08.2019

(Brent) #1
Shares CITY 55

17 August 2019 THE WEEK

Coca-Cola HBC
The Times
This blue-chip Coca-Cola
bottler is moving into the
fast-growing “adult soft
drinks” market. Despite
aprofit miss blamed on
restructuring costs, revenue
growth is expected to be 5-6%.
Buy. £27.99


Hastings Group
The Times
The car insurer has suffered
falling prices and margin
erosion. But thanks to its
technology-focused model,
it has 2.8 million customers
and almost 8% of the market,
and is winning new business.
Buy. 185.25p.


H&T Group
The Daily Telegraph
The pawnbroker is offering
more services from existing
shops (such as loans and
forex), selling more online and
expanding its UK footprint.
Strongly cash-generative with
growing profits anda3.4%
yield. Buy. 325p.

InterContinental Hotels
Group
Investors Chronicle
The hotel operator is looking
to the “long-term health of
established brands”, including
Six Senses and Crowne Plaza.
Its asset-light model isaboon,
and efficiencies are funding
growth. Buy. £51.88.

Tesco
Investors Chronicle
Tesco is overhauling its
Metro and Express stores
to meet customer demand
for convenience. Flexible
in-store workers and a
“leaner management structure”
promise to cut costs and
boost margins. Buy. 216p.

UDG Healthcare
The Times
After offloading its distribution
business in 2016, the healthcare
services group’s profits are
“well ahead”, supported by
underlying growth andaboost
from acquisitions. There’s
firepower for more bolt-on
deals. Buy. 773p.

Who’s tipping what

The week’s best shares

...and some to hold, avoid or sell

International Airlines Group
Investors Chronicle
Failure to overturn threatened
strikes by BA pilots is the
latest bout of turbulence to
hit IAG. Rising fuel costs and
emissions charges have sent
operating profits into decline,
and the dividend is vulnerable.
Sell. 454p.


Kier Group
Investors Chronicle
Although the contractor
is selling its housebuilding
business to reduce debt, it has
warned that 2019 revenue
will be about £100m below
last year. This is the most
shorted stock on the London
exchange. Sell. 85p.


Majestic Wine
The Daily Telegraph
The wine retailer has agreed
to sell its shops for about
£100m to pay off debts, invest
in the Naked Wines online
business and payaspecial
dividend.Agrowth business
with potential to crack the US
market. Hold. 274p.

Marston’s
The Daily Telegraph
Slowing sales momentum at
the brewer and pub group is
being offset by the plan to
reduce debt by £200m and
focus on improving existing
sites. Cashflow should benefit,
underpinning the 7% yield.
Hold. 106.9p.

Pendragon
The Sunday Times
The owner of car retailers
Stratstone and Evans Halshaw
has suffered boardroom
disruption,achanging
market andadecline in
new car registrations. Shares
are atanear seven-year low.
Avoid. 11.2p.

RPS Group
Investors Chronicle
This industrial consultancy has
been hit byalull in Australian
infrastructure spending and
political uncertainty in the
UK. Margins have been
squeezed in all divisions, and
dividend payments have
halved. Sell. 139p.

Directors’ dealings

Compass Group

Shares in the food services
provider reached an all-time
high last month, prompting
COO Gary Green to take
advantage of the performance.
He sold shares worth £2.87m
for “personal reasons”,
retainingaholding of 191,382.

Form guide

Shares tipped 12 weeks ago
Best tip
Games Workshop Group
Investors Chronicle
up 3.1% to £45.94
Worst tip
Workspace Group
The Times
down 16.51% to 801.5p.

Market view
“US equities are at the
second most expensive
period in 150 years...Idon’t
think it’saquestion of
whether we’ll seeacrash
–the question is why we
haven’t seen one yet.”
Ulf Lindahl of AG Bisset
Associates. Quoted in the FT

SOURCE: INVESTORS CHRONICLE

Market summary

6-month movement in the FTSE 100 index

13 Aug 2019 Week before Change (%)
FTSE 100 7250.90 7171.69 1.10%
FTSE All-share UK 3961.16 3920.70 1.03%
Dow Jones 26320.83 25829.08 1.09%
NASDAQ 8017.85 7776.83 3.10%
Nikkei 225 20455.44 20585.31 –0.63%
Hang Seng 25281.30 25976.24 –2.68%
Gold 1504.70 1465.25 2.69%
Brent Crude Oil 61.35 59.61 2.92%
DIVIDEND YIELD(FTSE 100) 4.49% 4.50%
UK 10-year gilts yield 0.49 0.51
US 10-year Treasuries 1.68 1.74
UK ECONOMIC DATA
Latest CPI (yoy) 2.1% (Jul) 2.0% (Jun)
2.9% (Jun)
+5.7% (Jun)

Latest RPI (yoy) 2.8% (Jul)
Halifax house price (yoy) +4.1% (Jul)
£1 STERLING $1.206 E1.079 ¥128.348

Key numbers for investors Best and worst performing shares Following the Footsie

WEEK’S CHANGE, FTSE 100 STOCKS
RISES Price %change
Just Eat 812.00 +9.82
WPP 976.00 +7.89
Flutter Entertainment 6640.00 +6.62
Fresnillo 682.20 +5.80
Phoenix Group Hdg. 693.00 +5.56
FALLS
NMC Health 1894.00 –16.12
Stand.Life Aberdeen 250.50 –11.11
Spirax-Sarco Engr. 7855.00 –8.77
Evraz 556.40 –7.61
BT Group 172.08 –6.53
BEST AND WORST UK STOCKS OVERALL
Cellcast 1.47 +96.67
Mysale Group 3.55 –54.42
Source: Datastream (not adjusted for dividends). Prices on 13 Aug (pm)

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug


7,100


7,300


7,500


7,700


Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug


2,000


1,700


1,800


2,100


1,900


COO
sells 142,180
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