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Markets Currencies
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Inside
Don’t write
off Salvini
Demise of
the Italian
strongman
suits the EU,
but he is not
finished yet
Ambrose
Evans-
Pritchard
Not so big
tobacco
Deal to
roll Philip
Morris
and Altria
into
$200bn
giant sparks
analyst
doubt
Page 32 Page 32 Page 30 Page 33
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Business
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Car production falls for 14th month
By Alan Tovey
CAR production in the UK is
stuck in reverse, falling
10.6pc in July – the 14th con-
secutive month of decline as
Brexit and global economic
uncertainties weigh.
A total of 108,239 cars
came off production lines
last month, making the year
to date output 774,760 –
almost a fifth down on 2018.
The drop was exacerbated
by model changes, meaning
work was halted on some
cars to allow for retooling.
With 80pc of UK-made
cars exported, a 10.2pc rise
in domestic demand could
not offset the 14.6pc drop in
cars going abroad.
The industry relies on
highly tuned supply chains
to deliver parts from abroad
and has been vocal in warn-
ing of the dangers that it sees
in a no-deal Brexit.
Mike Hawes, chief execu-
tive of the Society of Motor
Manufacturers and Traders,
said: “The global headwinds
are strong.
“With the UK market also
weak, the importance of
maintaining the UK’s global
competitiveness has never
been more important so we
need a Brexit deal – and
quickly – to unlock invest-
ment and safeguard the
long-term future of a sector
which has recently been
such an international suc-
cess story.”
Japan offers
a new dawn
for Ted Baker
By Mason Boycott-Owen
TED BAKER hopes to conquer Japan
after striking an exclusive five-year
licensing deal with Sojitz Infinity, a
subsidiary of the Sojitz conglomerate.
The FTSE 250 fashion brand told
investors the partnership would result
in a “marginally positive impact on pre-
tax profit” as Sojitz looks to use its ex-
pertise in the market to sell Ted Baker
clothes in Japan’s department stores.
Ted Baker opened its first shop there
in 2012 and has five, but recorded a loss
of £2.7m on the business in the year to
January. Lindsay Page, chief executive
of Ted Baker, said the deal would help
with “meaningful long-term growth”.
It follows a venture with Shanghai
LongShang Trading Company to push
Ted Baker sales in mainland China,
Hong Kong and Macau.
Ted Baker wants to be a “truly
global lifestyle brand” and has identi-
fied Asia as a key growth area. The Ja-
pan deal is expected to cost it around
£4m as it shifts stock. The firm has
560 stores and concessions, including
201 in the UK.
Kohei Ono, chief executive of Sojitz
Infinity, said Ted Baker “has the poten-
tial to appeal to more consumers in this
market”.
Ted Baker signed a licence agree-
ment with Next this month to sell
its childrenswear collections for spring
2020 in the UK, ending a relationship
with Debenhams. It saw total sales slip
0.3pc in the first half of the year.
Sojitz Infinity’s brands include New
York-inspired fashion label McGregor.
By Laura Onita
WH SMITH is making more money
from its shops in hospitals than from
those in train stations and has told the
City it expects to meet its profit targets.
The retailer has been increasingly
focusing on lucrative travel locations
such as airports and railways stations,
while its high street shops have seen
sales dwindle in recent years.
Outgoing boss Stephen Clarke is
banking on selling more stationery,
which has bigger profit margins than
newspapers and magazines, as well as
adding Post Offices to its stores to keep
the retail arm of the business steady.
The company said yesterday its travel
business “continued to perform
strongly”, while high street stores were
“in line with expectations”.
Trade within hospitals has become
more lucrative than train stations but
airports are leading the growth.
“Achieving flat profits in high
street, given the ... backdrop, is im-
pressive,” said Richard Taylor, of Bar-
clays. The City expects profits of
£155m for 2019. WH Smith will report
again in October.
The retailer, founded in 1972, has
about 1,600 stores across the globe,
with 428 outside the UK. In October it
snapped up US airport chain InMotion
for £155m to expand more aggressively
across the pond.
InMotion now has three stores out-
side the US, including one at Leeds
Bradford Airport.
Mr Clarke will be replaced by Carl
Cowling, the boss of its high street arm.
£155m
Analysts’ forecast for full-year profits
for WH Smith. The high street stationer
will report again in October
WH Smith on
track to hit
profit target
Lindsay Page, chief
executive of Ted
Baker, said the tie-up
with Sojitz Infinity
would help bring
‘long-term growth’
UK offshore wind capacity receives a royal boost
By Harriet Russell
BRITAIN’s offshore wind
farms are about to get bigger
after the Crown Estate ruled
that seven sites could com-
fortably expand their opera-
tions without posing any
threat to the environment.
The expansion will
add 2.85GW to the UK’s wind
farm capacity, equating to an
extra 10pc.
The Crown Estate is made
up of land and holdings
across England, Wales and
Northern Ireland that
belong to the Queen.
The collection is part of
the sovereign’s “public es-
tate” so the monarch is not
involved in the day-to-day
management of the land and
has only limited control.
The estate works closely
with industries and the Gov-
ernment to evaluate invest-
ment opportunities up to 12
nautical miles off the coast.
In February 2017, it invited
existing wind farms to apply
for project extensions. It
received eight submissions
by May 2018, all of which
met the specified criteria.
Yesterday, it said seven of
those applications would go
to the next stage of the leas-
ing process, following a
lengthy assessment of how
the extensions might affect
nature conservation sites.
The successful projects
include Sheringham Shoal,
Dudgeon, Greater Gabbard,
Galloper, Rampion, Gwynt y
Môr and Thanet. Developers
include energy giants SSE,
RWE, E. On and Equinor.
The eighth site, Race
Bank, 17 miles north of Nor-
folk’s Blakeney Point, will
not go ahead because the
majority of the proposed ex-
tension sits within a Special
Area of Conservation.
Before reaching the plan-
ning stage, the seven sites
will carry out further envi-
ronmental surveys.
By Tom Rees
THE pound suffered one of its sharpest
tumbles of the year yesterday as City
analysts warned that Boris Johnson’s
plan to suspend Parliament will send it
even lower in the coming weeks.
Investors rushed for protection from
sudden swings in sterling after the
Prime Minister asked the Queen to sus-
pend Parliament for five weeks, cutting
the time MPs will have to block a
no-deal Brexit.
Surging fears of a disorderly depar-
ture knocked sterling as much as 1.1pc
against the dollar to $1.2157, wiping out
last week’s tentative gains, before re-
gaining some ground. The currency
also slipped back below the €1.10 mark
against the euro, enduring one of its
worst intraday drops this year.
The setback sent the pound sliding
back towards the multiyear lows
reached earlier this month. Foreign ex-
change analysts warned the pressure
on sterling will now rise over the com-
ing weeks as the countdown to Oct 31
continues. Derek Halpenny, at MUFG,
said it was “only a matter of time” until
sterling breaks below the 31-month low
against the dollar in August.
The pound’s recent rally will “re-
verse pretty quickly” as the move “re-
inforces the perception of how serious
this government is on pushing us right
to the wire”, he added.
Petr Krpata, at ING, predicted that
sterling will also threaten to push be-
low a 10-year low against the euro in
the build-up to October’s crucial EU
summit. Mr Johnson’s move “under-
scores the uncertainty and the ample
downside risk the pound faces over the
coming weeks”, he warned.
Sterling is the worst-performing
currency against the dollar and the
euro in the past three months as
no-deal fears have risen, shedding
about 3pc of its value against its rivals.
Investors braced for a surge in market
volatility in the months ahead, taking
out insurance against sudden moves in
the pound. The currency’s two-month
implied volatility, a measure tracking
investors’ expectations for wild swings
in the coming months, jumped to its
highest level since January.
Stephen Gallo, at BMO Capital Mar-
kets, warned that markets will “not
react fully” until the prospect of a dis-
orderly Brexit or a snap election is
“abundantly clear”. He said there is still
a “disbelief ” among investors that “this
will happen in a messy way”. Sterling
could sink further next week “if it looks
like we are going to have a confidence
motion and elections before the end of
October”, Mr Gallo added. No-deal
Brexit worries also reverberated
through stock and bond markets. The
return on 10-year government bonds
sank to 0.44pc, close to a record low.
Housebuilders were the biggest fall-
ers on the FTSE 100 because of their
exposure to the UK economy. Airlines
also slipped before paring most of their
early losses.
The UK-focused FTSE 250 index
closed 0.7pc lower but the blue-chip
index was 0.35pc higher as prospects
for its large international earners were
boosted by the weak pound.
Pound slumps with fears of worse to come
Sterling falls 1.1pc against
dollar and bond returns
near record low over plans
to suspend Parliament
Thomas Cook’s £900m package deal could end its London listing
By Michael O’Dwyer
THOMAS COOK could be on the verge
of disappearing from the stock market
after the travel company reached “sub-
stantial agreement” with a Chinese
conglomerate and its creditors on the
key terms of a £900m rescue deal.
Fosun, the owner of Club Med and
Thomas Cook’s largest shareholder,
will pump in an additional £450m
under the agreement, as well as buy at
least 75pc of its tour operator business
and 25pc of its airline.
Fosun cannot own a majority stake
in the airline under European Union
aviation rules.
Thomas Cook’s banks and bondhold-
ers would make an additional £450m
available and have their existing loans
converted into equity in return for the
other 25pc of new shares in the tour
operator and a 75pc stake in the trou-
bled airline.
The board intends to keep its Lon-
don Stock Exchange listing, but the
company admitted the rescue plan
could “in certain circumstances” result
in the listing being cancelled.
Shareholders in the ailing travel
company would be all but wiped out,
but Thomas Cook said it still aimed to
proceed with their support.
It did not give any detail on how or
whether shareholders would be al-
lowed to buy more stock or what
proportion of the restructured group
their existing holdings would repre-
sent.
Based on the value of the bonds,
converting the amounts owed to banks
and bondholders into equity “would
imply around another £350m of new
shares being issued”, said Citi analyst
James Ainley.
The shares have fallen more than
90pc in the past year and shed another
17pc to 5.8p yesterday, valuing Thomas
Cook at less than £90m.
It was worth about £2bn less than
18 months ago. Thomas Cook aims to
implement the plan, which remains
subject to a legal agreement among the
parties, in early October.
It also remains subject to a number
of additional hurdles, including clear-
ance from competition regulators, for-
mal approval from creditors and
separating the airline and tour opera-
tor businesses.
Star turn A First Order officer and two stormtroopers patrol Galaxy’s Edge, the Star Wars-themed attraction that opens at
Hollywood Studios in Disney World, Florida, today. The 14-acre park, reported to have cost $1bn (£818m), offers visitors an
immersive experience based on the planet Batuu, including the chance to build their own lightsaber.
JOHN RAOUX/AP
‘Markets will not react fully
until the prospect of a
disorderly Brexit or a snap
election is abundantly clear’
The Daily Telegraph Thursday 29 August 2019 *** 29
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