The EconomistAugust 31st 2019 Business 57
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Bartleby Juggling act
Economist.com/blogs/bartleby
A
irport bookshops teem with guides
that promise to teach executives the
secrets of success. Read this tome, follow
this philosophy, change your habits and
you, too, can be a management titan. As a
moment’s reflection on business history
demonstrates, there is no sure-fire route
to glory. Instead, running a company is a
permanent exercise in juggling trade-
offs. What is the right course of action
may vary at different times, and in differ-
ent industries.
Take, for example, the pace of expan-
sion. The fashion is for “upscaling”—
creating a business model that can dom-
inate its niche within a few years. This
model’s turbocharged version, “blitz-
scaling”, is beloved of venture capitalists
who dream of recreating the “network
effects” that fuelled the rise of Google
and Facebook. That is, in part, because
most venture investments fail and a few
big successes are needed to make up for
all the duds.
From the point of view of the en-
trepreneur, however, upscaling may well
be a mistake. For a start, not all business-
es are subject to network effects. Second,
by expanding too fast, companies risk
losing control of product quality and
messing up their management structure.
Building a business is like running a
marathon, and few people win a long-
distance race by setting off like Usain
Bolt. The first Walmart store was opened
in 1962 and it took another six years
before the retail chain expanded outside
its home state of Arkansas.
The fashion for upscaling means that
companies are encouraged to get their
product to market as quickly as possible.
The theory is that customers get a rough-
and-ready prototype at the start, which is
improved over time. This may work for
smartphone apps, which are easy to
update, but not for most other products,
where a reputation for shoddiness may be
impossible to shake off.
In his book on financial frauds, “Lying
for Money”, Dan Davies, a former financial
regulator, explains how companies must
balance the goals of cost, quality and
customer satisfaction. Focus too narrowly
on cost and the quality of goods may suf-
fer; concentrate on quality and costs will
rise. Try to ensure both and the business
may become so obsessed with its own
production processes that it ignores cus-
tomer needs.
Another trade-off is between central-
isation and delegation. Early Victorian
businesses resembled the army: generals
(executives) handing down instructions to
non-commissioned officers (foremen and
overseers) who in turn directed the foot
soldiers (workers). This hierarchical struc-
ture was devised for a world in which
employees were required to follow a clear
set of instructions.
As businesses became more sophisti-
cated in the 20th century, organisations
became much more elaborate. Companies
were split into divisions by geography
and product type. Middle managers took
charge of functions such as marketing
and finance. Eventually, though, busi-
nesses started to view these structures as
expensive and overly bureaucratic.
In the past 20 years or so management
layers have been stripped away. A flat
structure, with delegated decision-
making, seemed more appropriate for a
service-based economy. The idea of
“agile” management, in which workers
are frequently reassigned to multidisci-
plinary teams, is all the rage.
But this trend can likewise go too far.
When power is dispersed, the result can
be a confused mess. Some firms may
conclude they are better off under cen-
tralised command.
The last trade-off is between focus
and diversification. The relegation of
General Electric from the Dow Jones
industrial average last year seemed like
another nail in the coffin of the industri-
al conglomerate. Institutional investors
can diversify their portfolios by invest-
ing in a range of sectors; they do not need
a conglomerate to do it for them. Yet
cash-rich tech giants are similarly buy-
ing promising startups, often with no
obvious relation to their core business
(think of Google’s purchase of Nest,
which makes thermostats).
At some point the growth prospects of
even the best products falter. For busi-
nesses to survive, they must find new
things or services to sell. Choosing the
right time to expand and diversify, and
the right organisational structure to do
it, is a matter of judgment. That judg-
ment, and the flexibility to change plans,
is what makes a good manager. It cannot
be reduced to an in-flight read.
There is no magic formula for management success
ill-defined strategic concerns).
The Brussels machinery could once be
trusted to dampen fervour for such indus-
trial policy. In February the European Com-
mission, the eu’s executive arm, blocked a
merger of the rail arms of Siemens, a Ger-
man engineering giant, and Alstom of
France on competition grounds, putting
paid to Franco-German dreams of a conti-
nental titan.
Now the mood among Eurocrats is
shifting. Margrethe Vestager, the bloc’s re-
spected competition chief, who repeatedly
kiboshed political efforts to mollycoddle
favoured industries, is probably on her way
out (of her current job; she will almost cer-
tainly stay in Brussels). Historically a
French hobby-horse, dirigisme has found
favour with German policymakers. Ursula
von der Leyen, a German who will take over
as commission president on November 1st,
has spoken in the past of the need for Eu-
rope to “update our industrial policy”. Poli-
ticians of most stripes want to erect a For-
tress Europe to defend companies from
bullying by Trumpian America and assault
by state-backed Chinese groups.
The mooted fund is far from investing
its first euro. Ms von der Leyen has dis-
tanced herself from the idea. Soon after
Politico, a news outlet, reported the propos-
al, the commission described it as “draft in-
ternal brainstorming”. Maybe. It seems
pretty thorough in some respects, like how
it might be funded (public money bol-
stered by private-sector investors) and
ways it could “support” companies by tak-
ing direct stakes in them. In others, less so.
Most notably missing is a list of promising
high-tech candidates for the pot’s largesse.
To bend the arc of progress European poli-
ticians need to grab onto something. 7