The Daily Telegraph - 22.08.2019

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Inside


Any port


in a storm
All this talk
of Brexit

chaos shows
we depend
too much

on Dover
Ambrose

Evans-
Pritchard

Money for


old phones
Most UK
households

have a small
fortune in
old gadgets

merely
gathering

dust in
drawers

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Business


Get the latest markets info, share prices and create a portfolio at telegraph.co.uk/markets-hub


By Oliver Gill


FEARS have been raised that Greene
King’s shock sale to one of Asia’s richest
families is “almost certain” to result in
pubs being shut and could lead to the
sale of its famous Bury St Edmunds
brewery.
CK Asset, part of an empire built by
91-year-old billionaire Li Ka-shing,
struck a £4.6bn deal on Monday to buy
the 220-year-old Suffolk brewer. The


swoop was at a premium of more than
50pc of Greene King’s share price.
Despite written assurances from CK
Asset that there would be “no material”
job cuts or changes to strategy, the deal
sparked immediate concern that the
prospective new owners would want to
quickly recoup some of that premium.
Peter Marks, the boss of Deltic, Brit-
ain’s biggest nightclub chain, believes
that once the deal is completed, Greene
King’s new Hong Kong owners could
soon be ringing in the changes.
He said they would be “almost cer-
tainly going to consider” plans such as
selling freeholds, selling the pub oper-
ating company or turning some ten-
anted pubs into managed ones.
CK Asset may also feel the need to

close one of Greene King’s two main
offices in Bury St Edmunds or Burton
upon Trent, he said.
The comments by Mr Marks, who,
with more than three decades of expe-
rience running bars and clubs is seen
as one of the leisure sector’s most influ-
ential voices, come after unions de-
manded reassurances over job security,
pay and employment conditions.
Unite said that the sale could have
“major ramifications” for Greene
King’s 38,000 workers.
Beer groups were also unnerved.
The Campaign for Real Ale (Camra)
labelled it “very concerning for our
beer scene”.
The Greene King sale, which will
need to be approved by shareholders,

comes as pubgoers have been spooked
by corporate activity that some say
threatens the future of the traditional
British local.
Last month Ei, the owner of Britain’s
biggest pub estate, agreed to a takeover
by Slug & Lettuce and Walkabout
owner Stonegate in a deal worth £3bn.
Meanwhile, London Pride brewer
Fuller’s sold off its Chiswick operations

to Japanese giant Asahi earlier this
year. With  the Fuller’s sell-off fresh in
the memory, speculation has mounted
that CK Asset may explore similar plans
for Greene King’s brewing operations
in Suffolk, the roots of which go back
to 1799.
One pub group chief executive
warned that such a strategy “would
run the risk of undermining” the
Greene King brand.
“The value of authenticity and herit-
age that comes from the Greene King
history,” the person said. “The value of
the Greene King brand should not be
underestimated.”
Greene King’s dual-headquarters
structure, in Bury and Burton, is a leg-
acy of its £774m takeover of Spirit Pub

Company in 2014. The executive saw
no reason for this to be changed, saying
that Greene King has thus far “found a
need” for both sites.
Another pub chief executive said:
“Obviously the weakness of sterling
makes such assets relatively attractive,
[but] I have no reason at this stage to
suppose that they will not continue
with the business as is.”
Meanwhile, Tim Martin, the boss of
Wetherspoon, said he did not think
the  Li family were looking to turn a
quick profit.
“Since they own Superdrug and em-
ploy a lot of people ... I suspect they’ll
stick around for a few decades,” he said.

Ben Marlow: Page 29

Blow for Javid as borrowing surges More woe for Woodford after Guernsey delisting


By Tim Wallace


SURGING spending and
weak revenues are pushing
up the budget deficit, leav-
ing the Treasury on track for
a surge in borrowing of
£26bn this year, economists
warned, potentially taking
the deficit to nearly £50bn
even before any extra “no-
deal” Brexit spending.
In the first four months of
this financial year, the Ex-
chequer borrowed £16bn,


£6bn more than the same
period last year, the Office
for National Statistics said.
And it is likely that higher
spending combined with a
weaker economy will push
up the deficit. The national
debt amounts to just over
£1.8 trillion, the equivalent
of 83.4pc of GDP. July is usu-
ally a good month for the
public finances, running a
surplus as corporate tax pay-
ments are due, as are some
self-assessment income tax

payments. This year’s sur-
plus disappointed, falling to
£1.3bn (£3.6bn last year).
Smaller revenues from the
Bank of England’s stock of
bonds bought under quanti-
tative easing hit the public
finances, while income tax
revenue rose less than 2pc.
Overall revenues in July
slid 0.5pc on the year even as
current spending rose 4.2pc,
with higher social benefit
payments and a rising public
sector wage bill.

By Harriet Russell

NEIL WOODFORD has been
dealt a further blow in his
struggle to bring his invest-
ments into line with market
rules, after a developer of
luxury Ibiza villas he backed
was delisted from the Guern-
sey stock exchange.
The Woodford Equity
Income Fund stake in Sabina
Estates, which is chaired by
millionaire Anton Bilton,
was listed in 2017 as part of

an effort by Mr Woodford to
lift the proportion of quoted
assets in his flagship fund.
He has come under fire for
holding too many unquoted
or “illiquid” stocks. Under
FCA rules no more than a
tenth of such a fund’s assets
should be unquoted.
Last month, it was re-
vealed that Mr Woodford’s
suspended flagship equity
income fund had breached
limits after two of his invest-
ments, Benevolent AI and

Industrial Heat, also delisted
from the Guernsey stock
exchange. At the end of July,
he was told he had six months
to correct the situation.
The delisting of Sabina
Estates means it is estimated
Mr Woodford’s illiquid hold-
ings represent 18pc of his
£3.2bn Equity Income Fund.
A spokesman for Wood-
ford Investment Manage-
ment said: “Following the
inadvertent passive breach,
action to bring the fund back

into compliance is already
under way.
“On May 3, we informed
investors that the fund’s
exposure to unquoted secu-
rities would be significantly
reduced – including those
listed on exchanges where
there is currently little or no
trading activity. The deci-
sion by Sabina to delist from
[The International Stock
Exchange]will have no im-
pact in how the assets are
managed within the fund.”

Pub closure fears sour Greene King sale


Li Ka-shing’s $4.6bn swoop


for the brewer will ‘almost


certainly’ lead to cuts, says


chief of nightclub chain


One of Greene King’s
two main UK sites
could be closed, said
Peter Marks, the boss
of Britain’s biggest
nightclub chain

Dynasties at war over


Berlusconis’ plan for


European TV empire


By Christopher Williams

IT IS a battle that has two of the Conti-
nent’s wealthiest dynasties going head
to head.
Both have dreams of a pan-European
television empire capable of with-
standing the streaming onslaught of US
tech giants – and both have a history of
giving their opponents no quarter.
On one side is the Berlusconi family,
headed by media tycoon and former
Italian prime minister Silvio, now 82
and back in frontline politics as a mem-
ber of the European Parliament.
The Berlusconis aim to use their
broadcaster, Mediaset, as the corner-
stone of a venture that would combine
many of Europe’s traditional channels,
perhaps one day including ITV.
Standing in the way, across the Alps,
is the Bollore family led by 67-year-old
patriarch Vincent. They control the
French media giant Vivendi, which has
taken a stake of nearly 30pc in Media-
set and is working to disrupt the plans.
Vivendi, which owns Canal+, has
long held ambitions of uniting Euro-
pean broadcasters under its own um-
brella. Now Mr Bollore is in danger of
watching his visions of super-mogul-
dom realised by Pier Silvio Berlusconi,
50-year-old chief executive of Media-
set and eldest son of populist Silvio.
Pier Silvio, backed by his sisters Bar-
bara and Marina – chairman of the fam-
ily holding company Fininvest, aims to
merge Mediaset with separately listed
sister company Mediaset Espana, the
largest TV network in Spain.
The combination is due to be incor-
porated in the Netherlands under the
banner MediaForEurope. In May, as a
signal of intent, Pier Silvio and Media-

set took a stake of almost 10pc in the
German broadcaster ProSieben.
He also named the French channel
TF1 as a potential target in a roll-up of
traditional broadcasters attempting to
adjust to the success of streaming and
rapidly shifting viewing habits. ITV,
Europe’s second most valuable com-
mercial broadcaster, also figures some-
where in Pier Silvio’s thinking.
MediaForEurope, with initial access
to 107m viewers, will have stronger
bargaining power with rights holders
and pay-TV operators, he claimed. The
heft will help it compete better with
the likes of Netflix and Amazon,
according to the investor presentation.
Mr Bollore’s plans were based on
similar logic, but he became bogged
down in a long and damaging battle
with the activist fund, Elliott, over con-
trol of Telecom Italia, another Vivendi
adventure south of the Alps.
He is now attempting to block the
creation of MediaForEurope in Media-
set shareholder votes early next month.
However, Italian regulators have effec-
tively barred Vivendi from casting its
votes due to its control of Telecom
Italia and concerns over cross-owner-
ship of media and telecoms.
Last night, sources said Vivendi was
working on legal challenges, but for
now Mr Bollore must hope other share-
holders such as Invesco and Blackrock
follow the advice of advisory group ISS.
Its report on the plan for Mediaset
Espana shareholders said: “The pro-
posed governance structure has the
clear goal of cementing the control of
the Berlusconi family, apparently to
pursue an M&A growth strategy with-
out losing control of the combined
Family viewing: Barbara Berlusconi is backing her brother Pier Silvio’s bid to unite traditional TV channels in Europe under the dynasty company.”

GETTY IMAGES FOR LUISAVIAROMA

Advisers to pocket £220m in fees if Advent wins battle for Cobham


By Alan Tovey


THE proposed sale of Cobham will rack
up fees of almost £220m for banks and
other advisers if the FTSE 250 aero-
space and defence firm is taken over by
a US-led private equity consortium.
The deal, which values it at £4bn,
will mean charges estimated at £166m
to £190m for buyer Advent and £29m


for Cobham, according to the scheme
of arrangement document yesterday.
Advent expects to pay about £140m
to £147m for financing arrangements
and corporate broking advice. It lists its
bankers and advisers as Citigroup,
Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs.
Legal, accounting and PR advice,
along with other services and fees tack
between £26m and £33m on to its bill.

Cobham is paying a total of £28m for
financial advice, and states its bankers
as Bank of America Merrill Lynch, JP
Morgan Cazenove and Rothschild.
Management at Cobham have rec-
ommended investors support the 165p-
a-share offer – a 34.4pc premium – that
was made last month.
David Lockwood, chief executive,
said the bid was an “endorsement of

the turnaround strategy” he had led,
after being installed to revive the com-
pany following a series of troublesome
acquisitions by previous management.
Advent has secured the support of
Artemis, which holds 5.1pc of Cobham,
and needs 75pc of the shareholder vote
on Sept 16 for the deal to go ahead.
However, Cobham’s largest investor
Silchester International, which has a

stake of almost 12pc, said it is not con-
vinced by Advent’s offer and that the
price is not “compelling”.
The sale will also face scrutiny from
Ben Wallace, Defence Secretary, who
has pledged to look at the deal to see if
it is in the UK’s national interests. He
made the promise in a letter to the
firm’s founding family after being con-
tacted by Lady Nadine Cobham.

34.4pc


Premium on 165p-a-share offer for
defence group Cobham made by US-led
private equity consortium Advent

Deep Mind


co-founder


put on leave


By Olivia Rudgard in San Francisco

MUSTAFA SULEYMAN, co-founder of
Google’s London AI lab DeepMind, is
taking a leave of absence amid contro-
versy over some of its work.
DeepMind, which Google bought for
about £400m in 2014, is seen as a lead-
ing force in artificial intelligence re-
search but has been criticised over its
work with the NHS.
Mr Suleyman, who set it up in 2010
with chief executive Demis Hassabis,
has been one of DeepMind’s public
faces since it was bought.
He is the lab’s head of applied AI and
led the development of the company’s

healthcare arm, until it was transferred
to Google last year.
A spokesman told Bloomberg Mr Su-
leyman was “taking time out right now
after 10 hectic years” but did not say
why he had been put on leave.
In 2017 the Information Commis-
sioner’s Office said data from 1.6m pa-
tients had been illegally shared with
the firm by the capital’s Royal Free
Hospital.
At the time, Mr Suleyman said it had
“underestimated the complexity of the
NHS and of the rules around patient
data, as well as the potential fears about
a well-known tech company working
in health”.
Last year his company was forced to
defend the decision to transfer its
health division to Google, having pre-
viously promised that the two would
remain separate.

A spokesman said he was


‘taking time out after 10
hectic years’ but did not say
why he was put on leave

The Daily Telegraph Thursday 22 August 2019 *** 27


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