Barron\'s - 02.09.2019

(Axel Boer) #1

8 BARRON’S September 2, 2019


26,403.


Dow Industrials:+774.






Dow Global Index:+7.






10-year treasury note:-0.


BEYOND MEAT HITS KFC


Weathering the Storm


Stocks are being buffeted by trade


winds. They dove after President Don-


ald Trump threatened to force compa-


nies out of China and to raise tariffs on


Chinese goods, then climbed as he


walked much of that back. The result:


uncertainty, with the yield curve inver-


sion deepening at midweek. Despite


that, the Dow industrials on the week


surged 3%, to 26,403.28; the S&P 500


rose 2.8%, to 2926.46; and the Nasdaq


Composite popped 2.7%, to 7962.88.


Mixed Messaging


Trump suggested that he was rethink-


ing tariffs, only to be corrected by his


own administration. He then said


China was calling to seek a restart to


trade talks, only to have Chinese offi-


cials say no call had been made; it’s still


unclear who’s talking to whom. Trump


did announce a trade deal with Japan,


promising Japanese corn purchases in


exchange for going easy on Japanese


car imports to the U.S. The deal has yet


to be finalized.


Carney’s Virtual Currency


Although Federal Reserve Chairman


Jerome Powell got the headlines at


Jackson Hole, Wyo., the head of the


Bank of England, Mark Carney, may


have stirred the most provocative dis-


cussion. With trade conflicts in mind,


Carney proposed a digital virtual cur-


rency that would replace the dollar as


the world’s reserve currency. While


even Carney admitted that his plan was


unrealistic in the near term, St. Louis


Fed President James Bullard put it into


perspective: “The best [policy] would


be: get rid of the political uncertainty.


Then you wouldn’t have this issue.”


Paying for Opioids


An Oklahoma judge found Johnson &


Johnson responsible for abetting the


opioid crisis in that state, and hit the


drugmaker with a $572 million penalty.


J&J stock then rose, probably because


investors were happy that it was a lot


less than what the state had sought:


$17.5 billion. The case will be appealed.


Separately, the Sackler family, owners


of OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma,


are in talks to pay $3 billion to resolve


lawsuits, part of a $10 billion to $


billion settlement. The family would


give up ownership in Purdue, which


would file for Chapter 11.


Boris Shuts Parliament


Queen Elizabeth II granted United


Kingdom Prime Minister Boris John-


son’s request to suspend Parliament


until Oct. 14 after Parliament returns


from its August recess. Johnson in-


sisted he needed more time to gather


his “exciting new agenda,” but mem-


bers of Parliament argued that he was


trying to force through his approach to


Brexit by the Oct. 31 deadline.


A Hard Rain


Dorian, a potential Category 4 hurri-


cane, brushed Puerto Rico and ap-


peared headed to the Florida coast on


Labor Day. Meanwhile, The Wall Street


Journal reported the administration is


considering a plan to roll back rules on


methane emissions, despite opposition


from major energy companies.


Chicken, the


New Frontier


Holy alternative cow! Beyond Meat tested plant-based


fried chicken at a KFC in Atlanta, and the stuff sold out


in five hours. It was another win for the start-up, which


at last count had products in over 53,000 outlets. The


chicken foray also demonstrates that the alternative-


meat industry’s initial beef-mimicking products are just


the start for plant-based protein.


“We are truly on the tip of the iceberg,” says Danny


O’Malley, the “presiplant” of Before the Butcher, another


alternative-meat start-up. The company makes alterna-


tive chicken and pork, as well as alternative beef. O’Mal-


ley left food distributor Sysco for Beyond Meat, then


founded Before the Butcher. His company has products


in more than 2,000 retail outlets.


“There is no technical difficulty related to chicken


specifically,” says a spokeswoman for Impossible


Foods, another alt-meat producer. “The heme content


will be lower in chicken, as it will with other white


meats.” Impossible makes synthetic heme, which helps


the company mimic the flavor profile of animal-based


protein.


Despite Beyond Meat’s product expansion, Barron’s


continues to worry about new competition, its lofty val-


uation, and stock volatility. Still, the excitement across


the industry is palpable. Two weeks back, JPMorgan’s


Ken Goldman made the firm’s list of its most-read re-


search with a Beyond Meat upgrade. After KFC, the


stock is up 14% this past week. So far, investors’ appetite


for Beyond Meat shares equal diners’ desire to try alter-


native meat. —Al Root


1.91%


The yield on the 30-year Trea-


sury on Wednesday morning, an


all-time low.


$251 B


International tourism spending


in the U.S., one of the few areas


the U.S. runs a trade surplus.


47.8%


Increase in the value of aircraft


and parts in July, mostly attrib-


utable to Boeing. Overall durable


orders rose 2.1% for the month.


2 %


Seasonally adjusted annual


gross-domestic-product growth


rate in the second quarter,


down from 2.9% in 2018.


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THE NUMBERS


HE SAID


“If the conditions


are right,


then I would


anticipate we’ll


take advantage


of long-term


borrowing.”


Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin


on the possibility of issuing 50- or


100-year bonds


Nicole Fara Silver (KFC); Al Drago/Bloomberg (Mnuchin)

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