Fortune USA – September 2019

(vip2019) #1

TOTAL U.S. DEBT


IN NOM


INAL DOLLARS


GREAT DEPRESSION


New Deal programs lift the
debt from $23 billion in
1933 to $36 billion by 1937.

POSTWAR


The debt
increases as the
U.S. starts
many programs,
but economic
growth helps
keep up with
the spending.

WORLD WAR I


The war effort costs the U.S. some
$32 billion, with 58% paid through
borrowing from the public.

2049:


144%


78%


2018:


$21.5


trillion

WORLD WAR II


War expenditures
and loans to other
countries add
$211 billion to the
debt, mostly in the
form of war bonds.
By 1945, the debt has
soared to $259 billion.

U.S. FEDERAL DEBT
AS A PERCENTAGE
OF GDP

CIVIL WAR


Government bonds
are sold to finance
the Union’s military.
Debt hits 31% of GDP.

REAGAN ERA


Between 1980 and
1990, debt triples
and reaches
$3.2 trillion to fund
the Cold War
military buildup
and new efforts like
“the war on drugs.”

GREAT


RECESSION


Revenues shrink,
and government
outlays increase.
The debt reaches
$14.8 trillion
in 2011.

THE ROARING Õ20S


Amid a market boom,
debt shrinks from
$26 billion to $16 billion.

0


40


80


60


20


120


140% of GDP

100% of GDP

1850


1870


1890


1910


1930


1950


1970


1990


2010


2030


2050


0


5


10


15


$20 trillion

L AST BY TE


136


FORTUNE.COM // SEPTEMBER 2019


PILING UP DEBT IN TIMES OF TUMULT IS A STRATEGY with a long, successful history in the U.S. When confronted with wars or cataclysmic
downturns, the government borrows heavily—driving up debt relative to U.S. GDP—and rebalances after good times return. But a
decade after the most recent crisis-driven borrowing binge, the Great Recession, U.S. debt continues to soar. According to the Treasury
Department, federal borrowing is set to hit $1.23 trillion in 2019 on top of $1.34 trillion in 2018. Absent major legal or policy changes,
the Congressional Budget Office projects the debt-to-GDP ratio will rise into uncharted territory in decades to come. —BRIAN O’KEEFE

BUIL DING A MOUN TA IN OF DEBT


SOURCES: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE; TREASURY DEPARTMENT GRAPHIC BY NICOLAS RAPP

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