Shares Magazine - August 22, 2019

(vip2019) #1

UNDER THE BONNET We explain what this company does


38 | SHARES | 22 August 2019


ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJĂŶĚŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐĂůŝŬĞ
ŐŝǀĞŶƚŚĞĐƵƌƌĞŶƚŐŽůĚƉƌŝĐĞ͘
&ŽƌƌĞĨĞƌĞŶĐĞ͕ĂŶLJ/^ďĞůŽǁ
Ψϭ͕ϬϬϬŝƐĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌĞĚĚĞĐĞŶƚďLJ
ƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘
dĂŬŝŶŐĂĚǀĂŶƚĂŐĞŽĨƚŚĞ
ĐƵƌƌĞŶƚŐŽůĚƉƌŝĐĞ͕ZĞƐŽůƵƚĞŚĂƐ
ĨŽƌǁĂƌĚƐŽůĚϯϬ͕ϬϬϬŽƵŶĐĞƐ
ŽĨŐŽůĚĂƚĂŶĂǀĞƌĂŐĞƉƌŝĐĞŽĨ
Ψϭ͕ρϭεƉĞƌŽƵŶĐĞƚŚŝƐŵŽŶƚŚ͕
ŽŶƚŽƉŽĨƚŚĞρϬ͕ϬϬϬŝƚĨŽƌǁĂƌĚ
ƐŽůĚŝŶ:ƵŶĞĂƚĂƉƌŝĐĞŽĨΨϭ͕ϯϯϳ
ƉĞƌŽƵŶĐĞ͘
dŚĞĮŐƵƌĞƐŚĞůƉĞdžƉůĂŝŶǁŚLJ
ZĞƐŽůƵƚĞ͛ƐƐŚĂƌĞƐŚĂǀĞũƵŵƉĞĚ
ďLJŵŽƌĞƚŚĂŶĂƚŚŝƌĚƐŝŶĐĞŝƚ
ůŝƐƚĞĚŝŶ>ŽŶĚŽŶ͘dŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ
ƐŚĂƌĞƐĞŶĚĞĚƚŚĞŝƌĮƌƐƚĚĂLJŽĨ
ƚƌĂĚŝŶŐŽŶϮϬ:ƵŶĞĂƚĂƌŽƵŶĚ
ςςƉ͕ĂŶĚĂƌĞŶŽǁŚŽǀĞƌŝŶŐ
ĂƌŽƵŶĚƚŚĞϭϭϬƉŵĂƌŬ͘

AMBITIOUS PLANS
tŚŝůĞƚŚĞŶƵŵďĞƌƐĂƌĞƐƚƌŽŶŐ͕
ƚŚĞĮƌŵŝƐĂŵďŝƟŽƵƐĂŶĚǁĂŶƚƐ
ƚŽŐƌŽǁĨƵƌƚŚĞƌ͘tĞůďŽƌŶƐĂLJƐ
ZĞƐŽůƵƚĞŚŽƉĞƐƚŽŚĂǀĞŽŶĞƚŽ
ƚŚƌĞĞĂĚĚŝƟŽŶĂůŵŝŶĞƐŝŶƚŚĞ
ŶĞdžƚƚŚƌĞĞƚŽĮǀĞLJĞĂƌƐǁŝƚŚ
ĂĨŽĐƵƐŽŶĂƐƐĞƚƐǁŝƚŚĂůŝĨĞŽĨ
ŽǀĞƌϭϬLJĞĂƌƐ͘
dŚĞĮƌŵŚĂƐĂůƌĞĂĚLJƐƚĂƌƚĞĚ
ŵĂŬŝŶŐŐŽŽĚŽŶƚŚŽƐĞƉůĂŶƐ͕
ƌĞĐĞŶƚůLJĂĐƋƵŝƌŝŶŐdŽƌŽ'ŽůĚĨŽƌ
ΨϮϳκŵ͕Ă^ĞŶĞŐĂůͲďĂƐĞĚŵŝŶĞƌ
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ŽĨŐŽůĚůĂƐƚLJĞĂƌĂƚĂďĂƌĞůLJ
ďĞůŝĞǀĂďůĞ/^ŽĨΨςρρƉĞƌ
ŽƵŶĐĞ͘
ƚΨϮϳκŵ͕ZĞƐŽůƵƚĞŵŝŐŚƚ͛ǀĞ
ĨŽƵŶĚĂƐůŝŐŚƚďĂƌŐĂŝŶŐŝǀĞŶ
ΨϯϬϬŵǁĂƐƚŚĞĮŐƵƌĞďĂŶĚŝĞĚ
ĂďŽƵƚďĞĨŽƌĞZĞƐŽůƵƚĞĞŶƚĞƌĞĚ
ŝŶƚŽƚĂůŬƐǁŝƚŚdŽƌŽ͘
,ŽǁĞǀĞƌ͕dŽƌŽ͛ƐDĂŬŽŵŝŶĞŝŶ
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tĞůďŽƌŶĐůĂŝŵƐƚŚĞƌĞŝƐ͚ůŽƚƐŽĨ
ƉŽƚĞŶƟĂů͛ƚŽĞdžƚĞŶĚƚŚĞŵŝŶĞ͛Ɛ

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^ƵĐŚĂƵƚŽŵĂƟŽŶǁŝůůĂůůŽǁ
ZĞƐŽůƵƚĞƚŽƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚůLJƌĞĚƵĐĞ
ĐŽƐƚƐ͕ĂƐǁĞůůĂƐŝŵƉƌŽǀĞƐĂĨĞƚLJ
ĂŶĚƚŚĞĞĸĐŝĞŶĐLJŽĨĚŝŐŐŝŶŐŐŽůĚ
ŽƵƚŽĨƚŚĞŐƌŽƵŶĚ͘/ƚďĞŐƐƚŚĞ
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ŵŽƌĞŵŝŶĞƐĂƌĞŶ͛ƚĂƵƚŽŵĂƚĞĚ͘
͚dŚĞƉƌŽďůĞŵŝƐ͕͛tĞůďŽƌŶ
ĞdžƉůĂŝŶƐ͕͚ǁŚĞŶLJŽƵ͛ǀĞĚŽŶĞ
ƐŽŵĞƚŚŝŶŐŽŶĞǁĂLJĂŶĚŚĂĚ
ƐƵĐĐĞƐƐƚŚĂƚǁĂLJ͕ƉĞŽƉůĞƚŚŝŶŬ
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ǁĞƚŚŝŶŬ͕ǁŚLJǁŽƵůĚŶ͛ƚLJŽƵ
ĐŚĂŶŐĞ͍͛

ůŝĨĞ͕ŚĞĐŽŶĐĞĚĞƐ͚LJŽƵŶĞǀĞƌŐĞƚ
ĞǀĞƌLJƚŚŝŶŐLJŽƵ͛ƌĞůŽŽŬŝŶŐĨŽƌĂůů
ŽĨƚŚĞƟŵĞ͛͘

UPGRADED
OUTPUT GUIDANCE
ƵƚƚŚĞĚĞĂůŚĂƐůĞĚZĞƐŽůƵƚĞ
ƚŽƌĞǀŝƐĞƵƉŝƚƐĨƵůůLJĞĂƌ
ƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶŐƵŝĚĂŶĐĞĨƌŽŵ
ϯϯϬ͕ϬϬϬƚŽκϬϬ͕ϬϬϬŽƵŶĐĞƐ
ŽĨŐŽůĚĂƚĂŶ/^ŽĨΨεςϬƉĞƌ
ŽƵŶĐĞ͕ƚĂŬŝŶŐŝƚĐůŽƐĞƌƚŽŝƚƐĂŝŵ
ƚŽƉƌŽĚƵĐĞρϬϬ͕ϬϬϬŽƵŶĐĞƐĂ
LJĞĂƌ͕ĂŶĚĞǀĞŶƚƵĂůůLJϳρϬ͕ϬϬϬ
ŽƵŶĐĞƐĂLJĞĂƌ͘
ŶŽƚŚĞƌƚŚŝŶŐǁŚŝĐŚǁŝůůŚĞůƉ
ZĞƐŽůƵƚĞ͛ƐƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶŝƐƚŚĞ
^LJĂŵĂŵŝŶĞŝŶDĂůŝ͕ǁŚŝĐŚĮƌƐƚ
ĨƵůůLJĂƵƚŽŵĂƚĞĚŵŝŶĞ͘tĞůďŽƌŶ
ƐĂLJƐŝƚƐŚŽƵůĚďĞĂƚĨƵůůĐĂƉĂĐŝƚLJ
ďLJĞŶĚŽĨƚŚŝƐLJĞĂƌ͕ƵůƟŵĂƚĞůLJ
ƉƌŽĚƵĐŝŶŐϯϬϬ͕ϬϬϬŽƵŶĐĞƐŽĨ

LJ Yoosof Farah
ZĞƉŽƌƚĞƌ

POLITICAL RISK TAKES SHINE OFF GOLD MINERS


ONE IMPORTANT THING to consider
with miners is jurisdictional and
political risk. Particularly for gold
miners, many of whom operate
in West Africa, which has huge
reserves of gold but can be volatile
from both a political and security
viewpoint.
This was all too clear when
Canadian miner Avesoro
Resources (ASO:AIM) had to

suspend one of its two mines,
the Youga mine in Burkina Faso,
after it was stormed by armed
strongmen looking to steal
gold ore.
Its shares plunged from 65p to
50p following the news, and are
hovering around 55p with the mine
still suspended amid reports the
miners are reluctant to go back
to work.
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