2019-08-11_The_Week
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...and how they were covered
What next?
Is it really too late to stopano-deal Brexit? “Not necessarily,” said Sean O’Grady in The
Independent. When Parliament returns on3September, Labour is likely to call foravote of
no confidence, and with sufficient cross-party support suchavote could pass. Under the terms
of the Fixed-Term Parliaments Act, there would then bea14-day period in which to find an
alternative government capable of securing the confidence of the Commons. In theory, a
government of national unity could be formed, headed byaRemainer such as Labour’s
Margaret Beckett or the Tories’ Philip Hammond. Legally, however, Johnson would not have
to quit during that 14-day period, and if no new administration were in place at the end of it,
it would fall to him to decree the election date.
Parliament hasn’t run out of options to stopano-deal Brexit, said Stephen Bush in the New
Statesman. The problem is that Remainers need to coalesce aroundasingle strategy, which is
something they’ve never managed. “The pattern of parliamentary votes has been very clear: big
majorities to deplore the idea ofano-deal Brexit, and slim or non-existent majorities to actually
prevent one.” Even if MPs did manage to cobble together some Remainer alliance, it’s hard to
see what they would do next, said Tim Stanley in The Daily Telegraph. They could delay Brexit
abit, but to what end? They could “call an election, but Boris might win”.
“Revolutions, once started, are hard to stop,” said James Kirkup in The Spectator. Brexit has
so subverted political norms that we’re at the point where Johnson’s aides are suggesting he
could defy convention afterano-confidence vote by squatting in No. 10, “effectively daring the
Queen” to sack him. That would trash Britain’s reputation and setaterrible precedent. These
threats may all beabluff, said Robert Shrimsley in the FT, but Johnson will struggle to back
down now. He has long maintained that the EU will fold at the last minute. “The worry, for
all but the true disciples, is that the EU sees notaBritish lion butapaper tiger, knowing it can
allowanodeal and make the terms of May’s agreementaprecondition to future trade talks.”
What the commentators said
Dominic Cummings is
reportedly planning to frame
afuture election asa“people
vs. politicians” battle, pitting
Leave voters against
Remainer MPs, says
Sebastian Payne in the FT.
“Johnson would hope to
attract most of the Leave vote
–limiting the impact of the
Brexit Party–while the
Remain vote would be split
between the other parties.”
But the success of such a
strategy, were the election
held in early November, soon
after ano-deal Brexit, would
rest on howano-deal Brexit
panned out. “If there is major
disruption, it could prompt a
backlash against [Johnson’s]
Government. Should it be
manageable, the Prime
Minster could say he has
proved the naysayers wrong.”
What next?
“Trump’s presidency has been leading up to this moment,” said Carli Pierson in The
Independent. He described the neo-Nazis in Charlottesville as “very fine people”. Atarally
in May, he asked of Latino migrants: “How do we get rid of them?” And he smiled when
someone in the audience yelled: “Shoot them!” Of course Republican resistance to gun
control is an underlying problem. But Trump’s normalisation of racism has had terrifying
consequences. There is nowaglobal white supremacist movement, said James Palmer in
Foreign Policy. The El Paso shooter seems to have chosen the anonymous “politically
incorrect” message board of the website 8chan to post his manifesto–like the perpetrator
of the Christchurch massacre. It isa“cesspool of anti-Muslim conspiracies and neo-Nazism”.
The copycat nature of these killings is very clear. “In general,” wrote the El Paso killer, “I
support the Christchurch shooter and his manifesto.”
What links many of the zealots isasingle “deadly” theory, said Rosa Schwartzburg in The
Guardian. From his manifesto, it seems that Crusius subscribes to the “Great Replacement”:
the thesis, which originated in France, that Western elites are deliberately replacing people
of European descent with non-white immigrants. That puts him in line not only with Anders
Breivik, the Norwegian right-winger responsible for the murder of 77 people in 2011, but also
with the Christchurch shooter, who entitled his own manifesto “The Great Replacement”.
Some way must be found to inoculate the vulnerable againstatheory that is “spreading like a
virus”. What’s extraordinary is how much this “violent paranoia” resembles that of Islamist
terrorists, said Brendan O’Neill in Spiked. All of them believe that they are under some form of
“siege”: that their identities are in danger of being replaced or wiped out. What all such acts of
savagery point to are the “dangers inherent in the persistent politicisation of personal identity”.
What the commentators said
Mexico has demanded
better protection for its
citizens and for all
Mexican-Americans in
the US. Foreign Minister
Marcelo Ebrard said his
government could request
the extradition of the El
Paso killer on terrorism
charges, and might also
bring legal action against
whoever supplied his
weapon. Some 80% of the
population of El Paso are
Hispanic people.
Prosecutors in Texas say
they will press for the death
penalty against Crusius. In
recent decades, the state has
accounted for more than
one third of all executions
in the US.
We’re good at beating ourselves up in this country. Wheneveranew
infrastructure scheme runs into trouble, our first instinct is to see it
as evidence of Britain’s unique uselessness atGrands Projets.An
efficient nation such as Germany, we assume, would never get itself into suchamuddle. But that’s
not true–asthe fiasco of the new Berlin Brandenburg airport amply illustrates. The project was first
mooted in 1992, got under way in 2006 and was due to be completed five years later. But the 2011
inauguration was put off until the following year, and cancelled again then, just three weeks before
the opening ceremony. Another five missed opening dates followed, thanks to bureaucratic foul-ups
and budget problems. Nowasecond terminal, added to the original plans, has been completed, and
we’re told the airport will open in October 2020. Alas, many experts think even that is unrealistic.
To printalist of the project’s recent problems, noted Henrik Böhme in Deutsche Welle last week,
would require the felling of “a medium-size forest”. Escalators were installed that turned out to be
afew steps too short. If the wind blew in the wrong direction, rainwater flowed into the ventilation
shafts.Athousand trees were planted in the wrong place and had to be dug up again. Around 4,
doors were incorrectly numbered. Monitoring devices installed six years ago reached the end of their
lives and had to be replaced. In comparison to this litany of failures, the budget
overruns and delays plaguing Crossrail and HS2 in Britain don’t look half so bad.
THEWEEK
Harry Nicolle
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