Financial Times Europe - 17.08.2019 - 18.08.2019

2 ★ FTWeekend 17 August/18 August 2019

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WORLD|

WEEK IN REVIEW|

Argentina’s Macri takes steps to woo public as peso slides after poll defeat

Argentina’s President Mauricio Macri announced a number of emergency measures to claw back public support and stem the peso’s slide after its sharp devaluation, following hisdefeat in primary elections. Mr Macri lost by 15 percentage points to Peronist rival Alberto Fernández in the poll, a prelude to October’s presidential elections. The currency lost a third of its value and the Argentine stock market suffered huge falls amid fears of a government bankruptcy. The measures, which will cost $740m, include a freeze on petrol prices for 90 days, loans for small and medium-sized businesses and a floor for income tax.

Pakistan prime minister Imran Khan denounced India’s decision to revoke the legal autonomy of Jammu and Kashmir, the Muslim-majority state. New Delhi sent tens of thousands of extra troops to what is already one of the world’s most heavily mili- tarised areas in an effort to prevent a backlash. There has also been a telecommunications black- out while most shops, other businesses and all schools have been closed. But residents of Kashmir believe local fury over the changes will eventually lead to widespread unrest. On a trip to the Himalayan region to support Kash- miri self-determination, Mr Khan said Narendra Modi, his Indian counterpart, had “committed a strategic blunder — he has played his last card”.

Fears grow of German recession as economy shrinks in second quarter

Activist Thunberg boards yacht for climate summit in New York

Greta Thunberg, the 16-year-old Swedish climate activist, set sail for the US to attend next month’s UN climate summit in New York. She is travelling on a racing yacht with a crew including the nephew of Prince Albert of Monaco, Pierre Casiraghi, having quit flying for environmen- tal reasons. “I expect it will be challenging, maybe seasickness,” she said. “There are people in the world suffering more than that.” This summer, the UK and France both adopted targets to cut carbon emissions to net zero by 2050. The movement Ms Thunberg inspired continues to grow, with global climate strikes planned for Sep- tember 20 and 27.

-

Source: Federal Statistics Oice

Quarter on quarter change in GDP ()

Germany’s economy contracted by 0.1 per cent in the second quarter, adding to recession fears. The figures triggered more calls for Berlin to ramp up spending and break its commitment to a balanced budget.

Khan vents anger at India after it ends Kashmir’s special status

GUY CHAZAN— BERLIN SEBASTIAN PAYNE— LONDON

The German government thinksttthere ishere is a “high probability” of a no-deal Brexit on October 31, since it is “inconceiva- ble” that UK prime minister Boris John- son will soften his tough position on the Irish backstop. The assessment was made in aleaked internal finance ministry document which underlines Berlin’s firm opposi- tion to any renegotiation of the withdrawal agreement as demanded by the new British prime minister. The document said Mr Johnson was expected to use this month’s G7 summit

in Biarritzas a “big moment” to announce either a breakthrough or the breakdown of talks. Downing Street sources believeMr Johnson’s first appearance on the world stage will be critical to his Brexit strategy. “Against this backdrop it’s important from an EU perspective to stick to the line we have followed up till now,” the paper said. Mr Johnson has alarmed European leaders by insisting that the backstop, aimed at preventing the return of a hard border on the island of Ireland, must be scrapped. Unless the EU backs down, he has said the UK will leave the bloc by October 31 with or without a deal. The prime minister has not indicated he would be willing to accept any tweaks or a timelimit to the insurance policy. The fact that Mr Johnson has not visited any European capitals since becom- ing prime minister last month is also

being interpreted by many in the EU as a sign of his determination to steer towards a no-deal Brexit. Some MPs in Westminster believe he is preparing for a blame game where he will pin responsibility for a no-deal out- come on the EU. So far, the EU has insisted it will not remove the backstop and reopen the withdrawal agreement negotiated between the European Commission and the government of Theresa May. German finance ministry officials said that even if the backstop were removed, as Mr Johnson wants, there was no certainty the UK parliament would backa deal, which MPs have already rejected three times. The document, whose contents were first reported by German newspaper Handelsblatt and confirmed by the FT, said it was “crucial” that all EU member

states remained united in their support for the withdrawal agreement and not “lose their nerve”, even if faced with the looming prospect of a disorderly Brexit. The insight intoGermany’s position came yesterday on the same day that Sajid Javid, UK chancellor of the excheq- uer, flew to Berlin for talks with his counterpart Olaf Scholz. Mr Javid is the first senior member of the Johnson cabi- net to hold talks on Brexit with a counterpart from an EU member state. Mr Scholz later tweeted that the two had discussed Brexit and “future co-op- eration”. “The EU27 stands united and is ready for all scenarios,” he said. “The best and only way for an orderly withdrawal is the negotiated #Brexitdeal.” The finance ministry paper said Ger- many’s preparations for a no-deal sce- nario were already “largely completed”. Letterspage 6,See The Long View

Brexit

Germany believes no-deal highly likely

Leaked notes show Berlin

expects talks to fail unless UK is flexible on backstop

KADHIM SHUBBER— WASHINGTON

For years, Ghislaine Maxwell’s wherea- bouts could be pinpointed by her regu- lar appearances athigh-society parties and her long-running campaign as an “ocean citizen” to clean up the seas. Today, the 57-year-old socialite’s location is something of a mystery. Ms Maxwell is underscrutiny as US prose- cutorsvow to pursueco-conspirators of Jeffrey Epstein after the money man- ager died in jail from whatauthorities called an apparent suicide. Ms Maxwell is at the centre of the scandal surrounding Epstein, her former lover who escaped federal prosecution after women came forward alleging sexual abuse in the mid-2000s but who was arrested last month on charges of sex trafficking underage girls. “She [has] gone into complete hiding since this stuff broke,” said an acquaint- ance. Aside from a few limited texts with close friends, “nobody’s seen or heard from her”, the person added. Press reportsplaced her at the Massa- chusetts home of a tech executive, who flatly denied the stories, and also at a Los Angeles burger joint, where the New York Postsaid she was reading a book about the “secret lives and deaths of CIA operatives”. The events have placed a spotlight on theworldboth Epstein and Ms Maxwell inhabited, with contactsincluding US presidents, British royalty and powerful businessmen. Though she has never been accused of wrongdoing by the authorities, lawyers for Epstein’svictimsand court filings from years of litigationportrayed Ms Maxwell as a key figure in Epstein’s alleged sex trafficking ring, accusing her of helping to procure girls for him to abuse sexually. Fresh allegationsemerged this month after an appeals court unsealed more than a thousand pages of records from a 2015 defamation lawsuit brought against Ms Maxwell by one of her accus- ers, Virginia Roberts Giuffre,who sued after Ms Maxwell claimed she had lied.

The lawsuit was settled in 2017. The records detailed allegations by Ms Giuffre that Ms Maxwell had directed her to have sex with a series of promi- nent figures in business and politics, including Prince Andrew, the Duke of York, who has repeatedly denied the claims over several years. And earlier this week Jennifer Araoz, who said Epstein raped her when she was 15, sued Ms Maxwell in court in New York, alleging she “conspired with Epstein in the implementation and maintenance of his criminal enter- prise”. The lawsuitclaimed the heiress “oversaw the process” by which she was recruited and groomed. Ms Maxwell has long denied any wrongdoing. Her attorneys did not respond to a request for comment. Ina 2016 deposition unsealed this month, sheapologised for “banging at the table”. She said: “It’s borne out of years of feeling the pressure of this entire lie [Ms Giuffre] has perpetrated.” The daughter of Robert Maxwell, the late disgraced media baron, Ms Maxwell moved to the US in the 1990s after the

mysterious death of her father on a yachting trip near the Canary Islands. Soon afterwards she began an associa- tion with Epstein that would define her. The pair were lovers and Ms Maxwell eventually worked for him, recruiting staff to work in his mansions and girls to give him massages, but she has insisted she did not recruit anyone underage. The first public allegations against Ms Maxwell came in the litigation that followed the controversial 2007 plea deal Epstein secured. It allowed him to avoid federal prosecution and instead serve 13 months injail, much of which he spent on work release in his private office. In 2009, Ms Giuffre alleged in a lawsuit against Epstein that Ms Maxwell had procured underage girls for him and claimed she had been sexually abused by both Epstein and Ms Maxwell. The claims,denied by Ms Maxwell, did little to impede her social life.She went on tolaunchnon-profit organisa- tionTheTerraMar Projectand cam- paigned to clean up the oceans. By 2016 Ms Maxwell hadlargely disappeared from the public eye. But a series of

Miami Heraldarticles last year, and Epstein’s arrest in July, refocused public attention onher. TerraMar was abruptly closed last month. And the day before Epstein was found dead, a judge released sealed records from Ms Max- well’s and Ms Giuffre’s lawsuit that included more claims. In one deposition, a butler for friends of Epstein and Ms Maxwell claimed that in 2005 he had spoken to a 15-year-old girl who was crying uncontrollably as she recounted being asked for sex while on Epstein’s island. “I was threatened by Ghislaine not to discuss this,” he recalled her saying. An affidavit by a woman filed in a sep- arate case in February claimed she had visited Epstein’s island in 2006 and seen many girls, some “young teenagers”, who had been recruited by Ms Maxwell. “Once they were there, she appeared to be in charge of their activities, including what they did, who they did it with and how they were supposed to stay in line”, the affidavit said. Additional reporting by Sami Vukelj Editorial Commentpage 6

US litigation.Sex abuse allegations

Role of Epstein’s former lover under scrutiny

Ghislaine Maxwell is facing

fresh claims surrounding ties

with disgraced late financier

Jeffrey Epstein, with his arm around Ghislaine Maxwell, with Donald Trump and Melania Knauss, whom the US president later married, at Mar-a-Lago Club, Palm Beach, Florida, in February 2000 — Davidoff Studios/Getty Images

RICHARD MILNE— OSLO HENRY FOY— MOSCOW JAMES POLITI— WASHINGTON

A proposal floated by US president Donald Trump to purchase Greenland has been met with a mixture of incre- dulity and derision, with the self- governing Danish territory declaring it was “not for sale”.

“It must be an April Fool’s Day joke,” Lars Lokke Rasmussen, who was Den- mark’s prime minister until June,wrote in a tweetyesterday in response to reports that Mr Trump had reportedly raised with his key advisers the prospect of buying the world’s biggest island. “Greenland is not for sale, and can’t be sold,” the island’s government said in a statement. “But Greenland is ready for negotiations to enter collaborations with other countries, including the US.” Greenland, home to 5 6,000 residents, depends on Copenhagen for foreign affairs and national security, while being geographically part of North America. It has geopolitical significance due to its location between North Amer- ica and Europe, abutting the North Pole. Ithas significant natural resources

potential, including rare earth metals, oil and gas. Mr Trump’s apparent interest in pur- chasing Greenland was first reported by TheWall Street Journal newspaper, which reported that he had floated the idea at dinner and in other conversa- tions withaides, including the White House counsel. The White House declined to comment. Arctic experts said the Trump administration had grown increasingly inter- ested in the region. “There has been this

awakening about the Arctic — and this concept of great power competition in the Arctic — within the administration over the last six to seven months,” said Heather Conley of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a think-tank. News of Mr Trump’s interestcame as Mette Frederiksen, Denmark’s new, centre-left premier, prepared to make herfirst trip to the island this weekend. There is strong support forindepend- ence from Denmarkin Greenland itself,

but a sale to the US isseen as a non- starter. “Trump buy Greenland?! Hopefully it’s a joke, but otherwise it is a terrible thought, with the risk of the militarisa- tion of Greenland and less independ- ence for the Greenlandic people — besides being a great loss to Denmark,” said Martin Lidegaard, a centre-left former Danish foreign minister. Aaja Larsen, one of Greenland’s two MPs in the Danish parliament, said: “I don’t think it’s a good idea. I say, ‘No thank you,’ to Trump.” For all the gallows humour, Denmark does have history of selling islands to the US. In 1916, at the height of the first world war, the US bought the Danish West Indies for $25m amid fearsGer- many might gain control over what became the US Virgin Islands. The US has also tried to buy Greenland before, most recently in 1946 when president Harry Truman offered $100m. Mr Trump will travel to Copenhagen for a state visit next month, when he is expected to meet Ms Frederiksen and Kim Kielsen, Greenland’s premier. The UShas an air base at Thule, inside the Arctic Circle in the north of Greenland.

Arctic overture

Greenland says it’s ‘not for sale’ as Danes laugh off Trump pitch

Greenland’s natural attractions

GREENLAND

CANADA

ALASKA

UNITED STATES

RUSSIA

sq km

Oil production Potential oil production

Arctic Ocean

Norwegian Sea

Sources: Wood Mackenzie; Fugro Robertson; CIA Map: Google Earth

‘It’s important

from an EU

perspective to stick to

the line we have

followed up till now’

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Barber. Responsible for advertising content, Jon Slade. a Stampa S.r.l., Via Michelangelo Buonarroti,

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a Stampa S.r.l., Via Michelangelo Buonarroti, 153, Monza, 20900, Milan. Tel. +39 039 28288201 News"

153, Monza, 20900, Milan. Tel. +39 039 28288201 Owner, The Financial Times Limited; Rappresentante e News"

Owner, The Financial Times Limited; Rappresentante e Direttore Responsabile in Italia: I.M.D.Srl-Marco Provasi -Direttore Responsabile in Italia: I.M.D.Srl-Marco Provasi -News"

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a Stampa S.r.l., Via Michelangelo Buonarroti,

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a Stampa S.r.l., Via Michelangelo Buonarroti, 153, Monza, 20900, Milan. Tel. +39 039 28288201

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153, Monza, 20900, Milan. Tel. +39 039 28288201 Owner, The Financial Times Limited; Rappresentante e

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Owner, The Financial Times Limited; Rappresentante e Direttore Responsabile in Italia: I.M.D.Srl-Marco Provasi -

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Direttore Responsabile in Italia: I.M.D.Srl-Marco Provasi - Via G. Puecher, 2 20037 Paderno Dugnano (MI), Italy.

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Via G. Puecher, 2 20037 Paderno Dugnano (MI), Italy. Milano n. 296 del 08/05/08 - Poste Italiane SpA-Sped. in

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Milano n. 296 del 08/05/08 - Poste Italiane SpA-Sped. in Abb.Post.DL. 353/2003 (conv. L. 27/02/2004-n.46) art. 1

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Abb.Post.DL. 353/2003 (conv. L. 27/02/2004-n.46) art. 1 .comma 1, DCB Milano. VK.COM/WSNWS

.comma 1, DCB Milano. B VK.COM/WSNWS

Bermont Impresion, Avenida de Alemania 12, CTC, VK.COM/WSNWS

ermont Impresion, Avenida de Alemania 12, CTC, 28821, Coslada, Madrid.28821, Coslada, Madrid.VK.COM/WSNWS

Financial Times Europe - 17.08.2019 - 18.08.2019

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