The Wall Street Journal - 02.08.2019

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© 2019 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved. ***** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Friday, August 2, 2019 |B


TECHNOLOGY: EBAY SUIT CLAIMS AMAZON POACHED SELLERS B


BUSINESS&FINANCE


FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Makers of plant-based patties say their
products are better for the planet than beef, but debate over
their nutritional merit is growing as production ramps up. B

JANE LANHEE LEE/REUTERS

But after the U.S. corporate
tax cuts in the 2017 law, the
edge is small enough that it
might not be worth reputa-
tional and political costs.
Those changes might deter
new inversions and cause in-
verted companies to retake
U.S. addresses if other busi-
ness reasons warrant such a
move. Inversion deals were
particularly hot from 2012 to
2015, as companies such as
Eaton Corp. and Medtronic
PLC took foreign addresses.
The moves generated politi-
cal blowback as lawmakers
criticized companies as aban-
doning the U.S. The dust-up
led to new regulations and
provided some of the impetus
for the 2017 tax-code rewrite.
“Transactions that histori-
cally would have been struc-
tured as inversions are no lon-
ger being structured that way,
even when the opportunity to
PleaseturntopageB

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supplier and major buyer of
commercial planes, warned
Wednesday that the grounding
could drain as much as $1.
billion from its cash flow this
year as its factories produce
fewer engines for the aircraft
and cannot get fully paid for
them. The MAX jet is powered
exclusively by LEAP engines
made by GE in partnership
with France’sSafranSA.
“When Boeing delivers the
airframes, we will get paid for
those engines. It’s just a delay
in cash timing,” said Jamie
Miller, GE’s outgoing finance
chief.

For now, that means GE
didn’t take in an expected
$600 million in the first half
of the year and won’t take in
another $400 million per
quarter in the second half if
the plane remains grounded.
“$400 million per quarter is
what is likely to happen if we
do not see a return to service,”
GE Chief Executive Larry Culp
said. GE’s revised financial
forecast for the full year, which
calls for cash flow between $
billion and negative $1 billion,
reflects the MAX delays.
GE has slowed production
this year of the engine model

used in the MAX. The project
is a major driver of growth for
the company’s aviation unit,
which accounted for $3 billion
of GE’s roughly $5 billion in
industrial profit in the first
half of the year. The LEAP,
which is also used on Airbus
SE jets, has attracted more
than 17,000 orders. GE also
makes avionics and other
parts for the MAX.
“GE is heavily tied to Boe-
ing’s narrowbody fortunes,”
said John Inch, an analyst at
Gordon Haskett, an investment
research firm. He said once the
single-aisle MAX is approved

to fly again, Boeing may need
to discount the price of the
plane and that could mean less
money for GE as well.
“You could have emerging
issues in the long-term avia-
tion story that everyone pre-
sumes is rock solid,” he said.
The aviation unit, which is
now GE’s largest by revenue,
has propped up the conglom-
erate’s results in recent years
as GE has struggled with deep
losses in its core power divi-
sion and finance arm. Those
troubles have forced GE to
slash its dividend and pursue
PleaseturntopageB

General ElectricCo. is con-
tending with a fresh strain on
its finances due to the ex-
tended grounding ofBoeing
Co.’s 737 MAX jets, just as the
industrial conglomerate says it
is making progress on some of
its other thorny problems.
GE, a longtime aerospace


BYTHOMASGRYTA


Boeing MAX Is GE’s New Problem


Jet’s grounding is


hurting cash flow for


the company, which


helps make the engines


pressing his contention that
right-leaning employees were
being treated unfairly, accord-
ing to interviews, documents
and copies of posts on
Google’s internal message
boards. In one example from
2017 that he reported to hu-
man resources, a manager
publicly asked on a board
about employees holding
views like Mr. Cernekee’s:
“Can’t we just fire the poison-
ous assholes already?”
In June 2018, Mr. Cernekee
was fired.
Google told Mr. Cernekee in
a termination letter that he
was let go for multiple viola-
tions of company policies, in-
cluding improperly download-
ing company information and
misuse of the remote-access
software system. Mr. Cernekee
denies that. He says he was
fired for being an outspoken
PleaseturntopageB

“Those are very relevant in
tipping the scales,” said Re-
becca Babin, a senior energy
trader at CIBC Private Wealth
Management. “It’s very hard
for people to look at the 2020
supply-demand imbalances
and want to get long,” refer-
ring to bullish positions.
The projections for over-
supply explain in part why oil
PleaseturntopageB

Analysts estimate output
from offshore projects in Bra-
zil, a Norwegian oil field in the
North Sea and easing produc-
tion curtailments in Canada
could produce several hundred
thousand barrels a day of
crude next year. That figure is
still relatively small, but
growth from those projects is
bolstering bets output will ex-
ceed consumption.

production to continue as new
pipelines from the prolific
Permian Basin of Texas and
New Mexico ease bottlenecks
in the region. Yet analysts said
the addition of barrels from
ancillary producers threatens
to make the expected sur-
pluses bigger, particularly as
concern about a slowing world
economy triggers fears about
crumbling demand.

ago and continue to drive eco-
nomic growth even as busi-
ness investment slows. Trans-
portation companies including
Union PacificCorp. have cited
lower fuel costs as a positive
for second-quarter profits,
though there is still concern
about economic uncertainty
and demand.
Many investors have long
expected a surge in U.S. shale

Growth in oil supply is ex-
pected to accelerate next year
as global production increases,
keeping crude mired in a bear
market and possibly lowering
fuel prices for consumers.
At the same time, anxiety
about trade tensions crimping
global growth and weakening
demand has bolstered concern
about a supply glut in recent
months, investors say.
The U.S. benchmark for
crude fell 7.9% to $53.95 a bar-
rel Thursday, logging its larg-
est one-day percentage drop
since February 2015, after
President Trump said on Twit-
ter that tariffs of 10% would
be applied to an additional
$300 billion of Chinese goods
and products starting Sept. 1.
Before Mr. Trump’s tweet,
oil prices were down as the
dollar strengthened after the
Federal Reserve refrained
Wednesday from explicitly
confirming more stimulus.
The U.S. is forecast to con-
tinue driving much of the
surge in output, and increases
by smaller producers such as
Brazil and Norway are ex-
pected to contribute to excess
supply, according to investors.
Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase
analysts project supply will
grow roughly one million bar-
rels a day more than demand
in 2020, resulting in a surplus
each quarter of next year.
The expected oversupply is
the latest threat to the Organi-
zation of the Petroleum Ex-
porting Countries and other
producers, many of which are
curbing output to try to bal-
ance the market.
Investors will be monitor-
ing quarterly results from
Exxon MobilCorp. andChev-
ronCorp. on Friday after most
of the large energy companies
reported underwhelming fig-
ures for the first three months
of the year.
Royal Dutch ShellPLC be-
came Thursday the latest ma-
jor energy company to report
a drop in second-quarter
profit from a year earlier.
Plentiful supply has been a
boon for U.S. consumers, who
are on average paying less for
gasoline at the pump this
summer than they were a year


BYAMRITHRAMKUMAR


Surge in Oil Supply Expected as Prices Sink


Lowe’sCos. told thousands
of store workers this week
their jobs were being elimi-
nated as the company out-
sourced tasks such as assem-
bling barbecue grills and
janitorial services.
The home-improvement
chain notified maintenance
staff and assemblers that put
together grills, wheelbarrows
and other products that they
were being laid off, according
to the company and employ-
ees. Those roles will be taken
over by third-party companies.
Each of Lowe’s roughly 1,
U.S. stores has several staff
members doing these jobs.
Laid-off employees, including
full-time staff with years of
service, aren’t being paid sev-
erance. Instead they are being
offered “transition pay” total-
ing up to about two weeks for
full-time workers, one em-
ployee said. They are able to
reapply for open positions, em-
ployees said, but aren’t guaran-
teed the same pay.
Lowe’s employed 190,
full-time and 110,000 part-
time workers as of Feb. 1.
“We are moving to third-
party assemblers and facility
services to allow Lowe’s store
associates to spend more time
on the sales floor serving cus-
tomers,” said a spokeswoman
for Lowe’s.
The move indicates new
CEO Marvin Ellison is continu-
ing to cut costs aggressively.
Traditional retailers are
scrutinizing their labor costs
as they face increasing compe-
tition and adapt to consumers
purchasing more online. Re-
tailers from Walmart Inc. to
the smallest shops are under
pressure as they increase
starting hourly wages to at-
tract workers in a tight U.S.
job market. Walmart is testing
a new store management
structure that will thin mid-
dle-manager ranks. Lowe’s and
rival Home Depot Inc. have
added self-checkout counters
to free workers for other roles.
Mr. Ellison—previously a
senior executive for Home De-
pot and most recently CEO of
struggling department store
J.C. Penney Co.—moved
quickly after taking over last
summer. He closed 47 less
profitable U.S. and Canadian
stores last year and shut down
Orchard Supply Hardware
stores, a small regional hard-
ware chain that Lowe’s ac-
quired five years previously.
In recent years, Lowe’s
sales growth has lagged be-
hind Home Depot. But in the
most recent quarter, Lowe’s
sales growth outpaced its rival
for the first time since 2016.
However, profit margins de-
clined more than expected and
Lowe’s cut its profit expecta-
tions for the year.

BYSARAHNASSAUER

Lowe’s to


Outsource,


Lay Off


Thousands


MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif.—
Kevin Cernekee was still a
“Noogler”—Google’s term for
a new employee—when his
conservative take on political
and social issues raised hack-
les within the search giant.
After several posts on the
company’s freewheeling inter-
nal message boards in early
2015 rankled some colleagues,
he was given an official warn-
ing from human resources
about conduct deemed disre-
spectful and insubordinate.
Around that time, a senior
manager wrote on the boards
that he added Mr. Cernekee to
a “written blacklist” of em-
ployees he wouldn’t work
with.
Mr. Cernekee, 41 years old,
spent much of the next three
years battling Google over his
perceived violations and

BYROBCOPELAND

Google Faces More


Political Bias Claims


Meatless Burgers Get Grilled


Inversions are starting to
revert.
WhenMylanmoved its cor-
porate address to the Nether-
lands in 2015, the pharmaceu-
tical company joined a wave of
corporate inversion deals
aided by tax advantages of a
non-U.S. address. Now, Mylan’s
address is coming back to the
U.S. through a merger deal
this week with part ofPfizer
Inc., a sign the 2017 tax law is
rendering these moves less at-
tractive than they once were.
The deal comes a month af-
terAllerganPLC—an inverted
pharmaceutical company
based in Dublin—announced
its return to a U.S. parent
through a sale toAbbVieInc.
On balance, say tax lawyers
and analysts, foreign ad-
dresses still confer a slight tax
advantage.


BYRICHARDRUBIN
ANDJAREDS.HOPKINS


Tax Cuts Help Keep


U.S. Companies Home


Theoilmarkethastumbled,trailingstocksonworriesovereconomicgrowthandexcesssupply.


PerformancesincetheendofJune

OPECagreestocurboutput

U.S.blamesIranforattackson
tankersintheGulfofOman

IranseizesBritish-flaggedoiltanker

Crudeoil
–27.2%

S&P
+8.7%

Energy
stocks*
–19.5%

*Energy stocks measured by S&P 500 energy sector †For stockpiles in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries. Figures for May and June 2019 are estimates;
data includes crude and crude condensate‡Includes crude, condensate and natural-gas liquids
Sources: FactSet (performance); International Energy Agency (oil inventories); JPMorgan Chase (supply and demand); Commodity Futures Trading Commission (ratio)

Hedgefundsandotherspeculative
investorsremaincautiousonoil.

Ratioofbullishoilwagersto
bearishbetsbyspeculators
30

0

5

10

15

20

25

times

2018 ’

Inventoriesinindustrialized
nationshaverisenthisyear.†

ChangeinOECDstockpiles
sinceendof
20









0

million barrels

2018 ’

Analystsprojectglobaloilproductionto
exceedconsumptionthroughoutnextyear.

Differencebetweensupply
anddemand,quarterly‡
2.

–1.

–0.

00

0.

1.

1.

million barrels a day

2018 ’19 ’

10











0

%

July 2018 ’
Free download pdf