The Wall Street Journal - 30.07.2019

(Dana P.) #1

A6|Tuesday, July 30, 2019 **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


%

Others

Buttigieg

Warren

Sanders

Harris

Biden

June July

0

10

20


30


40


Polling Averages


KamalaHarris’spollingaverageskyrocketedafterthe
firstroundofdebatesbuthasfallenoffslightlyrecently.


Real Clear Politics’ polling average for Democratic candidates


Note: Moving average of several major polls
Source: Real Clear Politics


DEMOCRATIC DEBATES

Split in two groups over
two nights, 20 Democratic
presidential candidates are
poised to debate in Detroit,
following several polls and re-
cent fundraising reports that
show the top five candidates
separating themselves from
the pack.
Former Vice President Joe
Biden, Massachusetts Sen.
Elizabeth Warren, Vermont
Sen. Bernie Sanders, California
Sen. Kamala Harris and South
Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Butt-
igieg have consistently led in
national and early state sur-
veys. They also reported rais-
ing the most money—by far—
in the second quarter.
Those same five candidates
sat atop the polls heading into
the first pair of debates in Mi-
ami in June, though that
showdown did give Ms. Harris
a boost.
They will be joined in De-
troit by several other candi-
dates who are struggling to
gain traction and have only a
month left to meet the
tougher thresholds set by the
Democratic National Commit-
tee for the September debate.
Here are some key ques-
tions that could be answered
Tuesday and Wednesday
nights:


Will the “less polite” Biden
deliver?
Mr. Biden has promised he
will be “less polite” during
Wednesday’s debate. He will
be on stage with not just Ms.
Harris, who targeted him dur-
ing the first set of debates,
but also with New Jersey Sen.
Cory Booker, who has called
Mr. Biden an “architect of
mass incarceration” for his
role in the passage of the 1994
crime bill.
Mr. Biden, whose lead has
slipped in surveys, has indi-
cated he will return the fire
this time.
“If they want to argue
about the past, I can do that,”
he said at a recent fundraiser
in Detroit. “I got a past I’m
proud of. They got a past
that’s not quite so good.”
Both Ms. Harris and Mr.
Booker will be looking for mo-
ments to bring up Mr. Biden’s
record, especially on race.


Which flank of the party—lib-
eral or moderate—will make a
stronger argument?
The first night of the de-
bates will bring together the
two most prominent progres-
sive candidates—Mr. Sanders
and Ms. Warren—and a hand-
ful of centrists who are look-
ing to define themselves as
the pragmatic choice.
Mr. Buttigieg, former Texas
Rep. Beto O’Rourke, Minnesota
Sen. Amy Klobuchar, former
Colorado Gov. John Hicken-
looper, former Maryland Rep.
John Delaney, Montana Gov.
Steve Bullock and Ohio Rep.
Tim Ryan have all been critical
of at least some policies pro-
posed by Ms. Warren and Mr.
Sanders, such as Medicare for
All and student-debt cancella-
tion. Yet so far, none of them
have been able to break into


BYTARINIPARTI
ANDELIZACOLLINS


U.S. NEWS


the top tier.
Mr. Bullock, who wasn’t on
stage during the June debates,
will get his first opportunity
to offer an alternative to some
of his liberal opponents.
Mr. Sanders and Ms. War-
ren will be forced to defend
their policy platforms, includ-
ing their calls to abolish pri-
vate health insurance, but it
remains to be seen if they will
team up to do so, or try to dis-
tinguish themselves from one
another.

Will this be the last debate
spread over two nights?
The next debate gathering—
held in Houston in Septem-
ber—is unlikely to include as
many candidates, and so could
end up being just a one-night
event.
To qualify for this week’s
debates, candidates had to hit
a 1% threshold in at least three
preapproved polls or get dona-
tions from 65,000 people. In
September, those require-
ments will increase to a 2%
threshold in four qualifying
polls and 130,000 donors.
Ahead of Tuesday’s debates,
seven candidates had qualified
for the stage in September.
For many candidates who have
struggled to break out, this
week’s debates could be their
last chance to get the fund-
raising boost and polling
bump needed to stay in the
race.

Can the last debates’ breakout
candidates repeat a strong per-
formance?
Ms. Harris and former
Housing Secretary Julián Cas-
tro were the breakout candi-
dates during the June debates.
Their campaigns saw a surge
in fundraising and interest af-
ter they both targeted other
candidates on stage.
It helped Mr. Castro meet
the donor threshold for the
September debate, but he still
needs to meet the polling cri-
teria.
This time, he will be on the
stage the same night as Ms.
Harris, and they both will have
higher expectations and more
prepared opponents.
Ms. Harris has already se-
cured a spot for the Septem-
ber debate, but another strong
performance would help give
credibility to her campaign’s
message that she’s the most
qualified candidate to, in her
words, “prosecute the case
against President Trump.”

Will the younger candidates
clash?
Messrs. O’Rourke and Butt-
igieg—younger candidates
who have made an argument
centered on generational
change—have seen their for-
tunes diverge.
Mr. O’Rourke, who entered
the Democratic primary as a
political celebrity, has been
struggling in the polls. He has
lost some of his supporters
and donors to Mr. Buttigieg,
who started his campaign as a
small-city mayor with little
name recognition. Mr. Butt-
igieg has now been consis-
tently polling in the top five
and raised the most money in
the second quarter.
The two will be on stage to-
gether for the first time
Wednesday night, with Mr.
O’Rourke searching for a
standout moment and Mr.
Buttigieg trying to solidify his
support.

Candidates


Look to Break


From Pack


Debates could solidify


top tier of Democrats,


prompt others to drop


out of crowded race


The Education Department
is looking at such transfers
through its investigative arm,
its Inspector General Office,
said a person familiar with the
matter. The office has sug-
gested that the Education De-
partment add clarifying lan-
guage to the Federal Student
Aid handbook. The suggested
language, this person said, is:
“If a student enters into a le-
gal guardianship, but contin-
ues to receive medical and fi-
nancial support from their
parents, they do not meet the
definition of a legal guardian-
ship and are still considered a
dependent student.”
The Journal’s review of
more than 1,000 probate court
cases filed in 2018 in Lake
County, Ill., turned up 38 cases
in which a judge granted the
transfer of guardianship to a
teenager in his or her junior or
senior year of high school.
Most of the families live in
homes valued at around
$500,000. Several of those
homes were valued at more
than $1 million, according to
property sites including Zillow.
In court documents, a peti-
tioner is asked why he or she
should become a guardian.
Nearly all of the 38 cases use
some version of this language:
“The guardian can provide ed-
ucational and financial support
and opportunities to the minor
that her parents could not oth-
erwise provide.”
Mari Berlin is one of the at-

torneys at the Chicago firm of
Kabbe Law Group who has
represented about 25 families
who have transferred guard-
ianship for the purposes of se-
curing independent student
status, which can generate
more financial aid.
“The guardianship law was
written very broadly,” Ms. Ber-
lin said. “Judges were given an
immense amount of discretion.
The standard is, best interest
of the child, and I think it’s
hard to argue that this is not
in the student’s best interest.”
The University of Illinois
notified the Education Depart-
ment last year after a teenager
mentioned the strategy to her
high-school guidance coun-
selor in suburban Chicago. The
counselor notified the Univer-
sity of Illinois, where the stu-
dent had applied, Mr. Borst
said.
On her admissions applica-
tion, the student indicated she
lived with her parents in an af-
fluent Chicago suburb, but on
her financial-aid application
she said she was independent,
a university financial-aid offi-
cer discovered. That made the
student eligible for thousands
of dollars in need-based aid
from the federal government,
the state of Illinois and the
university, Mr. Borst said.
Admissions officers found
15 students whom they had ac-
cepted who had recently le-
gally transferred guardianship.
The school said it would likely

withhold institutionally funded
need-based aid “until we are
satisfied that students who
have transferred guardianship
don’t have other financial re-
sources available,” Mr. Borst
said.
Apart from the university
aid, the students each are re-
ceiving up to $11,785 in state
and federal aid, he said.
“They are gaming the sys-
tem, whether it is legal or not
doesn’t make it any less unsa-
vory,” said Justin Draeger,
chief executive and president
of the National Association of
Student Financial Aid Admin-
istrators.
A man who says he is a cli-
ent of Destination College said
his mother became the guard-
ian of two of his daughters, in-
cluding one who will attend
college this fall. His daughter
received need-based aid at
some schools but not at oth-
ers, he said.
The issue of gaming college
admissions entered the public
realm this year when William
“Rick” Singer, CEO of an ad-
missions consulting firm, was
charged for running a scam in
which he helped students
cheat on their college-entrance
exams and bribed college ath-
letic coaches to get students
into elite universities. Mr.
Singer has pleaded guilty to
four felonies and is cooperat-
ing with the case that includes
charges against 51 total, in-
cluding 34 parents.

Mr. Steyer had been a reli-
able Democratic donor since
the 1980s, according to a re-
view of Federal Election Com-
mission reports. He stepped up
his involvement as a fundraiser
during John Kerry’s 2004 pres-

idential campaign.
Though Mr. Kerry lost, the
experience sparked a growing
interest in politics in Mr.
Steyer, who colleagues said
seemed restless after nearly
two decades helming Farallon.

Inthe’90s,
Steyergave
lessthan
$40,

NextGendonations NeedtoImpeach Other

Thenhegave
threetimesthat
between
and

In2013,hegave$1.89million,
morethanhehadgiven
intotalupuntilthatpoint.
HealsostartedfundingNextGen,
agrouphefounded,givingit
$9.3millionthatyear.

Inthenext
5years,
hegave
$90,

1990-’99 2000-’04 ’05-’09 ’10 ’11 ’

2013

2014 2015

2016 2017 2018

$5.1million
toothercauses

$57.6million
toNextGen

$13.
million

$10.
million

$50.2million

In2016,hegave
$76.5million
toNextGen,while
reducingother
donationstoless
than$1million

DemocratTomSteyerincreasedhisgivingintheyearsbefore
runningforpresident.MostdonationsweretoNextGenClimate
ActionCommittee,whichworkstobuildyouthvoterturnoutand
backscandidateswhowanttoaddressclimatechange.

Federal campaign contributions reported

Source: Federal Election Commission

*Need to Impeach, which Tom Steyer founded, advocates impeaching President Trump
Note: Includes only contributions made for federal election purposes; some Need to Impeach
funding and state level giving aren’t reflected.

In2018,he
gavemore
than$12.
millionto
Needto
Impeach*

Advisers spent the next year
reviewing where Mr. Steyer
could have impact outside Far-
allon. They decided on found-
ing a community development
bank with his wife Kat Taylor, a
longtime liberal activist.
Around 2006, Mr. Steyer began
holding focus groups to evalu-
ate how he might be perceived
if he ever ran, one person fa-
miliar with the matter said.
Clients by then were asking
how long Mr. Steyer would re-
main involved at Farallon, said
people familiar with the firm.
The financial crisis put any
political aspirations on hold.
Farallon lost 36% in 2008 as
investments in real estate,
emerging markets like Turkey
and Russia, and other areas
soured. It was forced to set
aside and sell off about $6 bil-
lion in assets so it could return
cash to investors over time,
rather than immediately. Mr.
Steyer stayed on until Farallon
stabilized.
He wrote to clients in 2012
he planned to focus on giving
back and named as his succes-
sor Andrew Spokes, who had
headed the unit that financed
the coal projects. Mr. Steyer
averaged a strong 13.4% annual
return during his tenure, said
people familiar with Farallon.
People close to Mr. Steyer
said he had been increasingly
conflicted, wanting to invest in
a way that reflected his con-
cerns about climate change but
running a firm that invested ag-
nostically for clients. Mr. Steyer
had Farallon start a “green”
fund for his money that avoids
fossil-fuel investments.
His transition from donor
to full-fledged political bene-
factor had begun a few years
earlier, when San Francisco-
based Democratic operative
Chris Lehane asked him in
2007 to help kill a proposed
California ballot initiative to
apportion the state’s presi-
dential electors in a way that
would have benefited Republi-
can nominees.
Mr. Steyer spent $1 million
on that campaign, and two
years later $5 million to de-
feat a proposition that would
have overturned a California
law to reduce greenhouse-gas
emissions. He won those and
two later ballot-initiative bat-
tles, spending $50 million to-
tal.

Tom Steyer became a bil-
lionaire by managing a hedge
fund whose expansive portfolio
included investments in oil, gas
and coal companies. Then he
became one of the Democratic
Party’s most important donors,
pouring $350 million into
causes such as fighting climate
change.
Now, the 62-year-old who
built his fortune analyzing risk
and probability is mounting a
long-shot bid for president.
He plans to fund his White
House ambitions with $
million of his fortune, which
Forbes has estimated to be $1.
billion. The former Goldman
Sachs trader amassed his
wealth through Farallon Capi-
tal Management LLC, a hedge
fund he founded in 1986 and
ran for 27 years. That hasn’t
stopped him from decrying the
influence of big money in poli-
tics.
“I believe our democracy is
corrupted by corporate money,
and the only way to bring real
change is from the outside by
giving more power to the
American people,” Mr. Steyer
said in a statement. “That’s why
I’m running for President.”
Farallon started as a $9 mil-
lion risk arbitrage shop in San
Francisco, wagering on compa-
nies going through mergers
and takeovers. By 2007, it was
one of the biggest hedge funds
in the world, managing more
than $37 billion. Its portfolio
included billions in stocks and
debt, malls and housing devel-
opments in the U.S. and expo-
sure to other investment funds.
During Mr. Steyer’s tenure, it
also lent more than $1 billion
to coal-mining projects in Asia.
Those and other energy in-
vestments would bring nega-
tive media attention to Mr.
Steyer as he became a well-
known climate-change activist.
Several clients who are close
to Mr. Steyer said they didn’t
expect him to invest their
money according to his politics.
A former employee said Faral-
lon cast a wide net for profits
and “it would have to be pretty
exceptional in terms of its pejo-
rative impact for Farallon to
have avoided it.”
Farallon declined to com-
ment on that characterization.

BYJULIETCHUNG
ANDJULIEBYKOWICZ

Steyer Put Money Into Coal, Climate


Tom Steyer will fund his presidential run with his own fortune.

JOSH EDELSON/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

about $600,000 putting sev-
eral older children through
college and have no equity in
their home, which is valued at
about $1.2 million, according
to the property website Zillow.
She said she has little cash on
hand and little saved for her
daughter’s education.
Transferring her daughter’s
guardianship was largely a
matter of paperwork, the
mother said. Her business
partner attended a court hear-
ing with an attorney. She, her
husband and her daughter
didn’t even need to show up,
she said. Once the guardian-
ship was transferred, the teen
only had to claim the $4,
in income she earned through
her summer job, the mother
said.
Today, her daughter attends
a private college on the West
Coast which costs $65,000 in
annual tuition, she said. The
daughter received a $27,
merit scholarship and an addi-
tional $20,000 in need-based
aid, including a federal Pell
grant, which she won’t have to
pay back. The daughter is re-
sponsible for $18,000 a year,
which her grandparents pay,
the woman said.
The woman and another
Chicago-area parent who
spoke to the Journal said they
followed the strategy laid out
by a college consultant com-
pany called Destination Col-
lege, based in Lincolnshire, Ill.
The company says on its web-
site it has saved families as
much $40,000 a year a stu-
dent. The website doesn’t
specify how.
The owner of the company,
Lora Georgieva, didn’t respond
to requests for comment.
Other people who said they
are clients of the firm and
spoke to the Journal said they
were asked to sign a confiden-
tiality agreement to not dis-
close her strategy of transfer-
ring guardianship.

Continued from Page One

Guardian


Ploy Gets


School Aid


The University of Illinois learned that some students obtained aid through the guardianship move.

JEFFREY GREENBERG/UNIVERSAL IMAGES GROUP VIA GETTY
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