he last 10 places at this year’s
expanded African Nations Cup
will be decided over the weekend
of March 22-24, with South
Africa facing the prospect of
an embarrassing setback, while
tiny Burundi and Lesotho are both one result away
from first ever appearances at the finals.
South Africa, who won the title in 1996, are
unbeaten in their group and have only conceded
one goal in five qualifiers yet, bizarrely, they will miss
out if they lose away to Libya in their last game.
They began Group E with a victory in Nigeria and
looked set to go to the finals – even more so when it
was then announced that the Nations Cup field would
be expanded to 24 teams, with the first two in each of
the 12 four-team groups qualifying.
However, goalless draws at home to Libya and away
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to Seychelles have left them in a precarious position.
Nigeria have already secured top spot and Libya,
who trail South Africa by two points, will leapfrog
their opponents if they win in March.
Libya are still forced to play “home” matches
at neutral venues, usually in neighbouring Egypt
or Tunisia, because of the tenuous security situation
in their country and South Africa’s Stuart Baxter has
already promised to quit if his team fail to qualify. The
English-born coach has been treading on thin ice after
the 2018 World Cup qualifiers in which South Africa
contrived to throw away a position of strength, losing
home and away to Cape Verde – a country whose
entire population would comfortably fit into one of
Johannesburg’s suburbs.
Failure for South Africa would be made even more
embarrassing if there was a place in the finals for
Lesotho, the tiny mountain kingdom completely
surrounded by South Africa.
To get through, Lesotho must win away to Cape
Verde, but a draw will do if Tanzania fail to beat
Uganda, who are already through from Group L.
Burundi stand a much better chance. They need
only to draw their last Group C game, against Gabon,
whose talisman striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is
increasingly picking which games he will play in for the
national team and which
he will not. If there is any
arduous travel involved,
he is suddenly injured.
DR Congo should beat
Liberia at home in their
last game to go through
from Group G, along with
Zimbabwe who will
advance with a home
draw against Congo.
Cameroon should
get the point they
need at home against
Comoros to secure their
finals berth but their
continued participation
is the subject of a protest
from the tiny island
nation, who have taken
the issue to Court for Arbitration in Sport (CAS).
Comoros want Cameroon to be totally disqualified
from the 2019 tournament in the wake of their
being stripped of the hosting of the event, opening
a potential path for the small Indian Ocean island
to qualify for the finals for the first time.
Comoros want CAF to invoke article 92 of the
Nations Cup regulations which says that if a country
is stripped of the hosting of a finals it is disqualified,
as happened to Morocco when they were stripped
of the 2015 finals.
But with CAF seemingly ignoring the issue, Comoros
have sought relief from CAS in Switzerland
“I know that Cameroon is an important country
in African football, but the rules are the same for
everyone,” says Comoros Football Federation president
Said Athoumane. “If we start by favouring so-and-so on
the pretext that they are a big name in continental
football, this will not be fair.”
COULD STILL
QUALIFY
GROUP B
Cameroon,
Comoros
GROUP C
Burundi, Gabon
GROUP D
Benin, Gambia,
Togo
GROUP E
Libya, South
Africa
GROUP G
Congo,
DR Congo,
Liberia, Zimbabwe
GROUP I
Angola, Burkina
Faso
GROUP K
Guinea-Bissau,
Mozambique,
Namibia
GROUP L
Cape Verde
Islands, Lesotho,
Tanzania
ALREADY
QUALIFIED
GROUP A
Madagascar,
Senegal
GROUP B
Morocco
GROUP C
Mali
GROUP D
Algeria
GROUP E
Nigeria
GROUP F
Kenya, Ghana
GROUP H
Guinea, Ivory
Coast
GROUP I
Mauritania
GROUP J
Egypt, Tunisia
GROUP L
Uganda
Goalless...Libya’s
Muaid Ellafi stops
Sifiso Hlanti of
South Africa
Point needed...
Cameroon’s Eric
Maxim Choupo-
Moting (left)
Coach...Baxter
T
South Africa’s Stuart Baxter has already
promised to quit if his team fail to qualify