Speaking of Expert Intuition
“How much expertise does she have in this particular task? How
much practice has she had?”
“Does he really believe that the environment of start-ups is
sufficiently regular to justify an intuition that goes against the base
rates?”
“She is very confident in her decision, but subjective confidence
is a poor index of the accuracy of a judgment.”
“Did he really have an opportunity to learn? How quick and how
clear was the feedback he received on his judgments?”