Thinking, Fast and Slow

(Axel Boer) #1

Speaking of Expert Intuition


“How much expertise does she have in this particular task? How
much practice has she had?”


“Does he really believe that the environment of start-ups is
sufficiently regular to justify an intuition that goes against the base
rates?”


“She is very confident in her decision, but subjective confidence
is a poor index of the accuracy of a judgment.”


“Did he really have an opportunity to learn? How quick and how
clear was the feedback he received on his judgments?”

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