Forbes - USA (2020-03)

(Antfer) #1

41


MARCH 20 20 FORBES.COM


S


Sitt ing side-by-side in a


trendy Manhattan cafe where a glass of cold-pressed


pineapple-and-carrot juice costs $9, the 29-year-


old cofounders of cryptocurrency investment fi rm


Multi coin Capital are ticking off the digital coins


they’re shorting. They stand to make millions if the


virtual coins tank in value. “Two years from now,


zcash is worth zero,” says Kyle Samani of the three-


year-old privacy-focused cryptocurrency. Currently,


zcash trades for $66.


Research suggests that few of zcash’s users are


taking advantage of its core privacy features. Even


worse, other cryptocurrency platforms such as ethe-


reum are copying zcash’s privacy technology. A zcash


spokesperson counters, “If you want a private medi-


um of exchange, there is nothing else like it.”


Samani’s cofounder, Tushar Jain, is eager to fi nger


another popular cryptocurrency the duo thinks is


worthless. “We’ve been publicly short XRP,” he says,


referring to the coin used by San Francisco company


Ripple to speed up interbank transactions.


From offi ces overlooking Austin, Texas’ Lady Bird


Lake, they manage a $100 million crypto hedge fund


backed by venture capitalists including Marc An-


dreessen and Fred Wilson’s Union Square Ventures.


Multicoin concentrates its bets—both long and


short—in 11 publicly traded cryptocurrencies. It also


owns stakes in 20 private crypto startups.


In a market where disclosures are optional and


hype and momentum play an outsize role in pric-


ing, the pair uses a combination of data analysis and


crowdsourced research to inform trades. Above all,


Samani and Jain have thrived because they ques-


tion every tidbit of information they receive. “In the


crypto community, these things are religious in some


ways. They keep telling you, ‘Believe, believe, believe,’


forever,” Samani says. “We never take it for granted


that what’s being said is accurate.” This skeptical ap-


proach has been a big winner. According to those fa-


miliar with Multicoin’s results, its fund has returned


143% before fees over the last two years.


Jain was born in India and grew up in Astoria,


Queens. His parents run a clothing store on Man-


hattan’s Lower East Side. Samani grew up in a well-
to-do Austin neighborhood. The two met in 2008 at
NYU, where they studied fi nance and became best
friends despite vastly diff erent personalities. Wilson
says the hard-charging Samani “can be a little con-
troversial and aggressive.” Jain is reserved and quiet.
Upon graduating in 2012, both worked at Samani’s
father’s medical-records company but ultimately left
to form their own startups—Samani’s made apps for
the ill-fated Google Glass wearable-computer ven-
ture; Jain’s created a data business that helped doc-
tors fi nd patients for medical trials. But in mid-2016
the two immersed themselves in learning about
blockchain. They joined forces to launch Multicoin
in May 2017 as the buying frenzy began. Almost im-
mediately they raised $2.5 million from angel inves-
tors. Their portfolio, long on highfl iers like ether,
“0x” and factom, doubled by the end of 2017.
In addition to making noise on social media—Sa-
mani now has 36,000 Twitter followers—the pair be-
gan publishing long technical pieces, including one
detailing how cryptocurrencies designed solely to
pay for a specifi c product weren’t worth investing in.
“Sometimes we get responses from people that are
1,000-word essays,” Jain says, referring to the insider
feedback their posts elicit. “We have a full-time team
of 14, but it can feel like an investment team of 50.”
Multicoin’s blog posts also serve as advertise-
ments for new investors and for entrepreneurs seek-
ing funding. By July 2018, Multicoin had raised a
combined $70 million from David Sacks (a member
of the so-called “PayPal Mafi a”), Wilson and other in-
vestors. The year was a terrible one for cryptocurren-
cies, with bitcoin falling 74%. Multicoin’s losses were
limited to 33% because of successful shorts of lite-
coin, XRP and ethereum classic.
In April 2019, Multicoin made one of its boldest
bets: It wagered nearly 15% of its portfolio on Bi-
nance, one of the world’s largest crypto exchang-

CASHING IN ON CHAOS
For risk lovers willing to take a gambit on crypto,
here are Multicoin’s four best ideas.

How to Play It

BUY / CRYPTO- MARKET
AVOID CURRENCY CAP MULTICOIN’S VIEW

Buy Bitcoin (BTC) $169 billion In May a “halving” will slow new
bitcoin production signifi cantly.
Buy Binance coin (BNB) $3 billion Crypto exchange launches
innovative products faster
than its competitors.

Avoid XRP $10 billion This currency, designed for
interbank transfers, is too
volatile for banks to use.

Avoid Zcash (ZEC) $600 million Only 4% of zcash holders use its
core privacy features. Others are
copying its privacy tech.

SOURCE: MESSARI.IO FOR MARKET CAP.
Free download pdf