The Daily Telegraph - 24.07.2019

(Greg DeLong) #1
The Daily Telegraph Wednesday 24 July 2019 *** 5

in crucial first 100 days of power


tially said Mr Johnson was going to lead
the “United Kingston” before correct-
ing her tweet.
Mr Johnson indicated to The Daily
Telegraph this month that talking to
the EU about a trade deal was a higher
priority than US trade talks, and aides
are in discussions about inviting Jean-
Claude Juncker, the outgoing EU Com-
mission president, to Chequers,
possibly this weekend.
One insider stressed that Mr John-
son did not plan to travel to Brussels
himself. “He is not going to go cap-in-
hand with his begging bowl around
Europe like Theresa May did,” said the
well-placed source. Instead, Mr John-
son’s most trusted advisers are urging
him to schedule a meeting with Mr
Trump within the next four weeks.
Another source added: “He is all but
certain to go there because he needs to
meet Trump. Washington is shut down

during August so the chances are a
meeting would be in Florida. But he
needs to see Trump wherever he is,
and he should spend at least a day with
him, wherever he is.”
Mr Johnson will need to appoint a
new ambassador to Washington fol-
lowing the resignation of Sir Kim, who
was described as “wacky” and “pomp-
ous” by Mr Trump after the leak of dip-
lomatic cables in which the ambassador
had dismissed the Trump administra-
tion as “inept”.
Mr Johnson has been admired by Mr
Trump and his team since he was for-
eign secretary. He met Mr Trump’s
son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and strate-
gist, Steve Bannon, in 2017 before Mr
Trump was sworn in, then had his first
public meeting with Mr Trump at the
United Nations that September.
In the immediate term, Mr Johnson
will focus his efforts on home soil with

Meet the
Johnsons
It was a family
affair at the
announcement
of Boris Johnson’s
election victory
at the Queen
Elizabeth II
Conference Centre
yesterday. Father
Stanley was taking
pictures, while also
looking on were
the new
Conservative
leader’s sister
Rachel, a television
presenter and
author, and brother
Jo, the MP for
Orpington

Sceptical Europe


gives lukewarm


welcome to new


prime minister


By Peter Foster and James Rothwell

EUROPE welcomed Boris Johnson as
Britain’s next prime minister yesterday
with a thinly veiled reminder that it has
no plans to renegotiate Theresa May’s
divorce package.
Within seconds of the result being
announced, Michel Barnier, the EU’s
chief Brexit negotiator, said he would
work “constructively” with Mr John-
son to “facilitate the ratification of the
Withdrawal Agreement”.
There was no mention of any alter-
natives to that agreement despite Mr
Johnson’s repeated warnings that the
Withdrawal Agreement was “dead” af-
ter being rejected three times by Par-
liament.
Mr Barnier, who negotiated the deal
based on orders from the other 27 EU
countries, repeated that Europe was
willing only to “rework” the Political
Declaration on the future relationship
with Europe.
EU diplomatic sources said that Eu-
rope would not give up on the Irish
backstop until the UK could explain
how it would maintain an “invisible”
border in Northern Ireland while leav-
ing the single market and customs un-
ion as Mr Johnson has promised.
A senior source close to the EU nego-
tiations said that Europe would “wait
and see” how Mr Johnson pitched his
negotiation once installed in No 10, but
added that hard talk of “no deal” and
“binning the backstop” would result in
the EU disengaging quickly.
Frans Timmermans, the liberal
Dutch EU commissioner, noted that Mr
Johnson had not always been a hard-
bitten anti-European, alluding to hopes
in the bloc that he will be more emol-
lient in office than on the stump.
Across the Atlantic, Donald Trump,
the US president, tweeted his congrat-
ulations to Mr Johnson, adding: “He
will be great!” It is not yet clear how
quickly Mr Johnson will travel to
Washington, or whether he will meet
Mr Trump before senior EU leaders.
Elsewhere across Europe the buzz-
word used in unison by Mr Barnier,
Emmanuel Macron, the French presi-
dent, and the Irish deputy prime minis-
ter Simon Coveney was “constructive”


  • but with little hint of any concessions
    to come.
    “We will work constructively with
    Mr Johnson and his government to


maintain and strengthen British-Irish
relations through the challenges of
Brexit,” Mr Coveney wrote on Twitter.
In a crumb of possible comfort to Mr
Johnson, Mr Macron noted that he
looked forward to working with the UK
on the Iran oil tanker stand-off.
“I want very much to work with him
as quickly as possible and not just on
European subjects and the continua-
tion of negotiations linked to Brexit,
but also on international issues ... like
the situation in Iran,” he said.
Ursula von der Leyen, the former
German defence minister who will be-
come the next president of the Euro-
pean Commission on Nov 1, said she
was looking forward to a good working
relationship to tackle many “difficult”
and “challenging” issues.
There was a hint of steel from Guy
Verhofstadt, the European parliament’s
Brexit coordinator, who has cam-
paigned to protect the rights of the
3.2 million EU citizens who will remain
in the UK after Brexit. In a sign of his

continued determination to stand firm
on the issue, Mr Verhofstadt said he
was “looking forward to defending the
interests of all Europeans” and that his
committee would meet today to dis-
cuss Mr Johnson’s appointment.
Mr Johnson has already hinted
strongly that he intends to guarantee
unilaterally to grandfather the rights of
EU citizens as set out in the Withdrawal
Agreement by writing them into UK
law.
Further away from the coalface of
the negotiations, the language directed
at Mr Johnson was coarser.
Franziska Brantner, the spokesman
for the German Greens, said Tory party
members had “crowned a notorious
liar and gambler” as the next prime
minister.
The negative sentiments were fol-
lowed by Vytenis Andriukaitis, Lithua-
nia’s EU commissioner, who accused
Mr Johnson and his supporters of un-
dermining democracy via “cheap
promises, simplified visions [and] bla-
tantly evident incorrect statements”.

Either Boris delivers Brexit to the country by


Hallowe’en – or he will be gone by Christmas


A


ll political careers end in failure,
but few reach their pinnacle so
close to the edge. Boris Johnson
has long fantasised about a euphoric
landslide sweeping him into Downing
Street, but yesterday 92,000 Tory
members crowned him leader of a
sinking minority government instead.
Still, Boris will be optimistic
because that is who he is. His victory
speech yesterday afternoon to a visibly
tetchy audience of Tory MPs fizzed
with energy and “can-do”
determination, as he vowed to release
the country’s “guy ropes of self-
doubt”. But the big political question
now is whether Boris’s optimism will
bring about Brexit or the swiftest
downfall this country has ever seen.
There is no doubt that, after three
years of being force-fed Theresa May’s
mushy-middle gruel, the mouths of
the malnourished Tory grassroots are
finally starting to water in excited
anticipation again. Boris intends to cut
income tax and slash stamp duty, in a
bid to put rockets under the economy.
His refusal to take no deal off the table

and stubborn insistence that
technology can solve the Irish border
problem may yet force Brussels to
blink. A political comeback for Tory
grandees like David Davis and Iain
Duncan Smith may also be imminent.
But there will be no mercy if he fails
to deliver on Brexit. Unlike Theresa
May, who was granted the luxury of
death by a thousand cuts, Boris
Johnson will be swallowed by a
political earthquake within weeks
rather than months. If we do not say
au revoir to Brussels at the end of
October, Conservatives will desert en
masse on Nov 1. Within weeks, the
steady drip of MP defections to the
Brexit Party will start, as politicians
scramble to save their seats. This will,
in turn, bring about the collapse of a
government which now has a majority
of just a couple of seats.
The big danger is that the self-
assured Boris is in denial about this.
He would do well to realise that while
brazen optimism is an asset when
you’re moving mountains, it is an
Achilles’ heel when you are trying to
cover your filthy tracks. The worst
liars are ambitious liars, because they
think they can get away with almost
comically elaborate deceits. Such as
the idea that Brexit is a tweaked
version of Theresa May’s deal. If Boris

does calculate that he could convince
Brexiteer MPs and Leave voters to get
behind a form of the Withdrawal
Agreement, then he is suffering from
delusions of grandeur about his
support. Remainers taunt Leavers for
putting their trust in a “buffoon”’ and
a “charlatan”. In fact, Brexit supporters
are far more circumspect.
They accept that they do not know
whether the country will get Boris the

Churchillian statesman who is willing
to take Britain out of the EU with no
deal; or Boris the slimy Blairite who
will try and slip the people an
exfoliated version of Mrs May’s deal.
But after three years of appalling
Tory failure, they have little choice but
to take a leap of faith born out of
desperation. Boris may be slippery,
but the grassroots has prudently
concluded that as someone who
campaigned to Leave and understands
the importance of keeping no deal on
the cards, he is their best bet. The
relationship is therefore contractual

rather than emotional – conditional on
Britain leaving the EU on Oct 31.
It is a myth that great leaders are
feverish optimists. They are stone-cold
pessimists too. They are willing to
stare into the black abyss of potential
political failure and accept the full
horrors of what it could unleash. This
is what Mr Johnson now must do.
Whether he realises this remains a
mystery. Attending Tory hustings over
the course of this month, did Boris
have the humility to notice that people
were applauding him with one foot out
of the door? Does he truly grasp the
seismometer-smashing magnitude of
the failure if he misses the Oct 31
deadline? Has it truly hit home that he
already has no lifelines left? Only time
will tell, but we won’t have to wait
too long; either Boris delivers
Brexit by Hallowe’en, or he will be
gone by Christmas.
As the grey grit of the Theresa May
era melted away yesterday, in the
bright but torrid July warmth, cynics
like me could not help but detect more
than a hint of pathetic fallacy. Will
Boris’s sunlit optimism save the day?
Or has a Great Britain in limbo now
entered the seventh fiery circle of
Dante’s “Brexit Betrayal” Inferno,
which ominously precedes the final
two phases: Treachery and Fraud.

‘He’s not
going to go

cap in hand
with his
begging bowl

around
Europe like

Theresa
May did’

‘He needs to
see Trump

wherever he
is, and he
should spend

at least a day
with him,

wherever
he is’

a tour to all four corners of the UK. A
speech is planned for Friday or Satur-
day, most likely in the north, before Mr
Johnson travels to Scotland, Wales and
Northern Ireland in an effort to sell his
vision for delivering Brexit and uniting
the country. It is still to be decided
whether he will address the House of
Commons before MPs break up for the
summer recess tomorrow.
With all of his key aides already in
position, spearheaded by Sir Eddie Lis-
ter as chief of staff, long-term adviser
Ben Gascoigne as deputy, Lee Cain as
communications secretary and Munira
Mirza tipped as policy chief, Mr John-
son now needs to finalise his Cabinet.
A split has emerged among Brexiteer
Boris backers between those who
agree with the Attorney General, Geof-
frey Cox, that an amended Withdrawal
Agreement can still get through parlia-
ment, and those who are more aligned

with Iain Duncan Smith’s view that Mrs
May’s Brexit deal is dead and a “man-
aged no deal” is the only viable option
out of the EU. If he cannot negotiate the
Brexit deal, it is uncertain whether Mr
Johnson will attempt to pass some of
the uncontroversial parts of the With-
drawal Agreement or pass an emer-
gency Budget before the Brexit
deadline to prepare for no deal instead.
Whatever happens, Mr Johnson will
launch a nationwide PR campaign to
get the country and its businesses to
prepare for no deal.
Another obstacle in Mr Johnson’s
first 100 days in office will be the no-
confidence motion set to be tabled
when MPs return in September. Yester-
day, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said
the motion would be tabled “at a time
of [their] choosing”, adding “it will be
an interesting surprise for all of you”.
With ministers David Gauke, Rory

Stewart and Anne Milton all having
tendered their  resignations amid sug-
gestions Tory Remainers may support
a no-confidence motion to stop the
Government taking Britain out of the
EU without a deal, Mr Johnson will
have his work cut out trying to keep
backbenchers under control.
The Tories’ majority of three ap-
peared in jeopardy on Monday after
Dover MP Charlie Elphicke was charged
with sexual assault – and it may dwindle
further if they lose the Brecon and Rad-
norshire by-election next Thursday. It
was called after sitting Tory MP Chris
Davies was found guilty of submitting
false expenses claims.
Could a snap general election be on
the cards? Only if MPs thwart Mr John-
son’s plans to leave without a deal, giv-
ing him no other option than to try to
shore up the Tory majority to deliver
Brexit once and for all.

‘I very much want to work


with Mr Johnson as quickly
as possible on European
and international issues’

Fight for our union,


urges DUP’s Foster


By Harry Yorke
POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT

ARLENE FOSTER, the Democratic Un-
ionist Party leader, urged Boris John-
son yesterday to defend the Union,
confirming that the Northern Irish
party’s confidence and supply deal
with the Tories would continue under
his leadership.
Having tweeted a photograph of her
watching the Conservative leadership
announcement live at her office in En-
niskillen, Mrs Foster described it as a
“historic day” before revealing that the
pair had spoken and confirmed that the
deal between the two parties would
continue.
“We discussed our shared objectives
of strengthening every part of the Un-
ion, ensuring the 2016 referendum re-
sult is implemented and seeing
devolution restored in Northern Ire-
land,” she said. “The confidence and
supply agreement between the Con-
servative Party and the Democratic Un-
ionist Party (DUP) remains. That
agreement included a review between
each parliamentary session.
“This will take place over the coming
weeks and will explore the policy pri-
orities of both parties for the next par-
liamentary session.” Confirming
speculation that Mr Johnson will soon

embark on a tour of all four corners of
the UK, she added: “I also look forward
to welcoming Mr Johnson back to
Northern Ireland shortly after (he) be-
comes Prime Minister.”
Nigel Dodds, the deputy DUP leader,
said it was a “totally emphatic victory”
for Mr Johnson, saying it gave him “a
very, very strong hand within his own
party to say to those naysayers and peo-
ple who may be out to thwart the refer-
endum result that they’ve got to get
this done now and move on and govern
in the interest of all of the people of the
country”.
He said Brexit “needs to be deliv-
ered”, adding: “We want to get a deal.
Our objective is not a no deal. We un-
derstand the need to keep a no deal on
the table. We want to get a deal.”
However, Robin Swann, the Ulster
Unionist Party leader, warned that the
job of prime minister comes with
“enormous responsibilities”, while
Colum Eastwood, the SDLP leader, de-
scribed Mr Johnson’s victory over Jer-
emy Hunt as a “worrying step toward a
hard no-deal Brexit and a hard border
in Ireland”. He suggested Mr Johnson
had “coasted into Downing Street on a
wave of Brexit bluff and bluster”.
Naomi Long, the Alliance leader, said
the UK needed a “statesman, not a
showman”.

Sherelle Jacobsbs


‘Boris may be slippery, but
the Conservative grassroots

has prudently concluded
that he is their best bet’

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