Time International - 16.03.2020

(avery) #1

18 Time March 16–23, 2020


As I stumbled out of the burning build-
ing onto the grassy field below, the irony of
the moment struck me: here I was, in the saf-
est building on earth, guarded by the stron-
gest military in history, in the capital of the
richest country in the world. If the Pentagon
wasn’t safe, what was?
We all knew everything would change,
especially for those of us in the U.S. military.
I was wrenched out of my comfortable assign-
ment as a strategic budget officer and selected
to lead “Deep Blue,” a hastily created think
tank charged with charting a new course for
the Navy in what would become known as the
war on terror. We didn’t really know what that
meant, nor did we appreciate all that would
unfold in so many places around the world,
and how many would die as a result of our re-
taliation. But we did know that the plot that
killed 3,000 Americans had begun in Afghan-
istan, and very
quickly the focus
of the U.S. mili-
tary became going
there, finding
al-Qaeda and de-
stroying them. The
Taliban—who had
harbored them—
were at the time a
small obstacle that
we quickly over-
came. As tens of
thousands of U.S.
troops deployed
to a strange, fore-
boding nation whose geography seemed to
resemble the surface of the moon, we could
never have predicted we were embarking on
the longest war in U.S. history.
Over nearly two decades, hundreds of
thousands of U.S. troops rotated through Af-
ghanistan, generally on one-year assignments.
At the conflict’s peak in 2013, over 150,
U.S. and allied troops from over 50 nations
were deployed there. Many became casualties,
including nearly 2,500 killed and over 20,
wounded. During my four years commanding
the NATO mission Enduring Freedom there,
I wrote 1,700 letters of condolence to griev-
ing families, about a third of them Europeans.
It was a hard time for the U.S. military, which
was caught in a classic counterinsurgency bat-
tle against an implacable and determined foe.
Progress was hard to define, and the frequent
changes of command at every level in the
country hampered our efforts. We suffered
from Taliban safe havens across the border


in Pakistan, difficult supply chains and a ten-
dency to emphasize positive developments
while understating the challenges.

Despite the frustration and the casu-
alties, we were able in time to turn the fight
over to the marginally capable Afghan secu-
rity forces and to withdraw the vast majority
of our troops. We have brought home 90% of
our troops, with only 13,000 or so still there.
Hopefully the peace agreement will be suc-
cessfully concluded and will hold thanks to
Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad’s tireless ef-
forts. The tenuous next steps will be nego-
tiations between the Afghan government of
Ashraf Ghani and the Taliban. The objective
from the U.S. perspective will be to bring
home more of our troops, although ideally we
would retain a cadre of around 5,000 Special
Forces and trainers to help preserve the gains
in democracy,
human rights and
gender equality
that have been so
painfully achieved.
We’ve seen
this movie before,
of course—in
Vietnam. There
it ended terribly,
with all our forces
withdrawn,
funding cut to the
Vietnamese army
and helicopters
lifting off the
rooftop of the U.S. embassy in Saigon. Many
of our local allies of decades were tortured
and killed in “re-education” camps. It doesn’t
have to end that way again, but success will
require a modicum of funding for the Afghan
security forces; maintaining a “conditions-
based” approach before withdrawing more
troops; real dialogue between the Afghan
government and the Taliban; continuing
rights for women; and engaging our allies
in keeping up support for the Afghans.
It will be hard to make this peace. I’d esti-
mate the chances of a successful outcome—
defined as the Taliban actually accepting
a long- lasting peace—at roughly 50-50. But
we need to recognize that there is no military
solution here. We have spent much blood
and treasure on this honorable cause, and it
would be foolish to throw it away.

Stavridis was the 16th Supreme Allied
Commander of NATO

Afghanistan’s President Ashraf Ghani, right, with NATO
Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg on Feb. 29

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▶ Highlights
from stories on
time.com/ideas

Fighting
for choice

Stephanie Toti, who
argued the last
abortion case before
the Supreme Court,
says the one now
before the court is
identical. The law at
issue is “an arbitrary
exercise of state
power that serves no
purpose other than
to restrict the pool
of doctors who are
lawfully able to provide
abortion care in
Louisiana,” she writes.

Wake-up call

The recent massacre
in Hanau, Germany,
should force the
country to confront its
far-right extremists,
writes Can Dundar,
former editor in chief of
the Turkish newspaper
Cumhuriyet. But “it’s
hard to see much
evidence of Germany
waking up to the
deeper threat of white
supremacism and
racist violence.”

Finding the
right language

Kate Harding has been
told she should call
herself a survivor of
sexual assault, not
a victim, she writes
in an essay for the
new collection Pretty
Bitches. “Is it my story
to tell or not? Is this a
thing that happened
to me, or a thing that
happens to 1 in 6
American women?”
she asks.

WAKIL KOHSAR—AFP/GETTY IMAGES
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