232
at the National Radio Astronomy
Observatory in Green Bank, West
Virginia, set out to look for them.
Drake founded Project Ozma,
named for the queen of author
L. Frank Baum’s imaginary Land
of Oz—a place “difficult to reach
and populated by exotic beings.”
After a briefly exciting and noisy
encounter with some top-secret
military radio-jamming equipment,
Drake and his team were met with
silence. More than 50 years later,
the silence has not yet been broken.
Order of the Dolphin
Drake drew together a diverse group
of scientists to lay the foundations
and protocols for the search for
extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI).
The group jokingly called itself the
Order of the Dolphin, in reference
to the work of neuroscientist John
Lilly, who pioneered the science of
speaking to dolphins. As one of the
few people dealing with interspecies
communication, Lilly was an
important part of the group, which
also included a young astronomer
Carl Sagan, who was an expert
on planetary atmospheres.
In preparation for the Order’s
first meeting in 1961, Drake came
up with a formula for the number
of alien civilizations in the galaxy:
N = R* × fp × ne × fl × fi × fc × L
The total (N) was reached by
multiplying the factors necessary
for intelligent extraterrestrials
to evolve and be discovered. It
depends on the rate at which stars
suitable for intelligent life form (R*);
the fraction of these stars that are
orbited by planets (fp); the number
of planets in any given planetary
system that can support life (ne);
the fraction of these planets upon
which life actually appears (fl); the
proportion of life-bearing planets
that go on to produce intelligent life
(fi); the proportion of civilizations
that develop technology that betrays
LIFE ON OTHER PLANETS
detectable signs of their existence
(fc); and, finally, the length of time
such civilizations survive (L).
With these terms in place,
bounding limits could theoretically
be placed on each one. In 1961,
however, not a single one was known
with any confidence. Delegates
at the meeting concluded that N
was approximately equal to L,
and a potential 1,000 to 100 million
civilizations might exist in the
galaxy. Although values for some of
the variables in the Drake equation
have been narrowed down over the
intervening years, modern estimates
of N still vary wildly. Some scientists
argue that the figure may be zero.
Message in a bottle
In 1966, Sagan cowrote Intelligent
Life in the Universe, perhaps the
first comprehensive discussion of
planetary science and exobiology.
The book was an expanded and
revised version of an earlier edition,
published in 1962 by the Soviet
astronomer and astrophysicist
Iosif Shklovsky. Although highly
speculative, the book ignited
discussion among scientists. It
inspired NASA’s Project Cyclops
report, an influential document
now referred to as the “SETI Bible.”
The search for extraterrestrial
life is one of those few
circumstances where both
a success and a failure would
be a success by all standards.
Carl Sagan
The Pioneer plaque
contains information
about the location
of Earth within
the Milky Way.
Hydrogen atom
Position of
sun in galaxy
Pulsar
locations
Sun
Earth
Pioneer craft Galactic
center