Introduction to Corporate Finance

(Tina Meador) #1
PART 1: INTRODUCTION

3-6e FINDING THE PRESENT VALUE OF A GROWING PERPETUITY


By definition, perpetuities pay a constant periodic amount forever. However, few aspects of modern life
are constant, and most of the cash flows we care about have a tendency to grow over time. This is true
for items of income such as wages and salaries, many dividend payments from corporations, and pension
payments from the Australian government.^9 Inflation is only one factor that drives increasing cash flows.
Because of this tendency for cash flows to grow over time, we must determine how to adjust the present
value of a perpetuity formula to account for expected growth in future cash flows.
Suppose we want to calculate the present value (PV) of a stream of cash flows growing forever
(n = ∞) at rate g. Given a discount rate of r, the present value of the growing perpetuity is given by the
following equation, which is sometimes called the Gordon growth model:^10

Eq. 3.11 PV


CF
rg

=>^1 rg

Note that the numerator in Equation 3.11 is CF 1 , the first year’s cash flow that occurs exactly one
year from today. This cash flow is expected to grow at a constant annual rate (g) from now to the end of
time. We can determine the cash flow for any specific future year (t) by applying the growth rate (g) as
follows:

CFt = CF^1 × (1 + g)t – 1


9 Unfortunately, this is also true for expense items such as rent and utility expenses, car prices and tuition payments.
10 For this formula to work, the discount rate must be greater than the growth rate. When cash flows grow at a rate equal to or greater than the
discount rate, the present value of the stream is infinite.

Imagine that two years and 364 days have gone by,
and Big Mining Pty Ltd has announced that it will pay
the one-time $12 dividend tomorrow. After that, the
company expects the annual $4 preferred dividends
to resume. What is the present value now of the
expected dividend stream?
As before, we can break the dividend stream into
two parts. First, there is the $12 dividend, which will
be paid immediately. Clearly, its present value is $12.
Second, there is the perpetual $4 dividend stream
that starts in one year. From Equation 3.10, we know
that the value of this perpetuity is $50 ($4 ÷ 0.08).
Just add these two components together to find the
value of BM’s shares today:

Value of each preferred share = $12 + $50 = $62

Now consider the position of a BM preferred
shareholder who purchased the shares three
years ago, when the company suspended its
dividends. In the previous example we determined
that the value of BM preferred share at that time

was $49.22, and we have just discovered that its
value today is $62. What rate of return did the
investor earn over this period? Again, we can apply
Equation 3.1:

FV PV r
r

=+n
=+

()


$$.()


1


62 49221 3


We solved a problem like this in section 3-4. To
find the answer, you can use Excel’s ‘rate’ function,
use a financial calculator, or solve algebraically as
follows:

r=









−= =


$


$.


.%


62


4922


1008 8


1
3

An investor who purchased BM shares for $49.22
three years ago and held them until they recently
reached $62 would have earned 8% per year, exactly
the required return. The return comes entirely
from price appreciation in the shares, because no
dividends were paid during this period.

example

growing perpetuity
A cash flow stream that grows
each period at a constant rate
and continues forever
Gordon growth model
The valuation model that
views cash flows as a growing
perpetuity

Some companies (such as


IBM) have issued bonds that


are perpetuities. What sort


of information do you think


the companies have to tell


investors in the market about the


perpetuities to convince them to


buy them?


thinking cap
question

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