Introduction to Corporate Finance

(Tina Meador) #1
5: Valuing Shares

course, no two companies are exactly alike, but an analyst using this approach attempts to gather a large


number of companies that are as much alike as possible.


Second, for each company in the sample, divide the company’s value (either its total value or its


value per share) by some measure of operating performance to get a ‘pricing multiple’. For example,


one common multiple is the price/earnings (P/E) ratio introduced in Chapter 2, where value per share


is divided by the performance metric earnings per share. Other multiples frequently used by analysts


include the ratio of the market value of a company’s equity to its book value (the price-to-book ratio), and


the ratio of company value (Vcompany) to earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation and amortisation


(EBITDA).


Third, take the average or median pricing multiple from your sample of comparable companies, and


multiply that by the operating variable (such as earnings) for the company you want to value.


The intuition for this approach is relatively straightforward. Simply stated, the multiples method


says that similar companies should sell at similar prices relative to their operating results, where


operating results are often measured by sales revenue, earnings or cash flows. For example, consider


two companies, which we will call Twilight and Potter. Both of these companies operate in the


book publishing business, so their operating risks should be similar, which means that investors


should expect about the same return from each company (we’ll assume the required return is 10%).


Likewise, let’s assume that both companies have been growing at a steady 5% per year in the recent


past. For simplicity, we will also assume that neither company has any debt financing or preferred


shares.


One big difference between the two companies is that Potter generates substantially more free


cash flow than Twilight. In fact, investors believe that next year, Potter will generate $2.0 billion in


free cash flow, and Twilight will deliver $1.0 billion. Let’s value each company by discounting its free


cash flows.


Robert Shiller, Yale
University, Nobel Prize
winner in Economic
Sciences.
‘When the P/E ratio
is high, it’s typically
justified by an argument
that earnings will go up
in the future.’
See the entire interview on
the CourseMate website.

CoURSEMAtE
SMARt VIdEo

HOW INVESTMENT BANKERS VALUE COMPANIES


When one company attempts to acquire another,
both the bidder and the target company may hire
an investment banker to provide fairness opinions,
written reports that provide the banker’s expert
opinion regarding the fairness of the price offered
by the bidder. Matt Cain and David Denis have
investigated which methods bankers use in their
fairness opinions to value target companies. As
the authors show, bankers almost always perform
a discounted cash flow valuation as part of their
analysis; but they sometimes use other methods.

In a slight majority of acquisitions, bankers value
the target company by using comparisons to
public-company multiples such as P/E ratios.
Public-company multiples are an example of
valuation using the market multiples of comparable
companies, which we discussed in Section 5-4b.
Bankers also use transaction multiples (price paid
relative to target earnings in recent acquisitions)
and transaction premia (what bidders have paid for
targets, above and beyond their market values, in
recent deals) when advising their clients.

finance in practice

Source: Matt Cain and David Denis, ‘Information Production by Investment Banks: Evidence from Fairness Opinions Working paper’, May 2012.

Why might an investor want to
use more than one method for
valuing a target company in a
takeover bid?

thinking cap
question
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