Introduction to Corporate Finance

(Tina Meador) #1
ParT 2: ValuaTION, rISk aNd reTurN

example

We begin this problem with the same set of
assumptions from the last problem. Financial
Engineers shares each sell for $55, and may increase
to $70 or decrease to $40 in one year. The risk-free
rate equals 4%. We want to use the binomial model
to calculate the value of a one-year put option
with a strike price of $55. We begin by finding the
composition of a perfectly hedged portfolio. As
before, let’s write down the payoffs of a portfolio that
contains one share of share and h put options.

Cash flows one year from today
If the share price
goes up to $70

If the share price
drops to $40
One share is worth $70 $40
h options are worth $0h $15h
Total portfolio is worth $70 + $0h $40 + $15h

Notice that the put option pays $15 when the
share price drops, and pays nothing when the share
price rises. Set the payoffs in each scenario equal to
each other and solve for h:
70 + 0h = 40+15h
h = 2

To create a perfectly hedged portfolio, we must
buy one share and two put options. Observe that in
this problem we are buying options, not selling them.
Put values increase when share values decrease, so
it is possible to form a risk-free portfolio containing
long positions in both shares and puts, because they
move in opposite directions. By plugging the value of
h = 2 back into the equation, we see that an investor
who buys one share and two put options essentially
creates a synthetic bond with a face value of $70:

70 + 0(2) = 40 + 15(2)
70 = 70
Given a risk-free rate of 4%, the present value
today of $70 is $67.31. It would cost $67.31 to buy a
one-year, risk-free bond paying $70, so it must also
cost $67.31 to buy the synthetic version of that bond,
consisting of one share and two puts. Given that the
current share price is $55, and letting P denote the
price of the put, we find that the put option is worth
$6.16 (rounding to the nearest cent):
Cost of one share + 2 puts = $67.31 = $55 + 2P
$12.31 = 2P
$6.16 = P

What factors influence the prices


of call and put options?


thinking cap
question


Take a moment to look over the last two examples of pricing options that use the binomial approach.
Make a list of the data needed to price these options:

■ the current price of the underlying shares.


■ the amount of time remaining before the option expires.


■ the strike price of the option.


■ the risk-free rate.


■ the possible values that the underlying shares could take in the future.


On this list, the only unknown is the fifth item. You can easily find the other four necessary values by
looking at current market data.
At this point, we want to pause and ask one of our all-time favourite exam questions. Look back at
Figure 8.7. What assumption are we making about the probability of an up-and-down move in Financial
Engineers’ shares? Most people see that the figure shows two possible outcomes and guess that the
probabilities must be 50–50. That is not true. At no point in our discussion of the binomial model did we
make any assumption about the probabilities of up-and-down movements in the shares. We don’t have
to know what those probabilities are to value the option, which is convenient, because estimating them
could be very difficult.
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