16: Financial Planning
detrimental to shareholders. For now, we put aside the question of whether growth is desirable. Assuming
that companies seek growth, they can focus on one or a number of measures of growth.
Popular Measures of Growth
Three of the most popular measures of growth are the accounting return on investment (ROI), economic
value added (EVA) and growth in sales or assets. All of these methods rely on accounting data, and are
typically measured on an annual basis. We next describe ROI and EVA more fully.
Return on Investment
The accounting return on investment (ROI) is the company’s earnings available for ordinary shareholders
divided by its total assets. (In Chapter 2 we referred to this measure by its alternative name, return on
total assets or ROA.) Return on investment measures the company’s overall effectiveness in using its
assets to generate returns to ordinary shareholders.
Companies that use this metric as a measure of growth attempt to maintain ROI above some minimum
hurdle rate and often raise this standard over time. These companies frequently set hurdle rates for
minimum ROI based on the company’s cost of capital. They assume that if the ROI is greater than the
cost of capital (plus perhaps a fudge factor), then shareholder value will be created. The problem with
this approach is that it compares the accounting-based ROI to an economic-based measure of the return
demanded by suppliers of capital. Although use of this method has practical appeal, its theoretical roots
are shallow at best.
Economic Value Added (EVA)
As noted in Chapter 9, economic value added (EVA) is the difference between net operating profits after
taxes (NOPAT) and the cost of funds; when applied correctly, EVA prompts managers to make the same
investment decisions that the NPV method directs them to do. The cost of funds is found by multiplying
the company’s cost of capital by its investment. Analysts can apply EVA to individual investments or to the
entire company, but its use in financial planning tends to focus on the entire company or on entire divisions.
Companies that employ EVA in the planning process typically build the EVA model into their
spreadsheets and evaluate various scenarios by calculating the EVAs of the scenarios. By comparing all
positive EVAs, the company can implement the set of plans with the highest EVA, which should create the
most value for shareholders. Although widely examined in the financial literature,^3 EVA’s degree of positive
correlation with actual share valuations remains unclear. It is sometimes difficult to implement, because it
requires accrual-based accounting inputs (NOPAT and investment). This disconnection between theory and
practice, coupled with its complex computations, tends to result in greater planning focus on growth rates.
Defining Growth
Companies frequently set planning goals in terms of target growth rates, typically annual growth in sales
or assets. For the moment, we set aside the question of whether growth creates or destroys shareholder
value. Instead we focus on measuring target growth rates in light of their intuitive, computational and
3 For some critical analyses of EVA, see Ray D Dillon and James E Owers, ‘EVA as a Financial Metric: Attributes, Utilization, and Relationship
to NPV’, Financial Practice and Education (Spring/Summer 1997), pp. 32–40; John D. Martin, J. William Petty and Steven P. Rich, ‘A Survey of
EVA and Other Residual Income Models of Firm Performance’, Journal of Finance Literature (Winter 2005), pp. 1–20; and John M Griffith, ‘The
True Value of EVA’, Journal of Applied Finance (Fall/Winter 2004), pp. 25–9.
return on investment
(ROI)
A measure of a company’s
overall effectiveness in using
its assets to generate returns
to ordinary shareholders; also,
return on total assets (ROA)
economic value added
(EVA)
A measure of the value
created by an investment, a
division or an entire company,
calculated as the difference
between net operating profits
after taxes and the cost of
funds
What metrics do companies use
as growth targets, and what
role, if any, does economic
value added (EVA) play in
planning processes?
thinking cap
question