Introduction to Corporate Finance

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INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT


DECISIONS


17-1 Exchange rate fundamentals


17-2 Long-term investment decisions


WHICH YUAN IS GOOD FOR BUSINESS?


For many years, China controlled the value of its
currency, the yuan, by imposing strict controls on
how the yuan could be traded. On 19 June 2010,
the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced that
it would relax some of these controls to allow more
movement in the value of the yuan against foreign
currencies. As a result, the yuan rose against the
US dollar throughout the second half of 2010. On
average, in June of that year, one yuan was worth
about US$0.1464; but by the end of the year, the
yuan’s average monthly value had appreciated to
US$0.1501, a gain of roughly 2.5%.
Other signs that China was loosening its
grip on the yuan gradually emerged. Later in
2010, McDonald’s became the first non-financial
international corporation to sell bonds denominated
in yuan, and in January 2011, the Bank of China
opened trading in yuan to US customers through its
branches in New York and Los Angeles.

Is a rising yuan good for business? Increases
in the yuan’s value would make goods imported
from China more expensive, but would also make
US exports more attractive to Chinese consumers.
Fluctuations in the yuan could also create risk for
companies doing business in China.
In contrast, over the same time period, the
yuan depreciated against the Australian dollar,
falling from an average value of Australian $0.1716
in June 2010 to Australian $0.1514 in December
2010 – a fall of roughly 11.8%. Thus, Australian
exports became more expensive to Chinese
consumers, while Chinese imports became more
attractive to Australian consumers over this time
frame.
Sources: http://www.efinancialnews.com/story/2011-01-12/yuan-trading-us;
http://www. businessweek.com/news/2010-09-06/d06/d06/d06/deripaska-
follows-mcdonald-s-to-yuanbond-market-russia-credit.html; http://www.oanda.
com/currency/historical-rates.




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