Introduction to Corporate Finance

(Tina Meador) #1
17: International Investment Decisions

sell their home currencies and buy dollars. Buying pressure from investors causes the dollar to appreciate


against foreign currencies. In general, the pressures exerted on currencies by investors are much


larger than those exerted by exporters and importers, because investors account for a larger fraction


of currency trading volume. For example, the total value of goods and services traded internationally


each year is about $16 trillion, which is equivalent to about four days’ worth of global currency trading.


Figure 17.3 shows daily averages for foreign exchange market turnover, by counterparty. It suggests


that the market share of turnover attributable to non-financial institutions is less than 10%.


In January 2011, the central bank of Peru announced
that it would raise a benchmark interest rate by
0.25%. Other things being equal, higher interest
rates tend to put upward pressure on a country’s


exchange rates because of capital inflows from
foreign investors. On the same day that Peru
announced the rate hike, Peru’s currency, the sol,
reached a 33-month high.

example

FIGURE 17.3 GLOBAL FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET TURNOVER BY COUNTERPARTY^1
Net—net basis, daily averages in April
2001–2013

USD bn

2013 Breakdown of other financial
institutions

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

01
Reporting dealers
Non-financial customers
Other financial institutions

39% 53%

9%

Reporting dealers
Non-financial customers
Other financial institutions

24%

11%

11%

6%

1%

Non-reporting banks
Institutional investors
Hedge funds and PTFs^2

Official
sector
Other

04 07 10 13

1 Adjusted for local and cross-border inter-dealer double-counting; i.e. ‘net bank’ basis.
2 Proprietary trading firms
Source: Bank for International Settlements 2013. All rights reserved. April 2013: Preliminary Global Results, Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements, September 2013, Graph 2, page 6.

Sometimes traders in the foreign exchange market buy and sell currency to offset other risks to which they


are exposed during the normal course of business. Hedging refers to the practice of trading an asset for the sole


purpose of reducing or eliminating the risk associated with some other asset. For example, suppose that an


Australian company expects to receive a £1,000,000 payment from a customer in the United Kingdom. The


payment is due in 90 days. This receivable is risky from the Australian company’s perspective, because the


exchange rate between dollars and pounds may fluctuate over the next 90 days. To hedge the risk of its pound-


denominated receivable, the Australian company might enter a forward contract to sell pounds for dollars in


90 days. By doing so, the company essentially locks in a dollar value for the £1,000,000 payment.


Hedgers influence currency values when they take positions to offset the risks of their existing exposures


to certain currencies. In contrast, speculators take positions to make a profit. Speculators sell a currency if


hedging
Trading an asset for the
sole purpose of reducing or
eliminating the risk associated
with some other asset
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