The Economics Book

(Barry) #1

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decades after Walras’s death, his
equations came under the scrutiny
of the brilliant Hungarian-born
American mathematician, John
von Neumann. Von Neumann
exposed a flaw in Walras’s
equations, showing that some
of their solutions produced a
negative price—which meant
sellers would be paying buyers.
John Maynard Keynes (p.161)
was particularly damning of
Walras’s approach, arguing that
general equilibrium theory is
not a good picture of reality
because economies are never in
equilibrium. Keynes also argued
that there is no use thinking
about a long-term, and potentially
agonizing, drive to equilibrium,
because “in the long-run, we
are all dead.”
However, Walras’s ideas
have been rescued by the work
of US economists Kenneth Arrow
and Lionel W. McKenzie and
French economist Gérard Debreu
(p.211) in the 1950s, who
developed a sleeker model
(pp.210–13). Using rigorous
mathematics, Arrow and Debreu
derived conditions under which
Walras’s general economic
equilibrium would hold.


Computable economies
Improvements to computers in
the 1980s allowed economists to
calculate the effects of interactions
between multiple markets in
actual economies. These
computable general equilibrium
(CGE) models applied Walras’s
idea of interdependence to
particular situations to analyze
the impact of changing prices
and government policies.
The attraction of CGE is
that it can be used by large
organizations—such as
governments, the World Bank,
and the International Monetary
Fund—to make quick and
powerful calculations showing the

Where prices are judged to be too high in
one market, this will lead to an excess in supply in
that market. Prices adjust to eliminate excesses
in supply or demand across an economy in a
process that Léon Walras called tâtonnement.

INDUSTRIAL AND ECONOMIC REVOLUTIONS


RIGHT PRICE

There was... a set of prices,
one for each commodity,
which would equate supply
and demand for all
commodities.
Kenneth Arrow

Low demand

Excess supply

Excess demand

Low supply
LOW PRICE

HIGH PRICE

state of the whole economy as
well as seeing the effects of
changing different parameters.
Today, analysis of partial
equilibrium—considering the
forces that bring supply and
demand into balance in a single
market—is the first thing that
an economics student learns.
Walras’s insights about general
equilibrium also continue to
generate work at the cutting edge
of economic theory. For most
economists equilibrium and the
existence of forces that return
an economy to this state remain
fundamental principles. These
ideas are perhaps the essence of
mainstream economic analysis. ■

Demand and supply
are balanced
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