The Economics Book

(Barry) #1

69


See also: Agriculture in the economy 39 ■ Diminishing returns 62 ■ The
emergence of modern economies 178–79 ■ Economic growth theories 224–25


THE AGE OF REASON


original, lower level of living
standards. This is called the
Malthusian trap: higher living
standards are always choked off
by population growth. So whatever
happens, the economy always
reverts to the level of food output
that is just enough to support a
stable population.
Malthus’s vision was one of
economic stagnation, with the
population eking out a living and
its growth being checked by
hunger and disease. However, his
model—an economy of farmers
toiling with simple tools on a fixed
amount of land—was already out of
step with the times by the turn of
the 18th century. New techniques


allowed more food to be produced
from the same amount of land and
labor. New machines and factories
allowed more goods to be produced
per worker. Technological progress
meant that growing populations
enjoyed ever-higher living
standards. By 2000, Britain
had more than three times the
population of Malthus’s time,
with incomes 10 times higher.
Over time, technology has
overcome the constraints of land
and demographics. Malthus did
not foresee this. Today, his ideas
are echoed in fears that population
levels are pushing against the
capacity of the Earth in ways that
new technology cannot offset. ■

Thomas Malthus


Thomas Robert Malthus was
born in Surrey, England, in
1766, and was given a liberal
education by his father, a
country squire. His godfathers
were the philosophers David
Hume and Jean-Jacques
Rousseau. He was born with
a cleft palate and suffered
from a speech defect.
At Cambridge University
Malthus was tutored by a
religious dissenter, William
Frend, before being ordained
into the Church of England in


  1. Like his teacher he
    never shied away from
    controversy. In 1798, he
    published his Essay on the
    Principle of Population,
    the work that would bring
    him notoriety. In 1805, the
    new East India College
    appointed him Professor of
    Political Economy, a subject
    not yet taught at universities,
    which perhaps makes him the
    first academic economist.
    Malthus died of heart disease
    in 1834, aged 68.


Key works

1798 An Essay on the Principle
of Population
1815 The Nature of Rent
1820 Principles of Political
Economy

Population growth
keeps us poor.

The human sex
drive causes the
population to grow.

Growth in the
food supply is unable
to keep up.

The population
decreases, and the
food supply is
adequate again.

“Poor relief” (welfare
benefits) would bring
health to the poor, but
encourage them to have
more children.

As there is not enough
food for all, some people
die from hunger.
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