The Economist 29Feb2020

(Chris Devlin) #1

38 TheEconomistFebruary 29th 2020


1

T


he blueprints had been gathering
dust for 25 years. No Israeli leader, not
even Binyamin Netanyahu, prime minister
for the past decade, was willing to face the
international criticism that would follow
from building 3,500 new homes near Jeru-
salem, in the occupied West Bank. The new
district would cut off the Palestinian part of
Jerusalem from the rest of the West Bank,
ending any possibility of a viable Palestin-
ian state with Jerusalem as its capital. So
the plans were put on the shelf—until Feb-
ruary 25th, when Mr Netanyahu publicly
dusted them off.
It is no mystery why Mr Netanyahu
changed his mind. Israel is holding a gen-
eral election on March 2nd, its third in a
year. The last two, in April and September
2019, failed to produce a government. The
prime minister thinks the only way for his
bloc of nationalist and religious parties to
eke out a majority this time is by mobilis-

ing the base. He is under pressure from his
main rival, Benny Gantz. The former gen-
eral and leader of Blue and White, Israel’s
largest party, has been pursuing “soft-
right” voters by matching many of Mr Net-
anyahu’s campaign promises.
Israelis appear exhausted by a cam-
paign that has been running, on and off,
since December 2018, when the first of the
three elections was called. That one left Mr
Netanyahu one seat short of a majority. His
coalition lost seats in the September re-
run, which produced a majority opposed to

his rule. Still, Mr Gantz was unable to form
a government. Since then, despite Mr Net-
anyahu’s gimmicks, such as promising to
decriminalise the recreational use of can-
nabis, and Mr Gantz’s rightward shift, the
polls have hardly budged.
The main issue is still Mr Netanyahu
himself. Israel’s longest-serving prime
minister is a polarising figure. He has kept
Israel safe, forged closer ties to Arab states
and overseen a flourishing economy. But in
November he was indicted on charges of
bribery and fraud for allegedly receiving il-
legal gifts and trading political favours for
positive news coverage. His trial will begin
on March 17th. Mr Netanyahu denies any
wrongdoing and blames his legal troubles
on lefty prosecutors, police and journalists
(though he appointed the police chief who
investigated him and the attorney-general
who charged him). Critics accuse him of
sowing division and demonising Arabs for
political gain.
Mr Gantz, a bland campaigner, has
struggled to fire up voters—or bring the op-
position together. The parties that want to
see Mr Netanyahu go range from Yisrael
Beitenu, a fiercely nationalist outfit, to the
Joint List, an alliance of Arab-majority par-
ties. There is no prospect of them sitting to-
gether in a coalition. Mr Gantz says Arab
parties “won’t be a part of my government”.

Israeli politics

Take three


JERUSALEM
Will Israel’s third election in a year finally produce a government?

Middle East & Africa


40 SouthAfrica’sbudget
41 Africa’s trade with America

Alsointhissection

39 ThedeathofHosniMubarak

39 Jews who vote for Arabs
Free download pdf