Financial Times 19Feb2020

(Dana P.) #1

Wednesday19 February 2020 ★ 11


© The Financial Times Limited 2020 Week 8


Remote working — whether driven by


fears of infection in China or, more


benignly, efforts to boost recruitment


and happiness in Silicon Valley — is


taking off, with positive results for


companies that provide the tech to


integrate non-office staff.


AnalysisiPAGE 12


Tech groups tap in to


trend for home working


A L I STA I R G R AY— NEW YORK


Walmarthas reported a drop in profits


and a sharp slowdown in US revenue


growth, with sales of toys, computer


games and clothing unexpectedly weak


in the run-up to Christmas.


The sluggish performance by a retailer


considered a bellwether forsentiment


among low and middle-income house-


holdsraised concern overUS consumer


spending, the resilience of which has


helped underpin theeconomy.


Like-for-like sales at Walmart US rose


1.9 per cent year on year in the three


months to the end of January, a slow-


down from 3.2 per cent the previous


quarter and 4.2 per cent a year ago. Net


sales across the group rose 2.1 per cent


to $140.6bn. Adjusted operating income


in the fourth quarter dipped 3.7 per cent


from a year ago to $5.8bn, Walmart said.


The company blamed the weakness


on its own errors rather than a broader


weakness in the economy.Doug McMil-


lon, chief executive, saidclothinghad


been too “red and green”, or Christmas-


orientated, over the festive season.


Nevertheless, theslow holiday sales


sounded fresh alarm on the state of US


retailing, given that Walmart has coped


better than mostwith the onslaught


from online competitors, notably Ama-


zon. Walmart has invested heavily in


ecommerce. Its “buy online, pick up in


store” serviceshelped ecommerce sales


rise 30 per cent in the fourth quarter.


Other retailers to have reported lack-


lustre holiday sales includeTarget,


Walmart’s big-box rival, which last


monthcutits quarterly sales outlook


after its festive financial performance


was weaker than expected.


Analysts had anticipated a slowdown


at Walmart, given the weaknessin the


sector andfactors including astrong


comparable period last year, when toy


sales were boosted by the closure of


Toys R Us. Wall Street shrugged off the


disappointment, sending Walmart


shares upslightly inNew York.


Brett Biggs, chief financial officer, said


the fourth quarter had “started and


ended strong” but Walmart “experi-


enced some softness” in important


categories during some of busiest


shopping weeks of the year.


Walmart’s flagging revenues sound


alarm for US consumer spending


hedge fundTrian Fund Management,


which owns a 4.5 per cent stake in the


company. Trian’s founder,Nelson Peltz,


returned to the fund’s board last year


after a five-year stint between 2009 and



  1. He hasbacked the deal, saying it


would help Legg Mason “remain at the


forefront of an industry where scale is


increasingly vital to success”.


Chris Harris, an analyst at Wells


Fargo, said that integrationmight create


cultural challenges. “One hurdle would


involve combining Legg Mason’s multi-


affiliate model with Franklin’s more tra-


ditional structure,” he said.


Additional reporting by Owen Walker


Lexpage 10


the autonomy of Legg’sfund manage-


ment affiliates, which include bond spe-


cialistWestern Asset Managementand


Edinburgh-based equity houseMartin


Currie.


Alternatives boutiqueEnTrust Global


will not join the new business after its


management agreed to buy it back from


Legg and take it private.


Ms Johnson said the companies


entered talks in Junebut it took a long


time to complete the deal because they


had to ensure affiliateswould come on


board. “We jokingly said this is an acqui-


sition of multiple companies,” she said.


Legg had come under pressure to cut


costs and boost profits from activist


trackingan index.Nevertheless, Ms


Johnson said that the move was about


“offence not defence”.


“This is not about just bringing


together two overlapping platforms and


trying to pull out costs,” she said. “It is


about having an all-weather product


line-up and world-class distribution


platform.”


Legg shares were up 24 per cent,at


$50.45, just above Franklin’s $50-per-


share offer price in a sign of investor


confidence that the deal would go


through. The deal values Legg’s equity


at $4.5bn, and Franklin will assume


$2bn of debt. Franklin rose 7 per cent.


Franklin said that it would preserve


S I O B H A N R I D I N G— LONDON
O RT E N C A A L I A J— NEW YORK


Franklin Templetonhas agreed to buy


asset management rivalLegg Masonfor


$6.5bnin the latest sign of active fund


groups’ need to scale up to fend off grow-


ing threats to their business models.


The combined business will manage


more than $1.5tn in assets, withJenny


Johnson, Franklin chief executive, at the


helm, the companiessaid yesterday.


The tie-up of the groups — both of


which suffered investor outflows from


their funds last year — is the latest deal


involving midsize companies struggling


to adapt to competition from passive


funds, which charge lower fees for


US asset managers in $6.5bn tie-up


3 Franklin Templeton buys rival Legg Mason 3 Move reflects challenge for active funds


Legg Mason


was under


pressure


from Trian’s


Nelson Peltz


Companies / Sectors / People


Companies
AAC Technologies................................. 20
Aditya Birla Group................................. 14
Alibaba........................................................... 12
Amazon.......................................................... 11
Apple.............................................1,2,11,12,
BASF................................................................ 13
BHP...........................................................10,
BP...............................................................10,
BPER Banca..........................................10,
BSNL............................................................... 14
Bank of China............................................ 19
Berkshire Hathaway............................. 20
Bharti Airtel................................................ 14
BlackRock..................................................... 14
Bluebell Capital Partners................... 14
Bytedance.................................................... 12
Casio.................................................................. 8
Coca-Cola..................................................... 12
Coca-Cola HBC........................................ 20
Conagra Brands...................................... 20
Continental.................................................. 13
Credit Suisse................................................ 8
Daimler........................................................... 13
Deutsche Bank............................................. 1
Disney............................................................. 11
Drax.................................................................. 11


Edmond de Rothschild........................ 14
Emerson Electric..................................... 20
EnTrust Capital......................................... 11
Eskom............................................................. 19
Fiat Chrysler............................................. 12
Foxconn........................................................... 1
Franklin Resources..........................10,
Franklin Templeton..........................11,
Fuyao Glass................................................ 19
GAM................................................................ 14
Gaz..................................................................... 8
Glencore..................................................10,
Google.........................................................2,
HSBC...............................................1,10,13,
Hon Hai Precision.................................. 20
Huawei............................................................. 4
Hyundai Motor............................................ 2
ICICI Bank.................................................... 14
IQE................................................................... 20
Independent Franchise Partners... 12
InterContinental Hotels...................... 20
Intesa Sanpaolo...........................10,12,
Jaguar Land Rover................................. 12
Jupiter Fund Management................ 14
Kerry Group............................................... 20
Kirin.................................................................. 12
Kraft Heinz................................................. 10

Kroger........................................................... 20
Krupa Global Investors........................ 14
Lam Research........................................... 20
Legg Mason..............................10,11,14,
Martin Currie............................................... 11
Merian Global Investors...................... 14
Microchip Technology......................... 20
Microsoft........................................................ 11
Netflix............................................................. 12
Nissan............................................................. 14
Oil India......................................................... 14
Patek Philippe............................................. 8
Product Hunt............................................. 12
Punjab National Bank.......................... 14
Qianyi Investment................................... 19
Qorvo............................................................. 20
Qualcomm................................................... 20
RBR Capital................................................. 14
Reliance Jio................................................. 14
Renault.......................................................... 14
Rio Tinto................................................10,
Rosneft............................................................. 2
Rosneft Trading......................................... 4
SAIC................................................................. 13
SSE.................................................................... 11
SVM Asset Management.................... 13
Samsung....................................................... 12

Sekisui House............................................ 12
Shenzhen Airlines................................... 19
Slack................................................................ 12
State Bank of India................................ 14
State Street................................................ 14
Stripe............................................................... 12
Sun................................................................... 12
Taiantang Pharmaceutical................. 19
Target............................................................. 11
Tesla................................................................. 11
Texas Instruments................................. 20
Toys R Us..................................................... 11
Trian Fund Management................... 10
Twitter........................................................2,
UBI Banca........................................10,12,
UniCredit....................................................... 13
Unilever......................................................... 12
Vanguard..................................................... 14
Viettel............................................................. 12
Vingroup....................................................... 12
Vodafone...............................................14,
Vodafone Idea........................................... 14
Volkswagen................................................. 13
Vopak............................................................ 20
Walmart.......................................................... 11
Weir Group................................................. 20
Western Asset Management............ 11

Worldline..................................................... 20
Yukos................................................................ 2
Zoom............................................................... 12
Sectors
Airlines........................................................... 19
Automobiles................................9,12,13,
Banks...................................1,10,12,13,19,
Energy.......................................................11,
Financial Services................................... 20
Financials...................................10,12,14,
Food & Beverage........................10,12,
Industrials........................................13,19,
Insurance........................................................ 7
Media...........................................................2,
Mining......................................................10,
Oil & Gas..................................................4,
Pharmaceuticals....................................... 19
Retail................................................................ 11
Technology........................................1,12,
Telecoms.......................................1,12,14,
Travel & Leisure..................................... 20
People
Ambani, Mukesh...................................... 14
Casimiro, Didier.......................................... 4
Deripaska, Oleg.......................................... 8
Dorsey, Jack................................................ 12

Flint, John..............................................10,
Ghosn, Carlos............................................. 14
Glasenberg, Ivan................................10,
Gulliver, Stuart....................................10,
Hoover, Ryan............................................. 12
Huang, Da.................................................... 19
Ihara, Keiko................................................. 14
Johnson, Jenny.......................................... 11
Khodorkovsky, Mikhail........................... 2
McLean , Colin........................................... 13
McMillon, Doug.......................................... 11
Messina, Carlo.....................................10,
Peltz, Nelson.........................................10,
Quinn, Noel.........................................1,10,
Saikawa, Hiroto........................................ 14
Sanderson, Peter..................................... 14
Sechin, Igor................................................... 4
Simões, António....................................... 13
Soros, George.............................................. 3
Speth, Ralf................................................... 12
Stevenson, Ewen...................................1,
Taupin, Vincent........................................ 14
Thiam, Tidjane............................................ 8
Tucker, Mark........................................10,
Uchida, Makoto........................................ 14
Zhang, Daniel............................................. 12

Haven sentGreece and Italy offer unlikely


shelter from coronavirus storm—ANALYSIS, PAGE 19


Going nativeVietnam’s policy pivot in


favour of national champions—INSIDE BUSINESS, PAGE 12


David


Sheppard


Tail


Risk


The UK has kicked its coal addiction, despite returning for


one last fix in the depths of winter. The electricity system


wentmore than two weekslast summer without burning a


single tonne of the dirtiest fossil fuel for the first time since


the 1880s, in what was hailed as a landmark in the coun-


try’s attempts to turn its energy supplies “green”.


Coal has crept back in to the mix over the winter, consist-


ently generating about 5 per cent of theUK’s electricity.


But, in truth, this signalled neither a retreat from the


pledgesmade as part of the Paris agreement on climate


change, or a natural response to the colder winter months.


What has been happening is nothing more than the death


rattle of Britain’s coal industry.


Wind, nuclear, cleaner natural gas and, critically, a


higher price for carbon emissions have helped stripcoal


almost entirely out of the system, well ahead of govern-


ment plans forcoal plants to beshutby 2024. The coun-


try’s electricity supply has cut CO2 emissions by around


two-thirds in a decade, faster than any other big economy.


Generators such asSSE


andDrax, which have spent


billions to reposition them-


selves as cleaner operators,


fired up their coal plants in


large part not because the


market has demanded it but


because they are sitting on


stockpiles they need to get


rid of before they close their


sites.


SSE’s Fiddlers Ferry power plant in Cheshire, which is


due to close next month, confirmed it was burning coal “to


use the remaining stocks over the winter when demand is


at its highest”.


Drax, which hasconvertedmuch of its main power plant


in Yorkshire to run on biomass in the form of wood pellets,


said its coal units “can still play a role” outside the summer


months — but declined to say for how much longer. It has


contracts to supply electricity from its coal units when sup-


plies are tight up until 2022, but that has rarely been the


situation this winter.


Analysts at EnAppSys, which monitors energy supplies,


said there was no economic incentive to use coal unless


power plants were simply trying to burn through old


stocks, given that wholesale gas prices are close to their


lowest level in a decade and the costs of emitting carbon are


still high.


Coal that has been sitting in yards cannot easily be


resold, making it akin to a stranded asset.


There is an element of hypocrisy in companies that


trumpet their role in cleaning up the UK’senergy system


choosing to burn coal. Butit should not overshadow what


has been achieved.


Coal use is coming to a juddering halt, from supplying


around a third of UK electricity generation a decade ago.


The winter rebound was a final dirty hurrah.


[email protected]


Wind, nuclear,


gas and a higher


price for carbon


emissions have


helped stripcoal


out of the system


While the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq have


surged to record highs in recent weeks,


another rally has also taken hold. The US


options market has experienced a huge


jump in trading — led by bets on large


companies includingTesla,Amazon,


Apple,Google,MicrosoftandDisney,


according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.


Vishal Vivek, equity derivatives


strategist at the New York bank, said


trading volumes in US options were


almost as high as those on the underlying


stocks, at 91 per cent.


That is the highest level of at least the


past 14 years, and about three times the


equivalent percentage in 2016.


The purchase of “call” options —


contracts that give the right to buy a stock


at a fixed price any time up until


expiration — has been a particularly


popular trade.


If the stock increases in price over that


period, the holder of the call option gains.


Thomas Hayes, chairman of Great Hill


Capital, a New York hedge fund, said


investors had been gravitating towards


call options as stocks such as Tesla raced


higher because “they allow managers to


control many more shares... for a


fraction of the cost”.


Mr Hayes said that a majority of active


investors underperformed their


benchmarks last year, having traded “too


conservatively” on fears of escalations in


the US-China trade war.


Now that the stock rally had continued


unabated, he said, “we have a severe case


of ‘FOMO’ [fear of missing out]”, Mr


Hayes continued.Jennifer Ablan


Taking off Trading volumes in US options soar to 14-year high


Massive surge in US


options trading


Average daily value traded


as a proportion of shares volume ()


Sources: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research;
OptionMetrics

     












































*



  • Data as of Feb 


Bets on large companies such as Disney have spurred a rally in US options trading— Allstar/Pixar/Disney


FEBRUARY 19 2020 Section:2Front Time: 18/2/2020-19:13 User:nick.miller Page Name:2FRONT USA, Part,Page,Edition:EUR, 11 , 1

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