Financial Times 19Feb2020

(Dana P.) #1

12 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday19 February 2020


COMPANIES


F


oreign executives who do business in Vietnam


sometimes like to offer amateur history lessons,


especially after a few drinks.


When speaking with respect — or resignation


— about the tenacity of their local partners, they


will remind you that this is a country that always wins:


Vietnam vanquished France and the US in two wars, and


fought China to a draw in a third.


Lately, some have unearthed an old, 20th century word


to describe a new trend in business: “Vietnamisation”.


The term was last in use in the 1960s and 1970s in US-


backed South Vietnam when it referred to American


attempts to shift more responsibility for their faltering war


effort to the locals.


Today, it has different connotations. Vietnam’s leaders,


after decades in which they allowed foreign business to


have the upper hand, arepromoting Vietnamese compa-


nies and capital, sometimes at the former’s expense.


Communist-ruled Vietnam has until recentlywelcomed


foreign investmentto an extent rarely seen in even the


most pro-business capitalist countries.


“The government gave a lot of financial incentives to for-


eign investors, like tax holidays, access to land, and other


preferential treatment,” said Le Hong Hiep, a fellow at the


ISEAS-YUSOF Ishak Institute in Singapore, a think-tank.


“This tends to crowd out some domestic investors who


don’t really get access to such privileges.”


Now Hanoi wants its own national championssuch as


Samsung, the South Korean conglomerate that makes


nearly two-thirds of its mobile phones atfactories in


northern Vietnam.


In doing so, it is taking a page not only from South Korea


— probably the Asian country that Vietnam admires most


— but from its neighbour and rival China, which has priori-


tised building big domestic groups while setting strict rules


on what foreign investors can and cannot do.


The scale of Vietnam’s industrial ambition is clear at


companiessuch asVingroup, a private conglomerate


which has over the past two years begun manufacturing


cars and smartphones. The


group is completing the


country’s first Formula One


racetrack in Hanoi ingood


time, ahead of the first race


planned for April.


Viettel, the state-owned


m o b i l e p h o n e g ro u p,


recently said it had become


the sixth telecomsgroup in


the world to develop 5G technology — faster than US telcos.


At a time of rising economic nationalism, fromDonald


Trump’s AmericatoXi Jinping’s China, Vietnam has argu-


ably been a latecomer to the nativist party. But the conse-


quences for foreign business in Vietnam could be big.


One example of the changing times is thehuge tax bills


the Vietnamese authorities recently handed out to some


multinational companies, includingUnileverandCoca-


Cola. “I don’t see Vietnamese companies getting hauled in


like this,” one executive in Ho Chi Minh City said.


Car manufacturing is another sector where Vietnam is


regarded as favouring local producers. Foreign carmakers


have complained bitterly about a decree that took effect in


2018 which set exacting new requirements for the import-


ing and testing of foreign cars, down to the length of com-


panies’ vehicle test tracks (800m).


Meanwhile, a draft decree requiring video streaming


companies to have a minimum 30 per cent Vietnamese


language content has slowed the arrival of foreign digital


companiessuch asNetflix.


The tougher official stance on foreign investment comes


when investors in Vietnam arewalking on eggshells owing


to the political calendar: the country will in early 2021


select a new communist leadership. Businesses, Vietnam-


ese and foreign, say there has been a slowdown in govern-


ment decisions such as building approvals in anticipation.


This is all separate from growing concerns aboutcorona-


virus, which seem certain to cause a sharp slowdown in


Vietnam’s economy, which grew 7 per cent last year. A sur-


vey by the American Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam


last week found that more than half the group’s members


were having difficulty sourcing supplies or materials


because of the outbreak.


But there are reasons to think Vietnam’s economic


nationalism has natural limits. For one, while China is big


enough essentially to write the rules of the game, Vietnam


cannot afford to do so.This month the country’s central


bank dropped a proposed 49 per cent cap on foreign own-


ership for e-payment businesses.


Moreover, as most Vietnamese will tell you — in contrast


with amateur historian expats — warring against foreign-


ers is a thing of the past. It’s now time for the country to


prosper, even if it will be looking to do so on its own terms.


[email protected]


INSIDE BUSINESS


ASIA


John


Reed


‘Vietnamisation’ push


seeks to develop


national champions


Investorsare


walking on


eggshells owing


to the political


calendar


N I KO U A S G A R I— COVENTRY


Jaguar Land Roveris flying compo-


nents in suitcases out of China as it


races to prevent its UK plants from


closing by the end of the month.


Ralf Speth, chief executive of the UK’s


biggest carmaker, said the company’s


British plantswere “safe for this week”


and the week after, but faced difficulties


sourcing parts from China in the weeks


after, which represented “a risk for


overall production”.


“We have flown parts in suitcases


from China to the UK just to make sure


that we have got the right parts,” he said,


adding that last week the company was


missing 38 key components.


JLR has three factories in the UK and


is the latest carmaker to warn of the


impact on its supply chain from the


deadly coronavirus, which has spread


around the world from Wuhan and


killed nearly 1,900 people.


In early February,Fiat Chrysler


warned that one of its European plants


would be forced to halt production in a


matter of weeks as it struggles to source


key parts from Chinese suppliers.


“If we miss a critical part then there


might be a risk for overall production,”


Sir Ralf told journalists at an event


unveiling the company’s autonomous


electric car, Project Vector.


He added that the “very first critical


part” facing a shortage was the key fob:


“We have to take all the key systems


apart and every car only gets, at the


moment, one key fob just to make sure


we can produce.”


Sir Ralf added that special teams had


been set up to manage and monitor the


situation but “nobody can predict the


future”.


The spread of coronavirus has hit glo-


bal supply chains with carmakers


dependent on parts from China among


those hit hard.


Automobiles


JLR rushes parts out of China in suitcases


L E O L E W I S A N D K A N A I N AG A K I— TOKYO


One ofKirin’s biggest investors has


given the brewer an ultimatum,


demandingit choose between a signifi-


cant change to its board or riska proxy


battle at theannual meeting.


Theconfrontation between Kirinand


UK-basedIndependent Franchise Part-


ners(FP) comes as more Japanese


boards are being dragged into public


conflicts with investors and the market


braces for what could bethe country’s


most contentious season of shareholder


meetings.


The clashes, and the prospect ofproxy


battles, are symptomatic of what ana-


lysts said is ashift inJapan as embold-


ened shareholders confront manage-


ment over what they see as value


destruction, opaque strategic decisions


and other lapses of governance.


In the past week alone, investors have


initiated showdowns withthree Japa-


nese companies: Kirin;Sekisui House,


one ofthe nation’s largest homebuild-


ers; and technology groupSun. Ineach


case, shareholders are demanding a


board shake-up, an approach that has,


until now, been a rarity.


The March season for annual meet-


ings involves a relatively small fraction


of listed Japanese companies, but acts as


bellwether for theseason in June when


thousands of listed companies face their


shareholders. The number of share-


holder proposalsintroducedin Junehas


been rising foryears, but is expected to


smash records in 2020,said analysts.


Yesterday, FP, which owns roughly 2


per cent of shares in Kirin, said it was


willing to withdraw all four of its share-


holder proposals but only if the com-


pany agreed to accept its two candidates


for independent directors and if the


group’s business plan for 2027was sub-


mitted to the new board for “a thorough


and independent review”.


Food & beverage


Kirin investor threatens to launch proxy fight


ST E P H E N M O R R I S A N D A R A S H M A S S O U D I


LONDON


Intesa Sanpaolo, Italy’s biggest domestic


lender, has launched a €4.86bn


takeover bid forrivalUBI Bancain


an audacious attempt to kick-start


consolidation in Italy’s fragmented


banking sector.


Just before midnight on Monday,


Turin-headquartered Intesa unveiled


an all-share offer to buy Italy’s fourth-


biggest lender through a series of


notices detailing its plans to issue new


shares to fund the deal.


The combination would create the


seventh-largest bank in the eurozone


with €1.1tn in assets and give Intesa


an additional 3m retail, small


business and private-banking clients,


the company said.


Intesa has offered to pay 17 new


shares for every 10 UBI Banca shares


tendered. It said the bidcorresponded


to a value of €4.25 per share in UBI


Banca, or a 27.6 per cent premium to the


Bergamo-based lender’s share price at


the end of last week.


Shares in UBI Banca, which climbed


5.5 per cent on Monday, were up 24 per


cent inafternoon tradingyesterday.


Intesa shares were up 3 per cent, giving


the bank a marketcapitalisation of


€46bn.


“Intesa considers UBI amongthe best


Italian banks... [It] has local


entrenchment in the most dynamic


regions of the country, enjoys outstand-


ing results that have been achieved


thanks to the excellent job of both its


CEO and its management team, and has


a sound business plan,” the lender said.


The bid makes Intesa chief executive


Carlo Messinathe first to act decisively


among the country’s largest lenders,


responding to supervisors’ repeated


appeals for Italian banks to consolidate


to reduce excessive competition, cut


costs and boost the sector’s persistently


low profitability.


The country’s lenders have been


on the front line oftensionsbetween


Italy andthe EU, not only over bad


loans during the European debt crisis


butover its expansionary budget.Con-


cerns over the package caused spreads


on sovereign debt to balloon in 2018,


reviving fears of a vicious cycle between


banks and the sovereign, knownas a


doom loop.


Intesawill have to get permission


from the European Central Bank for the


deal to go ahead, and negotiate with


Rome and unions over 5,000 jobcuts it


plans as part of the deal. The acquirer


forecasts that the deal could lead to


€730m in annual expense and revenue


synergies, but will cost €1.3bn before


tax to execute.


To address competition concerns,


Intesa said its offerincluded a binding


agreement to sell between 400 and 500


branches of the combined group to


Modena-basedBPER Banca.


See Lex


Banks


Intesa sets ball rolling on Italy mergers


Bid for UBI represents


bold response to appeals


for sector consolidation


T I M B R A D S H AW— LONDON
RYA N M C M O R R OW— BEIJING


In China,coronavirusis forcing office


workers to stay at home and adopt a


range of online remote-working tools


for the first time.


Across the world in Silicon Valley,


tech companies are doing the same


thing — not to escape infection, but to


aid recruitment and keep staff happy.


The two trendsare creating a boom


for providers of technology that facili-


tate office-free collaboration, from mes-


saging appSlackand videoconferencing


providerZoomin the US, to their newly


bolstered rivals in China, includingAli-


baba’s Dingtalk andBytedance’s Lark.


“Remote working is getting towards a


tipping point,” said Patrick McKenzie, a


software engineerwho has been a


remote worker in Japan for 10 years,


including the past three at San Francis-


co-based Stripe.


“For a while it was happening at a


number of firms that were close to the


experimental fringes of the tech com-


munity. We are increasingly seeing it at


extremely savvy companies that have


achieved a certain level of scale.”


Daniel Zhang, Alibaba’s chief execu-


tive, said during last week’s quarterly


earnings call that the “black swan


event” of Covid-19 presented “near-


term challenges” to Alibaba’s online


sales platforms and also “opportunities


created by the forces of change”.


Just as ecommerce was boosted by the


Sars outbreak 17 years ago, he said, the


coronavirus has triggered “explosive


growth” for DingTalk, Alibaba’s chat,


videoconferencing and task manage-


ment tool.


According to App Annie, a mobile


data and analytics provider, DingTalk


was languishing outside China’s top


250 iPhone apps as recently as Janu-


ary 25. Now, it has been top ofApple’s


App Store in China by daily down-


loads for most of February, beating all


other apps and games in the region,


App Annie said. Overall, Chinese


downloads of business apps for


iPhones in the first week of Feb-


ruary more than doubled over


the prior week to 7.4m, the


researcher added.


Meanwhile, the


share price s of


Zoom and Slack, which


are both available in


China, have risen by a fifth


and a third, respectively, since the Chi-


nese new year holiday.


Within Alibaba, Mr Zhang holds daily


briefings with the heads of his various


business units through DingTalk.


“The crisis is a very, very big challenge


to the society but also... gives people a


chance to try [a] new way of living and


new way of working,” Mr Zhang said.


His enthusiasm for a distributed


workforce was echoed in San Francisco


last week byJack Dorsey,Twitter’s


globetrotting chief executive.


“As we look forward, we’re reaching a


talent pool that expects a lot more


remote work... and we should be


building our company around that,” Mr


Dorsey told investorson Twitter’s quar-


terly earnings call.


It is not just San Francisco’s eye-


watering living costs that are driving the


trend. Distributed teams have been


hailed as a solution to everything from


work-life balance and employee diver-


sity to climate change, by cutting com-


mutes, and an economic downturn, by


reducing rents.


Tech start-ups themselves are among


the most enthusiastic adopters of these


online collaboration technologies.


WhenRyan HooverstartedProduct


Hunt, a site for discovering new apps


and gadgets, in San Francisco in 2013,


some of his earliest appointments


were based in Europe or other parts


of the US.


“We just realised, OK, we have


these amazing people in the team, we


are not going to ask them to move, eve-


rything seems to be working, and now


we can open up the talent pool to any-


one in the world,” said Mr Hoover, who


runs Product Hunt’s team of about 20


from Los Angeles.


But he concedes that remote working


has been easier to manage with a rela-


tively small team. “The bigger the com-


pany, the harder it is to change proc-


esses or adjust to the distributed team


lifestyle.”


Stripe, the payments platform that is


now the most valuable private US tech


company, last yeardeclaredits fifth


“engineering hub” would be “remote” —


putting home workers on an equal foot-


ing with its offices in San Francisco,


Seattle, Dublin and Singapore.


Such a structure “puts a name on a


practice and causes norms around it”,


said Mr McKenzie, who helped to draw


up Stripe’s remote-working guidelines.


“Your company can have policies in


place to measure the health of its remote


workforce which it would not have if it


had 100 people individually doing


something that works for them.”


It also helped shatter assumptions


about office productivity. Stripe’s man-


agement used to believe certain types of


product development benefited from


“synchronous, in person” work, Mr


McKenzie said.


But now that remote working has


been formalised, internalappraisals


suggest “our level of satisfaction with


engineers is actually marginally higher”


when they operate outside one of its


physical hubs than for staff within its


offices, Mr McKenzie said.


Workers in China have had little time


to weigh up the costs and benefits of


remote working before circumstances


foisted it upon them. Denise Chen is


stuck in her hometown of Xiangyang in


Hubei, the province at the centre of the


outbreak which has been quarantined


off from the rest of China.


“Since January 25 I haven’t left my


apartment block more than once or


twice,” she said. “I’m disciplined and get


my deliverables in, so it hasn’t been a


problem so far.”


But a software engineer at one of Bei-


jing’s largest tech companies, who has


worked at home for the past two weeks,


estimated he had only been 80 per cent


as efficient.“I can’t wait until we can go


back into work,” he said.


Technology.Remote teams


Home-working sparks digital tools boom


Online collaboration buoyed


by crisis in China and Silicon


Valley’s drive to gain recruits


Twitter chief


Jack Dorsey,


below, looks


forward to


building the


company


around a talent


pool that


expects ‘a lot


more remote


work’— Alamy;


Bloomberg


Covid-19 presented


challenges to Alibaba’s


online sales platforms


and also opportunities


Surge in China business apps


Overall App Store rank in China


by downloads (position)











Jan Feb





Source: App Annie


Tencent
Meeting

Huawei Cloud
WeLink

Ding


Lark





€4.9bn


Value of move
by Italy’s biggest
domestic lender
for rival UBI

€1.1tn


Assets that
the proposed
combination
would command

FEBRUARY 19 2020 Section:Companies Time: 18/2/2020-18:10 User:alistair.fraser Page Name:CONEWS1, Part,Page,Edition:USA, 12 , 1

Free download pdf