How_Money_Works_-_The_Facts_Visually_Explained

(Greg DeLong) #1

178 179


PERSONAL FINANCE

Wealth-building investments

THE 18-YEAR REAL-ESTATE CYCLE


The idea that ups and downs in the real-estate market
run in an 18-year cycle is based on US studies into the
property market over the last two centuries by economic
forecaster Phillip J Anderson. He demonstrated that land
sales and property construction peak on average every
18 years – 14 years up and four years down.

HOUSE PRICES
7 years 7 years 4 years
TIME (YEARS)

Property
investors buy

Rents
stabilize

Too many houses;
construction
slows; rents fall Abundance of
tradespeople as
construction
prices fall

Valuations
fall

Affordability
crisis; too hard to
get mortgage

than buyersMore sellers

No confidence in market

Rents
increase

Hardly any construction

work

Se


lle


r’
s^ m

ar


ke
t Sell
er
’s
m
ar
ke
t

❯❯Appreciation Rise in the value of a property over time.
❯❯Depreciation Fall in the value of a property over time.
❯❯Capital gain The increase in value of a property (or
other asset) from its purchase price; this can be short
term (under one year) or long term.
❯❯BRR Buying, Refurbishing, and Refinancing strategy.

NEED TO KNOW


B
uy
er
’s
m
ar
ke
t


SALEFOR SALEFOR
SALEFOR

R e c o v e


ry


(^)
S
lu
m
p
B
o
o
m
(^) S
lo
w
(^) d
o
w
n
Bu
ye
r’s
m
ar
ke
t
8.75%
annual rise in UK
house prices over
47 years between
1968 and 2015
178-179_Buying_selling_property_for_profit.indd 179 13/10/2016 16:09

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