240 Chapter 7 Thinking and Intelligence
© The New Yorker Collection, 1995. Mick Stevens from cartoonbank.com. All Rights Reserved.
colleagues wondered, to reduce the dissonance
between “The world is still muddling along on the
21st” and “I predicted the end of the world and
sold all my worldly possessions“?
Festinger’s team predicted that believers who
had made no public commitment to the proph-
ecy, who awaited the end of the world by them-
selves at home, would simply lose their faith.
However, those who had acted on their convic-
tion by selling their property and waiting with
Keech for the spaceship would be in a state of
dissonance. They would have to increase their
religious belief to avoid the intolerable realiza-
tion that they had behaved foolishly and others
knew it. That is just what happened. At 4:45
a.m., long past the appointed hour of the saucer’s
arrival, the leader had a new vision. The world
had been spared, she said, because of the impres-
sive faith of her little band.
Cognitive dissonance theory predicts that in
more ordinary situations as well, people will resist,
dismiss, or rationalize information that conflicts
with their existing ideas or behavior, just as the
people in the arthritis study did. To reduce the dis-
sonance between “I smoke” and “Smoking could
kill me,” cigarette smokers have two choices: quit
smoking, or reject or minimize the evidence that
smoking is bad. Those who don’t quit tend to
persuade themselves that they will quit later on,
that smoking helps them relax, or that they don’t
want a long life, anyhow (“It will be shorter but
sweeter”).
You are especially likely to reduce dissonance
under three conditions (Aronson, 2012):
1
When you need to justify a choice or decision
that you made freely. All car dealers know about
buyer’s remorse: The second that people buy a
car, they worry that they made the wrong decision
or spent too much, a phenomenon called postdeci-
sion dissonance. You may try to resolve this dis-
sonance by deciding that the car you chose (or the
toaster, or house, or spouse) is really, truly the best
in the world. Before people make a decision, they
can be open-minded, seeking information on the
pros and cons of the choice at hand. But after they
make that choice, the confirmation bias will kick
in, and they will now notice all the good things
about their decision and overlook or ignore evi-
dence that they might have been wrong.
2
When you need to justify behavior that conflicts
with your view of yourself. If you consider
yourself to be honest, shoplifting will put you
in a state of dissonance. To avoid feeling like a
hypocrite, you will try to reduce the dissonance
by justifying your behavior (“Everyone else does
postdecision disso-
nance In the theory of
cognitive dissonance,
tension that occurs when
you believe you may have
made a bad decision.
rejecting or modifying one of those inconsistent
beliefs, changing your behavior, denying the evi-
dence, or rationalizing:
COGNITIVE DISSONANCE
Tension
(cognitive
dissonance)
Efforts to reduce
dissonance:
Reject belief
Change behavior
Deny the evidence
Rationalize
Cognitions conict
Behavior conicts with
attitude or belief
Watch the Video Carol Tavris: What Is Cognitive
dissonance? at MyPsychLab
Years ago, in a famous field study, Leon
Festinger and two associates infiltrated a group
of people who thought the world would end on
December 21 (Festinger, Riecken, & Schachter,
1956). The group’s leader, whom the researchers
called Marian Keech, promised that the faith-
ful would be picked up by a flying saucer and
whisked to safety at midnight on December 20.
Many of her followers quit their jobs and spent
all their savings, waiting for the end to come.
What would they do or say, Festinger and his