New Scientist 28Mar2020

(coco) #1

News Coronavirus update


World in lockdown


Around a fifth of the global population is in lockdown as covid-


cases continue to rise, reports Jessica Harnzelou


mBcovid-19 pandem!cia
speedjngup. the WodclHeahh
Organjzatlon'sclirectorgeneml.
huwamed.AsNewSdentiat
went topms, 382,000 cues of
the disease had been confirmed.
although the actual number is
lilcelyto be much higher. More
than 16,.500 people have died.
"Ittook67daysfromthefint
Mported case to reach the first
100,ooocues,udaysforthe
second.100,000 cases and
justfourdaysforthetbbd
100,ooocases;TedrosAdhanom
Ghebreyesus told journalists at
a press briefing on Monday.
"'11levkus is accelerating."
On the same day. the UK
government announced that
everyone should stay at home,


leaving the house only for basic
necessities like food and medicfne,
tomeetthemedicalneedsof
themselves or othen, to travel to
and from workffnecessuyandfor
one form of eercise per day. For at
least the next three weeks, non-
essential shops and venues will
be closed and public gatherings of
lllDII! than two people are banned.
Those who don't comply face fines
or dispersal by the police.
While Hubel province ID China,
where the outbreak started, plans
to lift its travel restrictions, a
similar lockdown came into effect
inNewYorkCityonSunday. when

New York state accounted for half
of the confirmed UScovid-19 cases.
On Monday, South Africa's
president. Cyril Ramaphosa,
announced a 21-day national
loclcdown. set to begin on
March. On Tuesday.India Mported
519 confirmed cases and 10 deaths.
It has imposed a three-week
lodcdown on its L3 billion people.
Strict measures do seem to slow
the spread oflnfectlon. A team in
Singapore has used modelling to
show that measures including
isolatlngfnfected people and
qwuantinfngtheb'relative11,
closing schools and encomaging

NewYorttCffVwntlnto
loclcdownonS..ndQ
ta llaw dawn the virus

peopletoworkfromhomewould
s:lgnidcantlyredw:ethe number
of infections. Assuming a starting
point of 100 infected people, these
measureswouldcutthenumber
of cases by 99.3 percent over
an 80-dayperiod in Singapore,
the model found (The Lancet
InfectlomDlseases, doiorg/dqfh).
These measures could ease
the strain on health services by
slowing the outbmat, but the only
way to trulyc:ontrol outbreaks is
to test suspected cases, properly
isolate them and trace all of the
people they have come into
contact with, the WHO'sdha:tor
general has repe.atedly said.
Despite thJs, the approach to
testing suspected cases varies
wildly between countries. The UK
is lltillonlyteltingpeoplewho are
hospitalised. It is Mported that just
nine of the 2700 passengers that
disembarked the Princess Ruby
auiJeshipinSydneyon8March
weie tested, despite reports of 158
passengers feeling unwell while
onboard Slncethen, 133 of the
passengers have test.eel positive for
covid-ig, and.one penonhas died
In the meantime, :researchen
are starting to l.eam more about
the virus, how it infects us and
who is vulnerable (see page 10).
Until 22 January, only one case
of infection had been reported
in children in mainland China.
A24Febrwuyieportcovering
44.672 cases found that children
under the age of10 made up less
than 1 per cent of cases and no
deaths (TAMA, doi.ollfggmq43).
Since then. more cases of
cbilc:benhospitalisedwiththe
infection have come to light.
Based on reports from a handful
of hospitals In China, one team
estimates that, by z2 Janwuy,
around uos chlld:ren were
receiving hospital treatment
forcovld-19 in the city of Wuhan
alone (medRxiv, doi.org/dqfg).
If there were this many severe
cases, tens of thousands of
children werelilcelyto have had
mild cases, theauthonsay. I

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