The Wall Street Journal - 19.03.2020

(やまだぃちぅ) #1

A10| Thursday, March 19, 2020 ** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


Jim Rosenberg, an American
aboard the ship.
A State Department official
said Tuesday the department
was “considering all options to
assist U.S. citizens” in countries
that have suspended air travel.
The official urged Americans
abroad to consult the State De-

partment’s travel advisories and
Covid-19 updates. The official
wouldn’t provide information on
the number of U.S. citizens af-
fected by travel restrictions
abroad and declined to say
whether aircraft would be char-
tered to fly Americans home.
Nine Democratic members of

the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee wrote to Secretary of
State Mike Pompeo on Wednes-
day expressing “urgent concern”
for U.S. citizens stranded abroad
amid the pandemic, saying
Americans in Honduras, Mo-
rocco, Peru and Tunisia have
struggled to make contact with

or receive assistance from U.S.
embassies in those countries.
The lawmakers asked Mr.
Pompeo to detail his depart-
ment’s efforts to facilitate the
return of Americans to the U.S.
via commercial or government-
chartered flights, and to aid
those unable to do so.
Some countries already have
rescue plans in motion. Ger-
many has committed up to €
million ($54 million) to charter
planes from several carriers in-
cluding Lufthansa, Condor, and
TUI to begin shuttling more
than 100,000 German tourists
trapped in popular vacation
spots such as Greece and the
Dominican Republic. Israel is
sending two planes from its
state carrier El Al to rescue Is-
raeli tourists in Peru, according
to Israel’s Foreign Ministry.
American Tessa Matsis Smith
and nine friends from Oregon, at
a hotel in Marrakesh, Morocco,
think it is time the U.S. govern-
ment stepped in. Two days ago,
they returned from a night in
the desert to be told by the ho-
tel manager that the city was
going into lockdown. They called
the U.S. Embassy and were told

LUKA GONZALES/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

their way back.
Ms. de Chabert-Ostland, who
is stuck in Peru, is a 49-year-old
Connecticut second-grade
teacher with three children at
home. She said she has already
been away since March 8 and
unless something changes fast,
it won’t be until April that she,
her mother and niece will be
able to leave. For now, their
home is a hotel a short walk
from the main square in Cusco,
now filled with Americans.
In Africa, Elizabeth Dea, 53,
from Los Angeles, canceled her
Botswana safari and headed to
Johannesburg, trying to get a
flight. In Europe, Scott Rose, a
32-year-old student of Spanish
and English literature, didn’t
want to take one of the last
flights home to the U.S. from
Spain because of the high cost
of a ticket as growing numbers
of Americans flew out. He is
hunkered down, reading books
that he always meant to finish,
like Oscar Wilde’s “The Picture
of Dorian Gray.”
In Honduras, a group of 55
football players and staff from
around the U.S. had just won a
tournament when they found
out they were stuck.
“Being on a high and then
finding out that the Honduras
government closed the border
from in and out travel was frus-
trating,” wrote Sandy Glossen-
ger, the group’s operations man-
ager, in an email. But she added:
“Morale is good and we are
safe.”
Alison Clay-Duboff and her
husband, Ken Duboff, have
found themselves in the middle
of the Peruvian Amazon with in-
termittent telephone service,
and Americans on a cruise ship
off the coast of Chile were being
prevented from getting off.
“We are living in a celestial
bubble in the midst of the horri-
ble world-wide situation,” said


ContinuedfromPageOne


THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC


sharply that exchanges had to
temporarily halt trading in
them. One such stock,Alaska
Air GroupInc., declined 23%
Wednesday. Olive Garden
owner Darden Restaurants
Inc. slid 19%.CotyInc., whose
beauty portfolio includes Sally
Hansen, dropped 31%.
In debt markets, the sell-ev-
erything approach drove down
prices of safe investment-grade
bonds and government debt
alongside stocks and commodi-
ties of nearly all stripes. Nor-
mally, when investors turn
away from risky assets, they
buy safer government debt—or
if they are really frightened,
gold. Investors appear to be
putting their trust in only the
shortest-term government
bonds or cash.
“When even silver and gold
are getting crushed, that’s a
panicked drawing of liquidity,”
said Rob Arnott, founder of
California-based investment
firm Research Affiliates. “In
the U.S., you can’t find toilet

paper anywhere: This is the
capital markets equivalent of
that.”
Yields on one-month U.S.
Treasury bills, a close equiva-
lent to cash, fell to as low as
-0.033% from 0.31% at the start
of the week, their lowest level
in several years.
“There are very few places
to hide. The tightening in fi-
nancial conditions is happen-
ing across markets,” said Niko-
laos Panigirtzoglou, global
markets strategist at JPMor-
gan Chase & Co. He pointed to
strong selling of bond funds
that own the debt of the safest
big companies, which is caus-
ing corporate borrowing costs
to rise despite central-bank ef-
forts to do the opposite.
Another factor pushing gov-
ernment-bond yields higher:
As investors dash for safety,
they are contending with a po-
tential massive new supply of
government bonds that will be
necessary to fund stimulus
measures, including $1 trillion

of spending discussed in
Washington on Tuesday. In the
simplest terms, a greater sup-
ply of bonds should cause
prices to fall and yields to rise.
The rush to cash, mean-
while, has put strain on money
markets in the U.S. and glob-
ally. The difference between
the yield on the three-month
Treasury bill and interbank
lending rates, known as the
Ted spread, jumped above 1
percentage point, according to
FactSet, a level not seen since
early 2009. In good times, the
difference between the rates,
which reflects how easy it is
for banks to get hold of short-
term borrowing, is negligible.
People and companies need
cash to cover rent, bills and
other fixed costs at a time
businesses and schools are
closing and sending staff home
in the U.S. and Europe to halt
the spread of the coronavirus.
“If you think about it from a
small-business standpoint, a
big-business standpoint, a

fund-manager standpoint, li-
quidity and cash [are] going to
be king,” said John Briggs,
head of strategy, Americas, at
NatWest Markets. “Take Italy:
They’ve just hard-stopped the
eighth-largest economy in the
world. We’ve never seen any-
thing like this.”
This has led a wave of com-
panies including Boeing,Hil-
ton Worldwide HoldingsInc.,
Kraft Heinz Co. and An-
heuser-Busch InBevSA, to
draw down billions of dollars
from credit facilities. The Fed-
eral Reserve has had to step in
and support the smooth func-
tioning of the commercial-pa-
per market, where companies
can borrow short term, be-
cause huge demand there has
met diminishing supply from
money-market funds and oth-
ers that are preparing to face
their own cash withdrawals,
according to analysts.
The Bank of England said
Wednesday it would provide an
unlimited amount of financing

in commercial-paper markets.
Small and medium-size
companies in the U.S. and Eu-
rope are likely to be among the
hardest hit because they have
less room for error. Eric Lon-
ergan, a portfolio manager at
M&G Investments, said smaller
companies in the U.K. were al-
ready delaying payments to
their creditors if they could.
“I think the entire economic
system is trying to conserve
cash at the moment,” he said.
Sushil Wadhwani, chief in-
vestment officer of QMA Wadh-
wani, a U.K.-based hedge fund,
said the rational thing for indi-
vidual companies was to access
credit lines. Pension funds,
meanwhile, which are normally
built to ride out long market
disruptions, might also be join-
ing the cash dash. “For pension
funds, it is sell anything you
can sell to build up reserves so
you can tell your trustees that
you have enough cash to pay
pensions over the next nine or
10 months,” he said.

shares of companies as varied
as airlines, restaurants, banks
and retailers. The declines
showed the extent to which in-
vestors are worried that the
coronavirus pandemic—which
has already forced airlines to
cut flights and businesses to
close—could send the economy
into a recession.
Shares ofBoeingInc. fell
18%, while stock inCitigroup
lost nearly 10% in value. A
drop of more than 20% in the
price of oil slammed shares of
energy companies.Exxon Mo-
bilInc. fell 10% and has halved
so far this year.
Several stocks fell so


ContinuedfromPageOne


Markets


Rattled by


Cash Rush


the country’s borders would
close Friday. They were unable
to find airline tickets home.
“It was overwhelming, the
thought that we could not get
home, it was hard to breathe,”
said Ms. Smith, a hair stylist.
Now the 10 friends are confined
to the hotel, unable to even use
the pool.
“None of us are sick with the
virus,” she said. “We just need
to go home.”
Daniel Villarreal, a 52-year-
old Texas psychiatrist who is
also stranded in Cusco, found
himself in long lines for water,
tuna, peanut butter and jelly. He
had arrived with his teenage
daughter to take her to Machu
Picchu. Instead, he was stocking
up on medicine.
“We never thought we could
end up trapped here,” Mr. Villar-
real said. “The measures the Pe-
ruvian government have taken
are pretty draconian. Zero
movement, all the restaurants
are closed.”
He said he has sent messages
to his senators in Texas and
reached out to the U.S. Embassy
in Lima, but hasn’t received a
response. “This is day one, and
one of our concerns is if there
are going to be enough supplies
coming around for day 4, 5, 10
and 15,” he said.
Just a few blocks away, Ms.
de Chabert-Ostland is worried
because her mother, Ms. Bravi,
suffered a fall and has a swollen
ankle.
That wasn’t the way the trip
was supposed to go. The idea
was for Ms. Bravi—with her
daughter and granddaughter—
to enjoy an exotic locale, among
others she hopes to visit as part
of her “bucket list.” And as of
Monday, the trip had been mem-
orable, exploring the Inca ruins
of Machu Picchu, the Sacred Val-
ley and then a trip to Lake Titi-
caca on Monday.
But by the end of that day,
the three were in their hotel in
Cusco, unsure when they would
get out. “Quarantining us here,
without explanation—without a
true explanation of when we’ll
get home—is an awful feeling,”
Ms. de Chabert-Ostland said.
—Ellie Miller
and Aaisha Dadi Patel
contributed to this article.

FRANKFURT—The Euro-
pean Central Bank unveiled a
new €750 billion ($818.7 bil-
lion) bond-buying program
aimed at shielding the euro-
zone economy from the
spreading coronavirus, casting


aside longstanding taboos to
send a determined signal to
investors that the bank will
stand behind the region’s em-
battled governments.
The unexpected move, fol-
lowing days of delay and
mixed messages from the ECB,
underscores the high level of
urgency among policy makers
in Europe, which has emerged
as the new center of the fast-
moving global crisis.
Borrowing costs for South-
ern European countries have
jumped in recent days, reflect-
ing concerns that the region’s
governments might struggle to
meet their obligations as
spending demands increase.
That has revived memories of
the eurozone debt crisis nearly
a decade ago.
While analysts cheered the
ECB’s move, it could raise fresh
concerns in the region’s largest
economy, Germany, where offi-


cials have long worried about
overreach by the ECB.
In a statement, the bank
said it would buy €750 billion
of public- and private-sector
assets at least through the end
of the year, and possibly be-
yond. The purchases—dubbed
the Pandemic Emergency Pur-
chase Program—will include
Greek government debt, which
was excluded under earlier
ECB bond-buying programs.
The decision came during an
unscheduled late-night confer-
ence call among top ECB offi-
cials, on a day when borrowing
costs for governments like Italy
and Spain jumped as the virus
roiled and shuttered the region.
“This looks like a game-
changer for the euro area
economy and markets,” said
Frederik Ducrozet, an econo-
mist with Pictet Wealth Man-
agement in Geneva.
It means the ECB will be
able to buy almost €120 billion
a month of eurozone debt for
the rest of the year—the larg-
est amount ever. Under the
rules of the program, the ECB
could focus its purchases in
the short-term on Italy and
other struggling governments.
“It sends a very, very strong
signal to markets,” said Torsten
Slok, chief economist at
Deutsche Bank Securities in
New York. “This is the bazooka.”

The decision marks an
about-turn for the ECB, which
had dragged its feet for weeks
about the need for aggressive
monetary stimulus, even as ma-
jor central banks like the Fed-
eral Reserve announced deep
interest-rate cuts and other ac-
tions to help combat the virus.
Last Thursday, ECB Presi-
dent Christine Lagarde stressed
at a news conference that the
bank was “not here to close
spreads,” suggesting it wouldn’t
intervene to narrow the differ-
ence in borrowing costs be-
tween Germany and Italy.
That comment stunned in-
vestors, and the ECB quickly

sought to walk it back. The in-
cident called into question the
ECB’s carefully crafted role as
an effective lender of last re-
sort to eurozone governments.
The ECB is prohibited under
European treaties from financ-
ing governments, but Euro-
pean courts have supported its
right to use bond purchases to
calm markets.
As Italy’s sovereign debt
came under pressure this
week, however, the ECB inter-
vened in the market via the
nation’s central bank, accord-
ing to a person familiar with
the matter. It also sought to
redirect remarks by senior of-

ficials suggesting that the bank
would take no further action.
“It has intervened in a flexi-
ble but intense way due to the
volatility of markets,” the per-
son said.
The ECB declined to com-
ment.
In a confusing twist
Wednesday, Austrian central-
bank Gov. Robert Holzmann
suggested in an interview that
investors were right in assum-
ing that the ECB would do little
more to support the economy.
He even suggested that a
downturn in Europe might
have a positive, cleansing ef-
fect on the economy by elimi-
nating businesses that aren’t
viable. “One should be careful
that only the firms capable of
surviving do survive, and that
others that would have failed
even without a crisis don’t
survive,” Mr. Holzmann said.
A spokesman for Mr. Holz-
mann declined to comment fur-
ther on his remarks, which
prompted a swift response from
the ECB. The bank said its top
officials were united in their
desire to use all their tools to
support the region’s economy.
Still, Italy’s 10-year govern-
ment bond yield rose above
3% on Wednesday for the first
time in more than a year, as
investors worried that the ECB
wouldn’t step in to support

Rome. The Greek equivalent
traded above 4.1%, compared
with less than 1% several
weeks ago.
“This is the perfect storm,”
said James Athey, an invest-
ment manager at Aberdeen
Standard Investments. “Li-
quidity has essentially evapo-
rated, the BTP [Italian govern-
ment bond] market has
essentially broken today.
There are basically no bids
and a lot of sellers.”
On a conference call with
European Union leaders on
Tuesday, Ms. Lagarde said the
eurozone economy would likely
contract by 1.3% this year if
business shutdowns lasted for
one month and shrink by
around 5% if the shutdowns
lasted three months, according
to a person familiar with the
matter. The latter would repre-
sent a fiercer downturn than
the financial crisis.
In its statement late
Wednesday, the ECB suggested
it might alter self-imposed lim-
its on its bond-buying program,
breaking a longstanding taboo.
That would potentially give the
bank room to buy more than a
third of the outstanding debt of
governments like Italy. It could
also raise legal concerns in Ger-
many, where the ECB has faced
multiple lawsuits over its bond
purchases.

ByTom Fairless,
Anna Hirtenstein
andGiovanni
Legorano

ECB Unveils Surprise Bond-Buying Plan


Americans


Stranded


Abroad


Pedestrians were asked why they were on the streets in Lima on Tuesday. Travelers waited for the last flights out of Peru on Monday.


SEBASTIAN CASTANEDA/REUTERS

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde


ALEX KRAUS/BLOOMBERG NEWS
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